Posts Tagged ‘Patrick O’Bryant’

Viable options, if the Raptors want to compete for a Top 4 spot in the East next season, and down-the-road

Wednesday, April 21st, 2010

Those calling for Bryan Colangelo to be dismissed, as the GM for the Raptors, are delusional.

What the Raptors - and Bryan Colangelo - NEED to do, however, at this point in time, is implement a fundamental PARADIGM SHIFT … in the way that their basketball operation conducts its business, by prioritizing the objective of TRYING TO WIN MULTIPLE NBA CHAMPIONSHIPS through the gradual construction of a top notch player roster that is filled with solid “NBA level talent” [i.e. in terms of specific skill sets and athleticism] and a proven coaching staff.

As wrong as each of Bryan Colangelo’s major personnel moves have been, thus fas, in his tenure as the Raptors’ GM, the fact is …

1. He finally did the RIGHT THING … by failing to making any trades this season at the Trade Deadline;

and,

2. He is finally now saying the RIGHT THING … as far as [i] properly managing the expectations for the team heading into next season AND [ii] assessing accurately just how far away this current collection of players is from actually being able to compete successfully for a Top 4 playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, in the not-too-distant future …

provided that he is NOW willing to:

A. Keep Chris Bosh/C;

B. Exceed the Luxury Tax Threshold;

and,

C. Trade Andrea Bargnani/C, in exchange for a solid, veteran wing player with good size, NBA athleticism, and a commitment to sound defensive play and rebounding.

To wit:

Andrea Bargnani Trade Proposal

What this specific trade would accomplish …

OPTION 1

From a Raptors’ perspective:

Keeping Bosh would be Step 1.

Trading Bargnani for Battier + Taylor would be Step 2.

- it would rid the team of a defensive albatross
- it would add a 3rd string PG to play behind Calderon and Banks
- it would add a solid wing defender/rebounder with good size to go with the younger tandem of DeRozan and Weems

Step 3 would then involve trading Hedo Turkoglu.

Step 4 would then involve trading Jarrett Jack.

Step 5 would then involve keeping Amir Johnson.

Step 6 would then involve selecting another future rotation player with the 2010 1st Round Draft Pick.

The Raptors would then be moving forward with the following group of players:

1 Chris Bosh, C
2 Amir Johnson, PF
3 Shane Battier, SF
4 DeMar DeRozan, OG
5 Jose Calderon, PG

6 New Player #1 [obtained via trade for Turkoglu]
7 New Player #2 [obtained via trade for Jack]
8 Sonny Weems, OG-SF
9 Marco Belinelli, OG-PG
10 Jermaine Taylor, PG
11 Marcus Banks, PG
12 2010 1st Round Pick
13 New Player #3 [FA signed to replace Antoine Wright]
14 Reggie Evans, PF [or New Player #4, obtained via trade for Reggie Evans]
15 Rasho Nesterovic, C [re-signed for the veteran's minimum]

Patrick O’Bryant would not be re-signed.
Joey Dorsey would not be re-signed [or, he would replace Reggie Evans].

==============================

From the Rockets’ perspective:

1. Bargnani could play Center for them, if Yao Ming isn’t ready to go at the start of next season.

2. Bargnani could be used as Yao Ming’s offensively oriented back-up off the bench, if the big fella is ready to start the season.

3. Bargnani could be used at the PF position, beside Yao Ming, if the big fella is ready to start the seaon, and the Rockets want to go with a twin towers line-up.

——————————————–
NOTE: In every situation, Morey would need to play Bargnani with solid positional defenders in order to compensate for Il Mago’s deficiency in this area. Morey is smart enough to pull that off.
——————————————–

OPTION 2

The same as Option 1, above, except … the Raptors would simply elect to keep Hedo Turkoglu.

——————————————–

What would the 2010-2011 roster then look like for the Raptors?

Roster
Spot

2009-2010

2010-2011, OPTION 1

2010-2011, OPTION 2

Pos

PLAYER

Pos

PLAYER

Pos

PLAYER

1

PG

Jose Calderon

PG

Jose Calderon/1

PG

Jose Calderon/1

2

OG

Sonny Weems

OG

Sonny Weems/2

OG

Hedo Turkoglu/2

3

SF

Hedo Turkoglu

SF

Shane Battier

SF

Shane Battier

4

PF

Chris Bosh

PF

Amir Johnson/3

PF

Amir Johnson/3

5

C

Andrea Bargnani

C

Chris Bosh/4

C

Chris Bosh/4

 

6

PG

Jarrett Jack

PG

Marcus Banks/5

PG

Marcus Banks/5

7

OG

DeMar DeRozan

OG/SF

DeMar DeRozan/6

OG/SF

Sonny Weems/6

8

SF

Antoine Wright

?

