Posts Tagged ‘Rafer Alston’

RAPTORS vs Heat, Game Preview

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

For the benefit of both Raptors and Heat fans:

 

RAPTORS

Adv

HEAT

RATIONALE

STARTERS

Jack, PG

=

Alston, PG

Both are solid veterans who should be able to use their savvy to keep the other in-check in a match-up like this.

Belinelli, OG

à

Wade, OG

Wade is an All-League superstar. The Heat will win tonight, if he performs like one.

Turkoglu, SF

ß

Richardson, SF

Turkoglu will need to be the better player, if the Raptors are going to win. Q-Rich just needs to play solid D, to give the Heat a fighting chance.

Bosh, SF

ß

O’Neal, C

Bosh is the better player, at this stage of their respective careers.

Bargnani, C

=

Beasley, PF

In all likelihood, whoever wins this specific match-up will determine the outcome of this game. Beasley can effectively check Bargnani. Can Bargnani check Beasley, in return?

 

 

 

 

 

KEY SUBS

Calderon, PG

ß

Chalmers, PG

El Matador SHOULD be the better player. If he is not, the Raptors will be at a major disadvantage and will probably lose this game.

Weems, OG

=

Wright, G-F

Both are now better players than many casual fans realize. Belinelli’s game is all offense; Wright is better at defense and rebounding.

Wright, SF

=

Jones, F

The more PT Wright gets, the more likely TOR is to lose. Don’t expect Jones to play at all.

Johnson, PF

=

Haslem, PF

Johnson’s overall “energy” vs Haslem’s defense, rebounding, grit & savvy. A good individual match-up. Haslem needs to win this match-up to ease the load on Wade.

Nesterovic, C

=

Anthony, PF-C

Nesterovic is a solid vet; but, Anthony can be an effective rebounder/defender/shot-blocker, in his own right.

 

 

 

 

 

RESERVES

Banks, PG

à

Arroyo, PG

Neither is going to have a major impact on the outcome.

O’Bryant, C

à

Magloire, C

Although Magloire is the better player, neither should have much effect on the outcome.

COACH

Jay Traino

à

Erik Spoelstra

Although Triano is beginning to find his way better recently, Spoelstra is already one of the better young coaches in the NBA today, having apprenticed under a mastercraftsman. If Spoelstra slips up, Triano is good enough to get the W.

QIR/QR

#25/69

à

#11/38

TOR = 18th/PDR, 26th/PAR, 25rd/RDR; Mia = 14th/PDR, 9th/PAR; 15th/RDR.

Home

Yes

ß

No

TOR Home = 15-6; Mia Away = 10-10

EXPECTED RESULT
This could go either way and should only be decided in the final minute.  Covering the final number [-3/-105, which is shrinking, btw] might be a difficult proposition for the Raptors.

Legend: QIR – Quality Index Ranking [No. 1-30]; QR – Quality Rating [PDR + PAR + RDR]; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking.

Enjoy! … what should prove to be a highly entertaining game.

PS. Is there any doubt, however, that the Heat have the “coolest” [baby, baby, babyroster web page in the NBA today?

Where and how exactly Toronto lost last night’s game at Utah

Thursday, November 19th, 2009

Toronto Raptors 91
UTAH JAZZ 104
Wed Nov 18 2009 - Game Scoreboard

At the 9:20 mark of the 4th quarter this was a 2 possession game with the Jazz leading, 83-79. 

If you look at the Full-Play-By-Play for the next 5 minutes and 20 seconds, what you should be able to see during this sequence is that:

Toronto had 14 offensive possessions.
Utah had 11 offensive possessions.

Toronto committed 3 Turnovers.
Utah commited just 1 Turnover.

Toronto took 9 shots outside of the lane [and made only 1].
Utah took 0 shots outside of the lane.

Toronto scored just 3 points [1/3FG].
Utah scored 12 points [4 FTs; 4/2FGs].

If you then watch the game-tape closely … specifically … this is how each of the offensive possessions for the Raptors and Jazz actually broke down:

TORONTO RAPTORS

UTAH JAZZ

Jack

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

 

Maynor

Williams

Kirilenko

Millsap

Boozer

Time

#

Play Action

Outcome

Play Action

#

9:20

 

 

Maynor, DLU, make [vs Jack, contested], 85-79

1, Wing entry pass to 2; 1, UCLA cut; 2-5 Wing Pick with weak side Staggered Screens; Split dribble; Kick-out Pass to 1 [right Wing]; 1, Driving Layup

1

 

1

4 & 5 Double High Picks for 1; 1, Kick-out Pass to 2 [weak side Corner]

Belinelli, J3, miss

[vs Williams, in rotation; open]

 

 

 

 

 

Williams/Kirilenko, TO-1 [Bad pass]

2, Wing iso; 3, weak side flash cut middle; 2 Pass to 3

2

8:33

 

 

Official Time-out

 

 

Calderon

Jack

Belinelli

Johnson

Bargnani

 

Maynor

Williams

Brewer

Kirilenko

Millsap

 

2

1-5 Wing Pick & Roll, Pass Across to 4; 4, Pass to 5; Pass deflected by X4; 5 tied up for jump-ball; 5 losses jump-ball

Bargnani, TO-1

 

 

 

 

 

Brewer, LU, miss [vs Belinelli, open]

2, Wing entry pass to 1; 2 UCLA cut; 1-5 Wing Pick with weak side Staggered Screens; 5, Slip the Pick with weak side Tornado [3 flash cut to middle & 2 pop out]; 1, Pass to 5; 5, Pass to 3

3

 