New Player #1

?

DeMar DeRozan/7

9

PF

Amir Johnson

?

New Player #2

?

New Player #2

 

10

PG

Marcus Banks

PG

Jermaine Taylor

PG

Jermaine Taylor

11

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli/7

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli/8

12

PF

Joey Dorsey

?

2010 1st Rd Pick

?

2010 1st Rd Pick

13

PF

Reggie Evans

?

New Player #3

?

New Player #3

14

C

Rasho Nesterovic

PF

Reggie Evans, PF/8

PF

Reggie Evans, PF/9

15

C

Patrick O’Bryant

C

Rasho Nesterovic/9

C

Rasho Nesterovic/10

LEGEND: GREEN – Returning players from 2009-2010; ORANGE – New players acquired this off-season.

The more time an astute NBA observer actually spends looking at the depth chart involved with OPTION 2, the more this observer should then begin to see a variety of different possibilities which would be quite a positive development for the Raptors … moving forward … as a team that finished in the No. 9 position this season [especially if Bryan Colangelo can also get a future protected 1st Round Draft Pick included in the trade with Houston].

——————————————–

Despite what some might think, yours truly is firmly in the Raptors’ corner and of the belief that the pro hoops franchise in Toronto has ALWAYS been just a few RIGHT moves away from being able to develop into one of the premier organizations in the entire NBA.

Less Wright should also equal Less Wrong for the Raptors against the Bulls

Sunday, April 11th, 2010

There’s an old adage in the world of sport that goes something like this:

“You should never, ever, take solace in the mis-fortune of your opponent.”

… because:

i. It’s simple not the right way to live your own life;

ii. The “Sporting Gods” do NOT shine their favour on those who fall prey to this affliction;

iii. The “Sporting” Gods do shine their favour, however, on those who focus on what they CAN DO themselves to give their own team the best chance of winning. Period.

In general, this is a tried and true philosophy which makes a great deal of sense … when it comes to NOT taking any solace in the mis-fortune that can sometimes befall AN OPPONENT.

As far as the Raptors are concerned, however …

This adage HAPPENS NOT TO APPLY … when the misfortune, in question, actually be-falls a player on YOUR OWN TEAM!

To wit:

Yes, the Raptors are about to take the court this evening against the Bulls, as a battered and bruised team.

EXhibit A

Chris Bosh/PF is out of the Raptors’ line-up indefinitely while recovering from facial fractures he sustained this past week, against Cleveland. This fact hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

Exhibit B

Hedo Turkoglu/SF is in the line-up for this evening’s game, but with a protective mask on his face his face to guard against incurring further damage to his own broken nose, sustained this past week, against Boston. Since Turkoglu simply hates wearing a protective mask on his face, this fact also hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

Exhibit C

Amir Johnson/PF … who replaced Chris Bosh in the Raptors’ Starting Line-up against Atlanta … is playing in this evening’s game, but with a slightly sprained ankle which he incurred during the 2nd half. This fact hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

Exhibit D

Jarrett Jack/PG … their solid Back-up to Jose Calderon … is playing in this evening’s game, but with a slightly sprained ankle/foot which he also incurred during the 4th quarter against Atlanta. This fact hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

But, all hope is far from lost for the Raptors, as …

Exhibit E

Antoine Wright/SF-OG … their defensive specialist at the wing positions and the primary back-up to Turkoglu and Sonny Weems … is out of the line-up indefinitely with a severely sprained right ankle which he incurred during the 4th quarter against Atlanta. This fact HELPS the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight … in a major way.

Huh? … What’s that you say?

It’s impossible to have a 5th injured player from a team’s regular rotation out of the line-up completely for a do-or-die, quasi-elimination game … and, somehow, believe that HIS ABSENCE will actually help his team get a W in that game.

Well, you know what?

NOT IN THIS INSTANCE!