3

2-4 Wing Pick & Roll; 2, Drive middle; 2 Kick-out Pass to 1 [right Corner]; 1, Pass to 2

Jack, J3, miss [vs Brewer, in rotation; open]

 

 

 

4

5, weak side flash cut middle; fouled by Kirilenko; 1-4 High middle Pick & Roll; 1, Drive middle

Calderon, PUJ, miss [vs Williams, open]

 

 

7:23

 

 

Maynor, TAJ [middle], fouled [Bargnani]; FT, make, 86-79; FT, make, 87-79

2, Wing entry pass to 3; 2 UCLA cut; 3-5 Wing Pick with weak side Staggered Screens; 5, Step-out; 3 Pass to 5; weak side Tornado [1 flash cut to middle & 2 pop out]; 5, Pass to 1 [right Block]

4

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

 

Maynor

Williams

Kirilenko

Millsap

Boozer

 

5

3-4 High Middle Pick & Roll; 3, Pass to 4 [weak side Top]; 4, Pass to 1 [left Corner]

Calderon, J3, miss [vs Boozer, in rotation; open]

 

 

 

 

 

Boozer, JHS, miss [vs Bosh, contested]

1, in transition, Pass to 5 [Front rim]

5

 

 

 

Kirilenko, DLU, miss [vs Calderon; contested by Bargnani]

Scramble; 3, Drive middle

6

 

6

1, in transition, Pass to 5; 5, shot fake, drive right; fouled [Millsap]; 3-4 High Pick & Roll; 3, Pass to 4 [weak side Top]

Bargnani, J3, miss [vs Millsap; open]

 

 

 

7

4, left Block isolation

Bosh, J2, miss [vs Boozer, contested]

 

 

 

8

Scramble; 2, Drive middle

Belinelli, DLU, miss [open]

 

 

 

9

3-4 High Wing Pick & Roll; 3, Drive middle

Turkoglu, TO-2 [stripped by Kirilenko]

 

 

 

 

 

Maynor, DLU, make [uncontested run-out], 89-79

5, Pass to 2; 2, in transition, Pass to 1

7

 

10

1-4 High Middle Pick, in transition

Calderon, PUJ2, miss [vs Maynor; open]

 

 

 

 

 

 

2, drive in transition; fouled [Calderon];

8

5:50

 

 

Time-out

Regular

 

 

 

 

Maynor, JHS, make [vs Calderon, contested], 91-79

2, Wing entry pass to 1; 2, UCLA cut; 1-5 Wing Pick with weak side Staggered Screens; 5, Slip Pick; 1 Pass to 5; 5 Kick-out Pass to 2 [weak side Wing]; 5, flash cut middle; 1, Pass to 5; 5, Kick-out Pass to 4 [right Wing/Corner]; 4, Pass to 2; ball deflected out-of-bounds; 1, curl cut to basket [Stack formation]; 3, in-bounds Pass to 1 [weak side block]; 1, mid-post isolation

 

 

11

4, low-post isolation [right Block]; Kick-out Pass to 1; 4, re-post; 1, Pass to 4

Bosh, TAJ2, miss [vs Millsap, contested]

 

 

 

 

 

Kirilenko, J2, make [vs Bosh, uncontested], 93-79

2, middle drive in transition; Kick-out Pass to 3 [FT line]

9

 

12

2-5 High Wing Pick & Pop; 2, drive middle

Belinelli, DLU, miss [vs Boozer & Millsap, contested]

 

 

 

 

 

Kirilenko, FT, make, 94-79; FT, make, 95-79

2, in transition, Pass Ahead to 3 [vs Turkoglu]; 3, fouled [Bosh]

10

 

13

3-4 High Middle Pick & Roll; 3, drive right; fouled [Kirilenko]; 4, in-bounds Pass to 5 [top]; 5, Pass across to 3; 1, Back Screen for 4; 4, flash cut to middle; 3, Pass to 2 [left FT line extended]; 2, Pass to 4 [left Mid-post]; 5, flash cut to front rim; 4, Pass to 5

Bargnani, TO-3 [stripped by Boozer]

 

 

 

 

 

Boozer, DLU, miss [vs Bosh, in rotation, contested]

1, dribble into left Wing; 2, shallow cut to Top; 2, UCLA cut; 5, Wing Pick with weak side Staggered Screens; 5, Slip Pick; 1, Pass to 5

11

4:00

14

3-4 High Middle Pick, in transition; 3, drive middle; 3, Kick-out Pass to 1 [right Top]

Calderon, J3, make [vs Maynor, uncontested], 95-82

 

 

What you should then be able to see is:

A. Just how ineffective the Raptors were with their ”High Middle/High Wing/Wing Pick” Series;

vs

B. Just how effective the Jazz were using their “UCLA Cut” Series and ”Transition Attack”;

in terms of generating high percentage shot attempts, in the lane, or from the free throw line … none of which should come as much of a surprise, at least, to those of you who paid attention to what was first written here on Sep 18 2009:

Thumb-down 35 special … for the Raptors

The fact is …

Not only is the Raptors’ defense performing in a poor way, thus far this season, but … when crunch time arrives in important games vs a Quality Opponent [.500+], or in last night’s case, vs an opponent that is particularly well-schooled in its own highly potent offensive and defensive [i.e. with designated helps and specific rotations] systems … so, too, is their offense, which is based primarily on the 3-5 Pick & Roll/Pop action.

Executing well, offensively, in the NBA isn’t just about “making the open shots your players happen to get” but, also … and, more importantly … “getting the specific type of open shots which your players can make on a consistent basis.” 