If the Raptors are forced to use a tight 8-Man rotation which looks like this:

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

STARTERS

Calderon

Weems

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

KEY SUBS

Jack

DeRozan

Nesterovic

 

RESERVES

 

Belinelli

 

Evans

 

EXTRAS

Banks

 

O’Bryant

OUTS

 

 

Wright

Bosh

 

 

 

Dorsey

 

it says here that Toronto WILL WIN TONIGHT’S GAME AGAINST THE CHICAGO BULLS …

because using Antoine Wright, as a defensive specialist … when he isn’t very good on defense, to begin with, AND is absolutely horrid on offense, MOST of the time … is actually a huge detriment to the Raptors ever being able to win any game against a decent-to-good opponent when their team could instead be giving his PT to:

a. Sonny Weems, or
b. Hedo Turkoglu, or
c. DeMar DeRozan, or
d. Marco Belinelli,

at the same time as it is also giving increased PT to Amir Johnson [i.e. an athletic rebounder/defender] and Rasho Nesterovic [i.e. a non athletic rebounder/defender].

The fact is … not having Antoine Wright in the line-up tonight is a HUGE CASE of “Addition by Subtraction”, in favour of the Raptors. :-)

Raptors remain clueless, when it comes to fixing problems

Friday, March 26th, 2010

At some point, the days eventually begin to run together, in Raptorville.

The same problems occur from one season to the next and, seemingly, never ever get fixed properly.

——————————————–

Feschuk: Listless Raptors puzzle GM Colangelo

“I’ve got a lot of suspicions, I guess, of what’s gone wrong. It hasn’t been the same since the all-star break,” Colangelo said. “Too many guys came back from the break with a different approach. And that’s the part that’s troubling. … It’s not a talent issue. And it’s clear that the right message is being delivered (by the coaching staff). But the students have to carry out the agenda. And it’s got to be a team agenda. It can’t be an individual agenda.”

——————————————–

Is removing Jose Calderon from the starting line-up, once again, really going to solve their on-going problems at the defensive end of the floor?

Chisholm: Triano sending the wrong message

Is removing DeMar DeRozan from the starting line-up, for the first time this season, really going to be the catalyst for a substantive change in the way that this team approaches the business of rebounding and being able to fight back when things don’t quite go according to plan, in a given quarter, half, or game? … as other legitimate contending teams have always done in the history of the NBA.

Is asking Chris Bosh [i.e. the team's best player, by a wide margin] … the same question, again, and again:

“What’s wrong with you guys?”

 

really going to illicit a pearl of wisdom that, if said out loud to the reporters in a post practice/game media scrum, is going to miraculously change the culture which exists within their locker-room?

———————————–

The reality of the Raptors’ current situation is this:

1. Once the trade deadline has passed, there is very little that can be done to fundamentally alter the personnel on a team’s roster.

2. Firing their head coach makes little sense, given that he was hand-picked by the GM to run the day-to-day operation only 9 months ago, and the organization is still paying the salary of its former head coach [i.e. Sam Mitchell], who was fired in December of last season.

3. The team’s defensive woes have NOT been rooted in the mediocre-to-poor play of Jose Calderon, who is comparable … as a less-than stellar individual defender with a solid offensive game … to 6 of the other starting Point Guards for the Top 15 teams in the league [i.e. see the chart below].

STARTING 5 COMPOSITION FOR TOP 15 TEAMS

COMPARED WITH TORONTO RAPTORS

[as of Thu Mar 25 2010]

Rank

Team

Record

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

 

 

 

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

1

CLE

57-15

Williams

Parker

James

Jamison

Hickson

 

 

 

57.2

1.37

3.1

57.5

1.38

2.7

60.6

2.80

7.3

51.6

2.20

7.8

58.0

0.91

4.5

 

 

 

>

-

-

>

-

<

>

>

>

<

>

-

-

<

<

2

LAL

53-18

Fisher

Bryant

Artest

Gasol

Bynum

 

 

 

49.8

1.91

1.9

54.8

2.15

5.3

54.2

1.88

4.3

58.5

2.43

11.1

61.0

2.05

8.4

 

 

 

<

>

<

>

>

>

-

>

-

>

>

>

>

-

-

3

ORL

50-22

Nelson

Carter

Barnes

Lewis

Howard

 

 

 

53.0

1.07

2.7

53.9

1.13

4.1

57.5

1.29

5.6

57.0

1.51

4.6

63.3

3.69

13.1

 

 

 

-

<

-

-

<

>

 

-

-

>

<

<

>

>

>

T-4

DEN

47-25

Billups

Afflalo

Anthony

Martin

Nene

 

 

 

61.8

1.41

3.0

57.7

1.10

2.8

55.5

1.84

6.7

48.4

2.31

9.6

63.4

2.71

7.8

 

 

 

>

-

-

>

<

<

>

>

>

<

>

>

>

-

-

T-4

DAL

47-25

Kidd

Butler

Marion

Nowitzki

Haywood

 

 

 

57.6

2.54

5.4

50.5

2.25

4.4

53.5

1.82

6.7

57.1

2.17

7.7

58.7

2.44

8.1

 

 

 

>

>

>

-

>

>

<

>

>

>

>

-

-

-

-

T-4

UTA

47-25

Williams

Matthews

Kirilenko

Boozer

Okur

 

 

 

57.2

1.75

4.0

58.8

1.15

2.1

59.1

2.86

4.6

59.4

1.68

11.1

55.0

2.05

6.9

 

 

 

>

>

>

>

<

<

>

>

-

>

-

>

-

-

<

T-7

BOS

46-25

Rondo

Allen

Pierce

Garnet

Perkins

 

 

 

54.5

2.67

4.4

59.5

1.29

3.3

61.5

2.10

4.3

58.2

1.95

7.4

61.8

2.16

7.7

 

 

 

-

>

>

>

<

-

>

>

-

>

-

-

>

-

-

T-7

ATL

46-25

Bibby

Johnson

Williams

Smith

Horford

 

 

 

53.7

1.16

2.2

53.5

1.35

4.7

54.2

1.45

5.3

53.8

4.09

8.8

60.2

1.94

9.7

 

 

 

-

<

<

-

-

>

-

-

-

-

>

-

>

-

>

9

PHO

45-26

Nash

Richardson

Hill

Stoudemire

Lopez

 

 

 

61.4

1.14

3.3

57.3

1.49

5.4

56.3

1.56

5.5

61.5

1.90

8.8

57.2

2.60

8.8

 

 

 

>

<

-

>

-

>

>

-

-

>

-

-

-

-

-

10

OKC

43-27

Westbrook

Sefolosha

Durant

Green

Krstic

 

 

 

49.4

1.87

5.0

49.0

1.91

4.9

60.2

2.33

7.5

53.5

2.23

6.1

51.6

1.30

5.0

 

 

 

<

>

>

<

>

>

>

>

>

-

>

<

<

<

<

11

POR

43-29

Miller

Roy

Batum

Aldridge

Camby

 

 

 

52.8

1.59

3.3

56.7

1.44

4.5

67.9

1.69

3.7

53.1

1.54

8.1

38.2

4.08

9.8

 

 

 

-

-

-

>

-

>

>

-

<

-

-

-

<

>

>

12

SAS

42-28

Parker

Ginobili

Jefferson

McDyess

Duncan

 

 

 

54.7

0.84

2.4

58.0

2.30

3.7

54.7

1.22

4.3

49.1

1.02

5.8

55.6

2.20

10.3

 

 

 

-

<

<

>

>

-

-

-

-

<

<

<

-

-

>

13

MIL

39-31

Jennings

Delfino

Salmons

LRMAM

Bogut

 

 

 

47.5

1.64

3.5

52.9

1.49

5.4

58.4

1.59

3.2

54.6

1.58

5.5

53.9

3.79

10.3

 

 

 

<

>

-

-

-

>

>

-

<

>

-

<

<

>

>

14

MEM

38-34

Conley

Mayo

Gay

Randolph

Gasol

 

 

 

52.2

1.61

2.3

55.2

1.69

3.8

53.8

2.42

5.9

54.9

1.46

11.9

61.9

3.18

9.5

 

 

 

-

>

<

>

-

-

-

>

>

>

<

>

>

>

>

T-15

MIA

38-34

Arroyo

Wade

Richardson

Beasley

O’Neal

 

 

 

51.1

0.69

1.7

55.3

3.01

4.7

56.6

1.49

4.9

51.1

1.69

6.5

56.2

2.25

7.2

 

 

 

-

<

<

>

>

>

>

-

-

<

-

<

-

-

-

T-15

CHA

37-34

Felton

Jackson

Wallace

Diaw

Chandler

 

 

 

51.6

1.97

3.7

51.9

2.63

5.1

59.0

3.30

10.5

55.2

1.54

5.1

59.5

1.58

6.3

 