There’s a big difference between these two types of shot attempts. :-)

Good news for the Nets

Friday, September 18th, 2009

When you first heard the news that New Jersey had agreed to trade Vince Carter [SF-OG] and Ryan Anderson [PF] to Orlando … in exchange for 3 pretty good but not great players, i.e. Courtney Lee [OG], Rafer Alston [PG], Tony Battie [PF-C] … did the thought occur to you that the Nets’ managerial tandem of Rod Thorn & Kiki Vandeweghe MUST know something that just isn’t common knowledge, yet? Or, perhaps, have an Ace of sorts, hidden up their collective sleeve?

As has been mentioned in this space before …

Yours truly has a great deal of confidence in the ability of specific GM’s across the NBA to assess with a fairly high degree of accuracy the talent level of elite players in this league: 

NJ Nets rookie takes over: Terrence Williams may be the Next Big Thing
Terrence Williams — for reasons that elude logic — looks like the Nets’ best player two weeks before camp opens.

Nobody wants to say this aloud for print, but they’ll go this far:

“He’s playing really well - a freak of nature athletically,” Keyon Dooling said yesterday. “In the moments I’ve watched, he’s really unique. What you don’t see from the great athletes is a high basketball IQ. But he has a nice floor game - a really nice floor game.”

Then there’s this from Mr. Reticence: “He’s really good. I worked with him some, watched him some, and I’m very impressed,” L-Frank said.

Both sounded as though they were looking over their shoulders, waiting for someone to jam a towel down their throats. Nobody wants to christen any rookie as The Next Big Thing, but everyone else we spoke to claims that T-Will the Thrill has absolutely torn up the gym.

Frank downshifted into omigod-let’s-douse-that-now speech:

“Winning the pickup game award isn’t necessarily a guarantee of success - Rodney Buford won it,” the coach said. “I think Terrence will be a very good player, but it’s early to make an evaluation. The guys like playing with him, because he’s a willing and capable passer - that’s human nature. But many young guys try to establish themselves by scoring; Terrence just makes the right plays and delivers the ball in the right position, which ingratiates you with teammates.”

———————————————

one of which happens to reside in New Jersey.

Does that mean these management teams never ever make a serious mistake when acquiring or releasing players for their franchise?

No, it does not.

What it does mean, though, is that … the individuals in charge of those specific organizations know exactly what it takes to put a solid team on the floor, and succeed in doing just that, on a consistent basis, without ever attempting to pull the wool over their fans eyes, regarding the realistic prospects for their team, in a given season … while always keeping a steady eye towards the gradual process involved with building a championship calibre team.

Those who think the following roster of players is going to be atrocious this season:

2009-10 
NUM PLAYER POS HT WT DOB   FROM YRS
1 Rafer Alston G 6-2 175 07/24/1976   Fresno State 10
7 Tony Battie C-F 6-11 240 02/11/1976   Texas Tech 11
2 Josh Boone C 6-10 237 11/21/1984   Connecticut 3
55 Keyon Dooling G 6-3 195 05/08/1980   Missouri 9
17 Chris Douglas-Roberts G 6-7 200 01/08/1987   Memphis 1
34 Devin Harris G 6-3 185 02/27/1983   Wisconsin 5
44 Trenton Hassell F 6-5 233 03/04/1979   Austin Peay 8
22 Jarvis Hayes F 6-8 228 08/09/1981   Georgia 6
6 Courtney Lee G-F 6-5 200 10/03/1985   Western Kentucky 1
11 Brook Lopez C 7-0 260 04/01/1988   Stanford 1
14 Eduardo Najera F 6-8 235 07/11/1976   Oklahoma 9
21 Bobby Simmons F 6-6 230 06/02/1980   DePaul 7
51 Sean Williams F-C 6-10 235 09/13/1986   Boston College 2
8 Terrence Williams G-F 6-6 220 06/28/1987   Louisville R
9 Yi Jianlian F 7-0 238 10/27/1987   China 2

are making a serious in judgment … even if the Nets do happen to miss the playoffs, again.

There’s a definite plan in place with this franchise, as far as their player personnel is concerned, which now includes future stalwarts at four of the following five positions:

PG - Devin Harris
OG - Courtney Lee
SF - Terrence Williams
PF - ?
C - Brook Lopez 

It says here that Brook Lopez [C] will develop into one of the best Centers in the NBA during the next few seasons, at the heart of their line-up … with a solid core of talented athletic players around him … like D-Harris, C-Lee, CDR [?] and T-Will-The-Thrill, at their respective positions … to form a group that is going to be able to Rebound, Defend and Share the Ball, as a good team should.

Raptors improvement relative to other teams in division & conference

Monday, September 14th, 2009

The 5 teams in the Atlantic Division finished in the following order last season:

1. Boston Celtics, 62-20/.756, 2nd East, Lost 2nd Round 
2. Philadelphia 76ers, 41-41/.500, 6th East, Lost 1st Round  
3. New Jersey Nets, 34-48/.415, 3rd East, Missed Playoffs
4. Toronto Raptors, 33-49/.402, 13th East, Missed Playoffs
5. New York Knicks, 32-50/.390, 14th East, Missed Playoffs

At this point in the off season, the teams have made the following player personnel changes:

BOSTON CELTICS
Significant Losses
1. Leon Powe [PF], UFA
2. Mikki Moore [PF-C], UFA
3. Stephon Marbury [PG]
4. Gabe Pruitt [PG-OG]

Significant Adds
1. Lester Hudson/2nd Round Draft Pick [No. 58, overall]
2. Rasheed Wallace, UFA
3. Sheldon Williams, UFA
4. Marquis Daniels, UFA