 

 

-

>

-

-

>

>

>

>

>

>

-

<

-

<

<

 

18

TOR

35-35

Calderon

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

 

 

 

57.5

1.11

2.2

53.9

1.05

3.0

54.2

1.16

4.5

59.1

1.71

11.1

55.7

1.84

6.0

 

 

 

>

<

<

-

<

-

-

<

 

>

-

>

-

<

<

LEGEND: Red – 1 dimensional, Offensive focus; Yellow – 1 dimensional, Defensive focus; Blue – 1 dimensional, Rebounding focus; Orange – 2 dimensional, Offensive + Defensive focus; Purple – 2 dimensional, Offensive + Rebounding focus; Green – 2 dimensional, Defense + Rebounding focus; Brown – 3 dimensional, Offensive + Defensive + Rebounding focus; TS% - True shooting percentage; DEF – Defensive plays made per game; TReb – Total rebounds per game; > - Superior rating; - Average rating; < Inferior rating.

 

4.  The team’s defensive woes have NOT been rooted in the mediocre-to-poor play of DeMar DeRozan, who is the most effective Off Guard on their roster, given the individual short-comings of Antoine Wright, Sonny Weems and Marco Belinelli, none of whom are comparable to the starting players for the Top 15 teams in the league [i.e. see the chart below].

TS%

DEF

TReb

DeRozan

53.9

1.05

3.0

-

<

-

Wright

49.9

0.75

2.6

<

<

<

Weems

51.9

0.80

2.4

-

<

<

Belinelli

54.5

0.98

1.5

-

<

<

5. The most significant difference between Toronto’s starting line-up and the Top 15 teams in the league is at the Center position.

6. Opposite to what Bryan Colangelo might actually think:

* TENACITY is, in fact, a most valuable TALENT in the NBA … since every player does not have it in the same quantity;

and,

* The wrong message is, in fact, being sent whenever a NBA team uses an offensively focused player as its starting Center … while it does not also have a DOMINANT, multi-dimensional, Small Forward in its best Group of 5.

7. If Chris Bosh is, in fact, the best player on your team, by a wide margin, and Jose Calderon is, in fact, the best offensively focused Point Guard, and Hedo Turkoglu is, in fact, the best offensively focused Small Forward, then you simply CANNOT HAVE have another offensively focused player as your starting Center … if you want your team to exhibit the type of TENACITY that’s required to fight back from adverse situations which occur in NBA games. 

8. Andrea Bargnani is the player who NEEDS to be removed from the team’s starting line-up, if Toronto is going to turn around its lost season.

———-

PS. FYI, the stats shown here for TS%, DEF and TReb are from hoopdata.com.

If the Raptors do these 10 things …

Friday, March 19th, 2010

Now that they have finally managed to end their recent stretch of bad play, with their improbable come-from-behind home court victory, on Wednesday, vs Atlanta

i.e. According to Matt Devlin [the Raptors' television play-by-play announcer], in games where the Hawks had led during the final 3 minutes of the 4th quarter], their W-L record had been 41-4 …

QUESTION
What should the Raptors’ expectations be for their next 3 games?

ANSWER
- Win vs Oklahoma City, Fri Mar 19 [2nd W in a row]
- Win at New Jersey, Sat Mar 20 [3rd W in a row]
- Win at Minnesota, Mon Mar 22 [4th W in a row]

… provided they:

1. Continue to sit out Antoine Wright [as their 5th Wing];
2. Give only limited PT to Reggie Evans [as their 5th Big];
3. Give only limited PT to Marco Belinelli [as their 4th Wing; and, 3rd PG];
4. Increase the PT for Sonny Weems [as their 3rd Wing];
5. Increase the PT for DeMar DeRozan [and, specifically, use him to finish games, as their 2nd Wing ... beside either Hedo Turkoglu/1st Wing or Weems/2nd Wing];
6. Continue to start Jose Calderon [as their main PG];
7. Completely eliminate the Calderon+Jarrett Jack [as their 2nd PG] line-up;
8. Increase the PT for Amir Johnson [as their 3rd Big];
9. Decrease the PT for Andrea Bargnani [as their 2nd Big]; and,
10. Increase the PT for Chris Bosh, at the Center position [as their 1st Big].