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Significant Losses
1. Reggie Evans [PF], trade
2. Andre Miller [PG], UFA
3. Theo Ratliff [PF-C], UFA

Significant Adds
1. Elton Brand [PF], returns from injury
2. Jason Smith [PF-C], returns from injury
3. Jason Kapono [SF], trade
4. Jrue Holiday [PG], 1st Round Draft Pick [No. 19, overall]  
5. Rodney Carney [SF], UFA

NEW JERSEY NETS
Significant Losses
1. Vince Carter [SF-OG], trade
2. Ryan Anderson [PF], trade

Significant Adds
1. Terrence Williams [SF-OG], 1st Round Draft Pick [No. 11, overall]
2. Courtney Lee [OG], trade
3. Rafer Alston [PG], trade
4. Tony Battie [PF-C], trade

TORONTO RAPTORS
Significant Losses
1. Jason Kapono [SF], trade
2. Shawn Marion [PF-SF], UFA/Sign & trade
3. Kris Humphries [PF], trade
4. Nathan Jawai [PF-C], trade
5. Anthony Parker [OG-SF-PG], UFA
6. Joey Graham [SF], UFA
7. Roko Ukic [PG], trade
8. Carlos Delfino [SF-OG], trade

Significant Adds
1. Reggie Evans [PF], trade
2. DeMar DeRozan [OG-SF], 1st Round Draft Pick [No. 9, overall]
3. Hedo Turkoglu [SF], Sign & trade
4. Antoine Wright [SF-OG], trade
5. Jarrett Jack [PG-OG], RFA
6. Marco Belinelli [OG-SF-PG], trade
7. Rasho Nesterovic [C-PF], UFA
8. Amir Johnson [PF], trade 

NEW YORK KNICKS
Significant Losses
1. Quentin Richardson [SF-OG], trade
2. Chris Wilcox, PF-C], UFA

Significant Adds
1. Danilo Gallinari [SF-PF], returns from injury
2. Jordan Hill [PF-C], 1st Round Draft Pick [No. 8, overall]
3. Toney Douglas [PG-OG], 1st Round Draft Pick [No. 29, overall]
4. Darko Milicic [PF-C], trade
5. Sun Yue [PG], UFA

While several NBA observers seem to think the Raptors SHOULD be much improved this coming season, based on the wholesale changes made to their roster … this corner does not necessarily share that same opinion, when evaluated against the LOSSESS & ADDS of the other teams in their Division.

Q1. Have the Raptors improved, overall, from last season, relative to their competition?

A1. Maybe; maybe not … is the correct answer, at this point.

The Knicks and Nets are in re-building mode, and the Raptors SHOULD have been expected to finish this coming season in NO WORSE than 3rd place in the Atlantic Division, behind the Celtics and, possibly, the 76ers … even if they would have done “nothing” substantive to improve their team this summer.

However, given that doing “nothing” was in fact the OPPOSITE of what the Raptors decided to do this off season … i.e. see above … it SHOULD now be EXPECTED that this supposedly improved team SHOULD finish NO WORSE than in 2nd place in the Atlantic Division behind the Boston Celtics.

Once this expectation is established, what then becomes interesting is …

if the divisional standings eventually look something like this:

ATLANTIC
1 Boston
2 Toronto or Philadelphia
3 Philadelphia or Toronto
4 New York or New Jersey
5 New Jersey or New York

and the conference standings eventually look something like this:

SOUTHEAST
1 Orlando
2 Atlanta or Miami or Washington
3 Miami Atlanto or Washington
4 Washington or Atlanta or Miami
5 Charlotte

CENTRAL
1 Cleveland
2 Detroit or Chicago or Indiana
3 Chicago or Detroit or Indiana
4 Indiana or Detroit or Chicago
5 Milwaukee

and the playoff race eventually looks something like this:

Eastern Conference
1-2-3 Orlando - High End, Southeast
1-2-3 Cleveland - High End, Central
1-2-3 Boston - High End, Atlantic

4-5-6 Atlanta - Upper Middle, Southeast
4-5-6 Miami - Upper Middle, Southeast
4-5-6 Washington - Upper Middle, Southeast

7-8-9-10-11-12 Detroit - Middle, Central
7-8-9-10-11-12 Chicago - Middle, Central
7-8-9-10-11-12 Indiana - Middle, Central
7-8-9-10-11-12 Toronto - Middle, Atlantic
7-8-9-10-11-12 Philadelphia - Middle, Atlantic
7-8-9-10-11-12 Charlotte - Low End, Southwest

12-13-14-15 Milwaukee - Low End, Central
12-13-14-15 New York - Low End, Atlantic
12-13-14-15 New Jersey - Low End, Atlantic

indicating, perhaps, that the relative strength of each division may be shifting this season:

#1. Southeast
#2. Central
#3. Atlantic 

IF a scenario like this is eventually what plays out this season, then, how much will the Raptors really have improved this summer, relative to the other teams in their Division and the Eastern Conference, as a whole?

Knowing who the Raptors’ FOUNDATION player is

Thursday, June 4th, 2009

At what point are the Toronto Raptors going to wake up, smell the coffee and return CHRIS BOSH, their best player [by far], to his “natural” position for their team?

What is Chris Bosh’s “natural” position? 

Chris Bosh is a stalwart Center … and, one of the very best in the NBA, today.

Two seasons ago, the Raptors won 47 games [.573], finished 3rd in the Eastern Conference, and captured their only Atlantic Division crown.

For that team, Chris Bosh [in his 4th season] played the Center position, almost exclusively … in terms of Offense, Defense and Rebounding responsibilities … alongside an under-sized but physically strong, and smart, and highly skilful veteran player like Jorge Garbajosa [PF], as his principal side-kick, in conjunction with a solid Point Guard tandem of TJ Ford [who SHOULD have properly been the Back-up] and Jose Calderon [who SHOULD have properly been the Starter].

Unfortunately for the Raptors, and their loyal fanbase, beginning with the 2007-2008 season, the team then made the decision to shift Chris Bosh from the Center position to the Power Forward spot … primarily, to better accommodate Andrea Bargnani, 7-0, 250 [2006, No. 1, overall, Draft Pick].

What’s followed, since then, have been two seasons of precipitous descent:

2007-2008
41-41/.500, 6th place in the Eastern Conference

2008-2009
33-49/.402, Missed the Playoffs in the Eastern Conference

which have seen the Raptors give increased playing time to Andrea Bargnani, first, at the Power Forward position [i.e. 2007-2008] and then, principally, at the Center position [i.e. 2008-2009], while decreasing Chris Bosh’s actual playing time at that specific spot, in the process.

Yr

W-L

Win%

Conf.

Result

ABMP
ABGP

CBMP
CBGP

Main 5-Man Unit

03/04

33-49
.402

No Playoffs

 

2510

75

Williams

Carter

Rose

Marshall

Bosh

04/05

33-49

.402

No Playoffs

 

3017

81

Alston

Peterson

Rose

Marshall

Bosh

05/06

27-55

.329

No Playoffs

 

2751

70

James

Peterson

Villanueva

Bonner

Bosh

06/07

47-35

.573

3rd

1629

65

2658

69

Ford

Parker

Peterson

Garbajosa

Bosh

07/08

41-41

.500

6th

1861

78

2425

67

Ford

Parker

Moon

Bargnani

Bosh

08/09

33-49

.402

No Playoffs

2453

78

2928

77

Calderon

Parker

Marion

Bosh

Bargnani


Legend:
W-L - Won-Lost Record; Win % - Winning Percentage; Conf. Result – Final Place in the Eastern Conference Standings; AB - MP – Andrea Bargnani’s Minutes Played; AB - GP – Andrea Bargnani’s Games Played; CB – MP – Chris Bosh’s Minutes Played; CB – GP – Chris Bosh’s Games Played.

What do the Raptors need most to re-ignite the engine at the heart of their seemingly sinking ship?

Improve the Leadership on their team?
Improve their Defense & Rebounding?
Increase their Toughness Quotient?
Improve their Quality Depth?

Use Chris Bosh as THE Center for their team …

and, then, build the rest of their squad, accordingly, upon:

I. THAT foundation;

in conjunction with,

II. A solid PG tandem [i.e. Calderon + a solid, pass-first, defensive oriented, veteran Back-up];

and,

III. An under-sized, physically strong, and smart, and highly skilful veteran Power Forward [i.e. similar to Jorge Garbajosa];

at which point they will then be ready to add two dynamic Wing Players, who can:

IV. ONE - Knock down open shots & score the ball by creating his own individual offense off the dribble;

and,

V. TWO - Check the opponent’s best Wing Player, on a game-to-game basis.

———-

How can the Raptors use their available resources to accomplish this feat?

Step 1. Trade out of the #9 spot in the upcoming NBA Draft.

Acquiring a Lower 1st Round Draft Pick, plus either a 2nd Round Selection, or an additional highly serviceable player can add at least TWO solid pieces to the current roster … which is sorely lacking Quality Depth.  

Step 2. Trade Andrea Bargnani.

When a team already has a player like Chris Bosh [C] and it drafts a player like Andrea Bargnani [C], with the No. 1 [overall] Selection … it SHOULD NOT be with the intent of holding onto this 2nd center for an extended period of time BUT with the intent of TRADING that player in exchange for other assets which are a better fit to go with the Franchise Player already in the fold. The reason the Raptors have plummeted in the EC standings is NOT because of Chris Bosh; it’s because the team has refused to part with Andrea Bargnani, at least, up to this point.

Step 3. Trade Jason Kapono.

When a team signs a high-priced Unrestricted Free Agent and that player then fails to deliver the goods … the team needs to cut its losses, ASAP, not hold onto this player for an extended period of time. Albatrosses will not help you to win a championship in this league.

Step 4. Sign & Trade Shawn Marion.

When a middle-of-the-pack team acquires a high-priced veteran player in a trade-deadline deal and this player wants to sign a big-money contract extension, but is no longer perceived to be a cost-effective player, at this stage of his career, at his Expected Salary Level, then he needs to be flipped in exchange for younger more cost-effective assets and NOT re-signed. 

Executing a series of co-ordinated personnel moves like this can add a number of high calibre players to the Raptors’ roster and extricate the team from the “treadmill” situation it finds itself in today.

Yes, it’s far from being Rocket Science but … in order to succeed in this League, in a MAJOR Way … the people responsible for the operation of a club actually DO NEED TO KNOW WHAT THEY’RE DOING, when it comes to assembling a championship calibre squad with the resources at-hand.

If they fail to assess the specific Strengths & Weaknesses of their own players accurately, they will simply be spinning their wheels, as an organization, in terms of ever being able TO WIN the NBA Championship.  

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic, Individual Match-ups

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2009

Current Odds To Win This Series
Orlando +245
LOS ANGELES -265

The first question which needs to be asked and then answered regarding this series is:

Q1. What 5-Man Unit will the Lakers use to begin Game One?