At this point in the season, and given the relative position of the other teams in the Eastern Conference Standings … if Toronto continues to use an 8-man rotation which looks like this:

STARTERS
Calderon + DeRozan + Turkoglu + Bosh + Bargnani [or Johnson]

KEY SUBS
Jack, Weems and Johnson [or Bargnani]

RESERVES
Banks, Belinelli, Evans and Nesterovic

EXTRAS/OUTS
Wright and O’Bryant

… there is no legitimate reason, whatsoever, for this Raptors team to fail to make the playoffs.

What the Raptors’ rotation SHOULD look like for the stretch run

Tuesday, March 9th, 2010

Heading towards their 61st game of the regular season … this evening against the Los Angeles Lakers, at the Staples Center … the most productive players for the Toronto Raptors have been:

Pos

PLAYER

KPER/MP

PF-C

Chris Bosh

0.698

SF

Hedo Turkoglu

0.466

C

Rasho Nesterovic

0.448

PG

Jose Calderon

0.412

PF-C

Andrea Bargnani

0.390

PG

Jarrett Jack

0.389

PF

Amir Johnson

0.342

PG

Marcus Banks

0.326

PG-OG

Marco Belinelli

0.291

PF

Reggie Evans

0.288

OG-SF

Sonny Weems

0.276

OG

DeMar DeRozan

0.258

C

Patrick O’Bryant

0.227

OG-SF

Antoine Wright

0.201

 

Pos

PLAYER

KPER/MP

BIGS

PF-C

Chris Bosh

0.698

C

Rasho Nesterovic

0.448

PF-C

Andrea Bargnani

0.390

PF

Amir Johnson

0.342

PF

Reggie Evans

0.288

C

Patrick O’Bryant

0.227

WINGS

SF

Hedo Turkoglu

0.466

OG-SF

Sonny Weems

0.276

OG

DeMar DeRozan

0.258

OG-SF

Antoine Wright

0.201

POINT GUARDS

PG

Jose Calderon

0.412

PG

Jarrett Jack

0.389

PG

Marcus Banks

0.326

PG-OG

Marco Belinelli

0.291

——————————-
LEGEND:

KPER = khandor’s Player Effeciency Rating [PTS - (FGA-FGM) - (FTA-FTM) + TReb + Ast + St + BS - TO - PF]

KPER/MP - khandor’s Player Efficiency Rating Per Minute Played 
———————————–

If the Raptors were to use their players in an 8-Man rotation which looks like this:

Pos

PLAYER

KPER/MP

STARTERS

PG

Jose Calderon

0.412

OG

DeMar DeRozan

0.258

SF

Hedo Turkoglu

0.466

PF

Amir Johnson

0.342

PF-C

Chris Bosh

0.698

KEY SUBS

PG

Jarrett Jack

0.389

OG-SF

Sonny Weems

0.276

PF-C

Andrea Bargnani

0.390

RESERVES

PG-OG

Marco Belinelli

0.291

OG-SF

Antoine Wright

0.201

PF

Reggie Evans

0.288

C

Rasho Nesterovic

0.448

EXTRAS/OUTS

PG

Marcus Banks

0.326

C

Patrick O’Bryant

0.227

they would qualify for the Eastern Conference playoffs without a great deal of difficulty.

The chief reason the Raptors have not used their players in the proper way … at least, thus far … this season is connected with the flawed Basketball Philosophy of their GM, Bryan Colangelo, who has consistently prioritized “offensively” skilled players, when constructing his teams in Phoenix and Toronto, rather than players with an abundance of “defensive and rebounding” skills.

Houston or Toronto?

Tuesday, March 2nd, 2010

Last night’s game between the Houston Rockets and the Toronto Raptors served as an interesting benchmark for the on-going development of these two teams.

Toronto Raptors 92
HOUSTON ROCKETS 116

Complete Game Summary 

At the moment:

Toronto is 31-28/.525, 2nd in the Atlantic Division, and 5th in the Eastern Conference; while, Houston is 30-29/.508, 3rd in the Southwest Division, and 9th in the Western Conference.

Both teams played last night’s game without several key players in their respective line-ups, due to a variety of physical ailments/injuries:

Toronto
1. Chris Bosh/PF-C, leg injury [day-to-day] 
2. Jose Calderon/PG, arm injury [day-to-day]
3. Hedo Turkoglu/SF, leg injury [incurred last night]

Houston
1. Yao Ming/C, foot injury [expected to return next season]
2. Kyle Lowry/PG, leg injury [day-to-day]
3. Trevor Ariza/SF, hip injury [day-to-day]

Examining the complete rosters for each team:

Pos

TORONTO

RK

HOUSTON

RK

COACH

 

Triano

2

Adelman

1

SUB-TOTAL

2

 

1

STARTERS

PG

Jack

2

Brooks

1

OG

DeRozan

2

Martin

1

SF

Turkoglu

2

Battier

1

PF

Bosh

1

Scola

2

C

Bargnani

2

Ming

1

SUB-TOTAL

9

 

6

KEY SUBS

PG

Calderon

1

Lowry

2

OG

Weems

2

Budinger

1

SF

Wright

2

Ariza

1

PF

Johnson

1

Hill

2

C

Nesterovic

1

Anderson

2

SUB-TOTAL

7

 

8

RESERVES

G

Belinelli

1

Taylor

2

F/C

Evans

2

Jeffries

1

SUB-TOTAL

3

 

3

TOTAL

21

 

18

EXTRAS/OUT

 

Banks

2

Temple

1

 

O’Bryant

2

Hayes

1

 

 

 

Armstrong

1

LEGEND: Pos – Position; RK – Ranking.

is an interesting exercise when considering:

i. Chris Bosh/PF-C becomes an unrestricted free agent this summer;

ii. Chris Bosh is originally from Dallas, Texas;

iii. The relative “NBA talent” base on these two rosters;

iv. The “playoff prospects” for these two teams:

A. This season, and
B. Beyond the current season. 

———————————————
 

If you were Chris Bosh ... Which team would you choose to sign with this summer?

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Right move for the Raptors, right now

Friday, February 5th, 2010

Toronto is currently in 2nd place in the Atlantic Division, and in 5th place [overall] in the Eastern Conference standings, with a 26-23/.531 W-L record.

After starting out 7-13/.350, with a difficult road-heavy schedule, the Raptors have since played 19-10/.655 basketball, with an easier predominently home-based schedule, that has effectively balanced out their season to-date.

If the Raptors can now manage to play .531 basketball for the remainder of the campaign they will finish with an overall mark of 43-39, or 44-38, which should then be good enough to qualify for the Eastern Conference playoffs and earn a mid-level seed [i.e. #5 or #6].

In a 1st Round playoff series of this type the Raptors would then be most likely to face one of:

1. The Atlanta Hawks/#4, who were eliminated by the Cleveland Cavaliers [i.e. 2006-2007 NBA Finalists] last season [in the 2nd Round] and the Boston Celtics 2 seasons ago [in Game 7 of the 1st Round];

2. The Boston Celtics/#3, who were 2007-2008 NBA Champions; or,

3. The Orlando Magic/#2, who were 2008-2009 NBA Finalists;

each of which is a team with more experience than Toronto, having qualified for the post-season elimination tournament for the last two seasons.

If the Raptors are indeed able to compete successfully in this type of series … by winning at least 2 [or, possibly, 3] games … the challenge they would then face, in the off season, is trying to re-sign their best player, Chris Bosh, who is scheduled to become an unrestricted free agent this summer [July 1, 2010].

The NBA’s in-season trade deadline is now two weeks away [Feb 19], and the most important question on the minds of Raptors fans is:

QUESTION

Should Toronto make a trade, in advance of the deadline, in an effort to further improve their team right now, in hopes of being able to win their 1st Round playoff series this spring and, in the process, demonstrate to Chris Bosh that he will have a legitimate chance to compete for a league championship, in the immediate future, if he decides to renew his contract with the Raptors this off season, as a maximum salaried player? 

ANSWER

No, the Raptors should not make a trade of this sort, in advance of the deadline, in an effort to win their 1st Round playoff series this spring.

RATIONALE

Young teams like the Raptors need to be able to grow together, gradually, over an extended period of years, which involves taking 5 DISTINCT STEPS:

STEP 1. Learning how to make the playoffs, and then losing a 1st Round series;

STEP 2. Learning how to make the playoffs and, then, after making minor player acquisitions, advancing to the 2nd Round;

STEP 3. Learning how to make the playoffs and, then, after making a key player acquisition, advancing to the Conference Finals;

STEP 4. Learning how to make the playoffs and, then, after making another key player acquisition, advancing to the NBA Finals; and,

STEP 5. Learning how to make the playoffs and, then, after making minor player acquisitions, winning the NBA Championship. 