A1. Either, Option I, Option II or Option III [see below]:

 

2008-2009 NBA FINALS

INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS,

OPTION I

 

1/LAL, 65-17

Advantage

3/ORL, 59-23

Fisher

Bryant

Ariza

Gasol

Bynum

Farmar

Vujacic

Walton

Odom

Powell

Brown

Mbenga

-

<<-

->

->

-

-

-

-

<-

->

-

-

Alston

Lee

Turkoglu

Lewis

Howard

Johnson

Redick

Pietrus

Battie

Gortat

Lue

Foyle

P Jackson

<-

S Van Gundy

OVERALL:+3

-

OVERALL:+3

Styles of Play

PDR - 2

PAR - 14

RDR - 5

QR - 21

QIR – 6

 

 

->

<-

 

Styles of Play

PDR – 4

PAR - 6

RDR - 9

QR - 19

QIR – 5

Legend:

PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating; QIR – Quality Index Ranking

 

 

2008-2009 NBA FINALS

INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS,

OPTION II

 

1/LAL, 65-17

Advantage

3/ORL, 59-23

Fisher

Bryant

Ariza

Odom

Gasol

Farmar

Vujacic

Walton

Powell

Bynum

Brown

Mbenga

-

<<-

->

-

-

-

-

-

->
<-

-

-

Alston

Lee

Turkoglu

Lewis

Howard

Johnson

Redick

Pietrus

Battie

Gortat

Lue

Foyle

P Jackson

<-

S Van Gundy

OVERALL:+3

-

OVERALL:+2

Styles of Play

PDR - 2

PAR - 14

RDR - 5

QR - 21

QIR – 6

 

 

->

<-

 

Styles of Play

PDR – 4

PAR - 6

RDR - 9

QR - 19

QIR – 5

Legend:

PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating; QIR – Quality Index Ranking

 

 

2008-2009 NBA FINALS

INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS,

OPTION III

 

1/LAL, 65-17

Advantage

3/ORL, 59-23

Fisher

Bryant

Odom

Ariza

Gasol

Farmar

Vujacic

Walton

Powell

Bynum

Brown

Mbenga

-

<<-

-

-

-

-

-

-

->
<-

-

-

Alston

Lee

Turkoglu

Lewis

Howard

Johnson

Redick

Pietrus

Battie

Gortat

Lue

Foyle

P Jackson

<-

S Van Gundy

OVERALL:+3

-

OVERALL:+1

Styles of Play

PDR - 2

PAR - 14

RDR - 5

QR - 21

QIR – 6

 

 

->

<-

 

Styles of Play

PDR – 4

PAR - 6

RDR - 9

QR - 19

QIR – 5

Legend:

PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating; QIR – Quality Index Ranking

 

Q2. Which Option actually presents the better set of individual match-ups for each team?

A2. That’s the $64,000 Question for this series.

———-

Orlando’s Perspective

Option I
Gives the Magic their best opportunity to succeed, emphasizing Turkoglu’s Size & Skill Advantage vs Ariza, plus Lewis’ Quickness Advantage vs Gasol.

Option II
Limits the Magic to Turkoglu’s Size & Skill Advantage vs Ariza.  

Option III
Chokes Off the Magic’s Offense, eliminating their Individual Advantages. 

Los Angeles’ perspective

Option I
Gives the Lakers a chance to attack Lewis in the Pinch-Post position vs Gasol; but, exposes Gasol on the perimeter vs Lewis’ superior quickness.

Option II
Allows Bynum to work vs the Magic’s back-ups; but, exposes Gasol to be attacked by Howard in Low Block Post-ups.

Option III
Exposes Gasol to attacks by Howard; BUT, also ensures that Kobe can GO TO WORK vs Lee, unfettered, while, Bynum gets to work vs the Magic’s back-ups.

———-

Despite the Lakers now being a prohibitive favourite to win this series, there is still some legitimate “value” to be had with a play on the Magic, at +245 … if Los Angeles decides to go at Orlando with its customary M.O. [Option I].

That said, however, there is nothing about this series which SPELLS the word U-P-S-E-T, given the Individual Match-ups listed above.

———-

Related:

Charley Rosen’s 2009 NBA Finals Preview

An Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers match-up will be a terrific NBA Finals series

Monday, May 25th, 2009

Q1. Can the Cavaliers rebound from a 1-2 game deficit to win the EC Finals vs the Magic?

A1. Yes, they can.

Q2. Can the Nuggets claw their way back from a similar deficit to vanquish the Lakers in the WC Finals?

A2. Yes, they can.

———-

Both teams are capable of orchestrating a comeback to reach the Finals this season, based on the prodigious talents of players like Lebron James, Carmelo Anthony & Chauncey Billups.

However … that specific scenario is now quite unlikely to happen.

How come?

From top to bottom, and when healthy …

The two best teams in the NBA today are the Orlando Magic and the Los Angeles Lakers, and each one is simply too good to be overcome by their respective opponents in their conference finals series, both of which are missing key elements when it comes to actually winning the championship.

What The Cavaliers Are Still Missing

* Their best 5-Man Unit has yet to play any significant time together during their series vs Orlando, i.e. PG/Gibson, OG/Pavlovic, SF/James, PF/Varejao & C/Ilgauskas

* Mike Brown needs to develop a better feel for the game, and increased dexterity, as a Head Coach

* A 2nd Marquee Player at the Guard and/or Forward position with good size

What The Nuggets Are Still Missing

* A team playing a thuggish brand of basketball will not win the NBA Championship … because the rules of the game, rightfully, will not allow it

* More poise under pressure from players not named Chauncey Billups

* At least one more year’s worth of experience which goes beyond the 1st Round of the Playoffs

———- 

Looking back on the 2008-2009 regular season schedule:

December 20, 2008, Lakers at Magic, 103-106
January 16, 2009, Lakers vs Magic, 103-109

it’s most likely that this year’s NBA Finals series will have the makings of an all-time classic … even though the current MVP may well have been eliminated from the competition, by that point.

———-

On May 19, 2009 the wagering odds to win the 2008-2009 NBA Title were as follows:

Los Angeles Lakers
Yes/+220
No/-250 

Orlando Magic
Yes/+1800
No/-2300

both of which are looking like very solid propositions with each passing day.

———-

Throughout their rosters, both teams have What it takes to win the NBA Championship this season:

Orlando Magic [59-23]
PDR - 4
PAR - 6
RDR - 9
QR -19
QIR - 5

Rafer Alston, Anthony Johnson, Courtney Lee, Tyronn Lue, JJ Redick, Mickael Pietrus, Hedo Turkoglu, Rashard Lewis, Tony Battie, Adonal Foyle, Dwight Howard, Marcin Gortat & Stan Van Gundy

Los Angeles Lakers [65-17]
PDR - 2
PAR - 14
RDR - 5
QR - 21
QIR - 6
Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Shannon Brown, Kobe Bryant, Sasha Vujacic, Trevor Ariza, Luke Walton, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum, Josh Powell, DJ Mbenga & Phil Jackson

Legend:
PDR - Points Differential Ranking; PAR - Points Allowed Ranking; RDR - Rebound Differential Ranking; QR - Qaulity Rating; QIR - Quality Index Ranking

———-

Related:

When Orlando has it going 

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic, Individual Match-ups

Tuesday, May 19th, 2009

Current Odds To Win this Series
Orlando Magic +565
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -615

 

2008-2009 NBA

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS

 

1/CLE, 66-16

Advantage

3/ORL, 59-23

Williams

West

James

Varejao

Ilgauskas

Gibson

Szerczbiak

Pavlovic

Smith

Wallace

Kinsey

Hickson

-

-

<-

-

->

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Alston

Lee

Turkoglu

Lewis

Howard

Johnson

Redick

Pietrus

Battie

Gortat

Lue

Foyle

M Brown

->

S Van Gundy

OVERALL:+1

-

OVERALL:+2

Styles of Play

PDR - 1

PAR - 1

RDR - 3

QR - 5

QIR – 1

 

<-

<-

<-

 

<-

Styles of Play

PDR – 4

PAR – 6

RDR – 9

QR - 19

QIR – 5

Legend:

PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating; QIR – Quality Index Ranking

Although Cleveland has played very well to this point in the Playoffs, they do not enjoy a host of different match-up advantages vs Orlando, like they did vs Atlanta and Detroit.

In particular, the specific spots where the Cavaliers have possessed major advantages … i.e. at the PF/C positions, plus in terms of Quality Depth, overall … will not be the case in this series:

Power Forward/Center

* Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Anderson Varejao, Joe Smith, Ben Wallace & JJ Hickson is a versatile and highly effective set of Bigs. So, too, however, is the combination of Dwight Howard, Rashard Lewis, Tony Battie, Marcin Gortat & Adonal Foyle.  

Quality Depth

* The Cavs’ remaining group of Guards & Forwards: Lebron James, Mo Williams, Delonte West, Daniel Gibson, Wally Szerczbiak, Sasha Pavlovic & Tarence Kinsey is stout and highly serviceable. However, they are not a superior force, in comparison with the Magic’s corresponding group at those same positions: Hedo Turkoglu, Rafer Alston, Courtney Lee, Anthony Johnson, JJ Redick, Mikael Pietrus & Tyron Lue.

With a Series Price like THAT … Orlando [+565] is a VERY GOOD proposition.

———-

Please Note:
At the moment, the Cavaliers are +116 to NOT Win the 2008-2009 NBA Title. For those so inclined, this is a VERY GOOD proposition. :-)

Jose Calderon is an average defender at the PG position

Wednesday, December 31st, 2008

When yours truly sees this type of observation being made repeatedly in on-line articles and commentary by traditional media sources, bloggers, and members of the Raptors’ fanbase …

——————————————–

Reasons for concern in Raptorville
The defenceless point guard

In his first year as starting point guard, Jose Calderon has kept up his efficient offensive ways, with a league-leading 4.18 assists for every turnover.

But on the other end of the floor, opposing point guards routinely light up Calderon. Tony Parker had 24 points and 10 assists against him. Oklahoma City’s Russell Westbrook had 19 points and eight assists. Devin Harris has torched Calderon in two decisive fourth quarters.

——————————————–

it indicates that there is still a significant level of basketball sophistication that has yet to be reached by many of the followers of this team.

The average Raptors fan has seen Jose Calderon play each and every game of his NBA career to-date; but this does NOT mean that said fan has a sound/accurate understanding of the game, in general, and how it should be played properly, concerning a player like the Raptors’ starting PG.

In reality … while Jose Calderon will never be confused for a top notch defensive player … he is far from being an atrocious defender at the PG position in the NBA.

——————————–

Specific Defensive Responsibilities of a PG for a team in the NBA

Situation #1. In a half-court situation when there is no Pick being set on him. Pressure/contain the opposition’s PG, 1-on-1.

Situation #2. In a half-court situation when there is a Pick being set on him. Direct the opposition’s PG toward the Picker - in conjunction with the Picker’s defender - and then recover [by going either under or over, depending on the specific defensive tactic being used] to defend the PG on the dribble.

Situation #3. In a transition situation when there is no Pick being set on him. To contain the opposition’s PG on the dribble, 1-on-1.

Situation #4. In a transition situation when there is a Pick being set on him. To contain the opposition’s PG on the dribble, in conjunction with the Picker’s defender.

Situation #5. In a half-court situation when there is no Pick being set on him. To switch defensive responsibilities with a teammate who has the task of defending against an opposition player who plays a different position and is, therefore, usually a bigger player. 

Situation #6. In a half-court situation when there is no Pick being set on him. To initiate defensive double-teams and traps against opponent players who are very skilful at scoring either in the Low Post or on drives from the perimeter into the lane.

Situation #7. In a half-court situation when there is no Pick being set on him.  To rotate appropriately in order to provide the necessary help for a teammate who has been beaten on a dribble penetration move by an opponent.

Situation #8. In a half-court situation when there is no Pick being set on him. To rotate appropriately in order to provide the necessary help for a teammate who has had to rotate to assist a teammate that has been beaten on a dribble penetration move by an opponent, i.e. Help-the-helper.

Situation #9. In a half-court situation when there is no Pick being set on him. To close-out appropriately versus an opponent shooter, contesting the shot and containing that player on the dribble.

——————————–

When Jose Calderon is injury-free, the vast majority of his individual defensive breakdowns occur in Situation #2, as a result of a Big-on-Little Pick, where the main culprit isn’t actually Calderon at all but the Raptors’ Big involved in defending this specific action.

If Andrea Bargnani [who is the worst offender], Jermaine O’Neal [who is the 2nd worst offender], Chris Bosh [who is fairly good at this] and Kris Humphries [who is the most proficient at this], as a group, do a poor job defensively when:

i. Switching
ii. Showing & Recovering, or
iii. Trapping

in a 5/4-on-1 Pick scenario … and the opponent’s PG is able to dribble penetrate into the heart of the Raptor’s defense on a consistent basis, primarily, this is not the fault of the Dino’s PG.

When assessing Jose Calderon’s individual defense … encompassing those Nine Situational Categories … versus that provided by the other starting PGs across the League, this is what you should be able to see:

 

 

Defensive Rankings for Starting Point Guards in the NBA


[
Tue Dec 30 2008]

 

No.

EASTERN CONF.

No.

WESTERN CONF.

1

Rajon Rondo/Celtics

1

Deron Williams/Jazz

2

Devin Harris/Nets

2

Chauncey Billups/Nuggets

3

Rodney Stuckey/Pistons

3

Derek Fisher/Lakers

4

Chris Duhon/Knicks

4

Chris Paul/Hornets

5

Andre Miller/Miller

5

Jason Kidd/Mavericks

6

Derrick Rose/Bulls

6

Russell Westbrook/Thunder

7

Jose Calderon/Raptors

7

Tony Parker/Spurs

8

Mike James/Wizards

8

Kyle Lowry/Grizzlies

9

Jameer Nelson/Magic

9

CJ Watson/Warriors

10

Mario Chalmers/Heat

10

Rafer Alston/Rockets

11

TJ Ford/Pacers

11

Baron Davis/Clippers

12

Raymond Felton/Bobcats

12

Steve Nash/Suns

13

Mike Bibby/Hawks

13

Steve Blake/Blazers

14

Luc Ridnour/Bucks

14

Randy Foye/Timberwolves

15

Mo Williams/Cavaliers

15

Beno Udrih/Kings

which would place him in the middle-of-the-pack, approximately, not towards the bottom. 

Tough ‘talk’ … from a NBA coach’s perspective

Friday, November 14th, 2008

“When the going gets tough, the tough get going.” - Anonymous

————————————–

With the ‘taunting‘ that took place in the Raptors vs Celtics game, earlier this week, and the ‘skirmish‘ which then developed in the Rockets vs Suns ’tussle’ … What qualifies as authentic Toughness, in the NBA today? … is a pertinent subject.

——————————————-

Mitchell’s tough talk
“We want to be tougher from the standpoint of playing tougher defence, but I don’t get into that toughness thing,” Mitchell said. “The NBA has rules and no one is going to let you physically beat anyone up, and you can’t get into a guys face and trash talk or wave your finger in a guy’s face,” he added, clearly taking a shot at the crew that officiated the game in Boston on Monday and let Kevin Garnett do just that without being penalized.

“For me that stuff doesn’t mean anything,” Mitchell said. “For me toughness is executing. Going to set picks when you are supposed to set picks. Make hard cuts. Run the floor. Those types of things. Being mentally tough for me is when the game comes to a grind, being able to execute. That other stuff is more for the cameras. You really want to find out who is tough? Meet me behind the arena or in a back alley where it’s just you and I. Then you find out who is tough and who is fake tough because the camera is on.”

——————————————-

Know that this space agrees 100% with the perspective of the Raptors’ head coach.

————-

Of particular interest, though, is the extent to which, the sentiments expressed by yours truly, sometimes, elsewhere in the blogosphere [in this case, yesterday] …

Sixers exact revenge as Wings waste Big 3 effort, Comment #119

… have a n almost magical way of preceding [by a day or two] echoing that which a real life NBA coach has to say on a specific matter.

==========================

The good people at RaptorsRepublic.com are off to a fine start with their new venture.

This corner of the net would simply encourage all Raptors fans, everywhere around the globe and beyond, to drop by and participate freely in the lively exchange of thoughts and ideas which happens there daily, concerning the fortunes of this franchise.