The Raptors’ current roster looks like this:

ROLE

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

Starter

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

Key Subs

Calderon

Belinelli

Wright

Johnson

Nesterovic

Reserves

 

Weems

Evans

 

Extras/Out

Banks

 

 

 

O’Bryant

and is ”good enough”, as is, to compete successfully in a 1st Round playoff series this spring, if their GM and head coach can [i] create the proper atmosphere around their team, and [ii] use their resources effectively.

RESOURCE

SERVICEABILITY

Bosh

- One of the best young All-around Big Men in the NBA

- Multi-faceted: Strong Rebounder; Strong Team Defender; and, Efficient Scorer … with Good character

Bargnani

- One of the best young Scoring Big Men in the NBA

- Scorer’s mentality … fearless

DeRozan

- Young, athletic Wing player

- Scorer’s mentality … needs added strength and crunch time PT

- Significant “upside”

Johnson

- Young, athletic Big Man

- High energy Rebounder/Defender’s mentality

- Significant “upside”

Calderon

- Ultra efficient Point Guard: High % perimeter shooter; Outstanding Ast:TO

- Emotionally Stabile and Unselfish

Turkoglu

- Veteran All-around Wing player

- Clutch scorer/shooter … fearless

Jack

- Still youngish, All-around Point Guard

Belinelli

- Still youngish, scorer/perimeter shooter

Weems

- Young, athletic rebounder/defender/slasher/mid-range scorer

Nesterovic

- Veteran Big Men; strong interior defender

Wright

- Veteran Wing player; adequate perimeter defender

Evans

- Veteran Big Man; strong rebounder with good toughness

Banks

- Veteran back-up Point Guard

O’Bryant

- Still youngish back-up Center

Stability is what the Raptors need most right now … and, to be able to find out exactly what they’ve got from their current group of players, when it comes to being battle-tested in a 1st Round playoff series against a veteran team like the Hawks, or the Celtics, or the Magic. 

What the Raptors do not need right now is increased Instability … in hopes of blithely skipping over Step 1 with this specific collection of players.

If Chris Bosh is actually the Right Person to lead the Raptors team into the future, then, he will decide on his own that Toronto is the best fit for him, and his long term goals/objectives, both, as a marquee player in the NBA, and as a person.

If Chris Bosh eventually makes the decision to resign with Toronto, the Raptors will then be in a “good” position to attempt to take Step 2 next year, after making minor player acquisitions during this coming off season. 

3. If Chris Bosh is not actually the Right Person to lead the Raptors team into the future, then, he will decide on his own that Toronto is not the best fit for him, and his long term goals/objectives, both, as a marquee player in the NBA, and as a person.

If Chris Bosh eventually makes the decision to sign with another team, then, the Raptors will still be in an “okay” position … i.e. with his vacant salary slot … to once again try to accomplish Step 1, in the gradual process of building a legitimate contending team in this league, over a number of years.

The major problem with this specific scenario is that this is precisely where the team has been before, on more than one occasion, during the Raptors’ first 15 years of existence:

A. With Vince Carter and Tracy McGrady;

B. With Vince Carter and Chris Bosh;

C. With Chris Bosh and Andrea Bargnani;

and, subsequently,

D. With Andrea Bargnani and DeMar DeRozan; etc., etc., etc.

Each time the Raptors have gotten to this same point before …

they have somehow managed to !@#$%^&* it up, royally, by trying to ”Swing for the fences”, prematurely, and in hopes of skipping Steps along the way.

Hopefully they [i.e. MLSE, Bryan Colangelo, and Jay Triano] have finally learned their lesson and, this time, are finally able to exercise the type of sound basketball judgment it takes to eventually build a legitimate NBA championship contending team in Toronto.

——————————

For the Raptors …

It is time to batten down the hatches.

Let the current season play out.

Allow Chris Bosh to make his own call.

And, sail the ship forward, regardless, on a straight [and well-charted] course. 

In this world, it takes time, to build something truly worthwhile.

RAPTORS vs Heat, Game Preview

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

For the benefit of both Raptors and Heat fans:

 

RAPTORS

Adv

HEAT

RATIONALE

STARTERS

Jack, PG

=

Alston, PG

Both are solid veterans who should be able to use their savvy to keep the other in-check in a match-up like this.

Belinelli, OG

à

Wade, OG

Wade is an All-League superstar. The Heat will win tonight, if he performs like one.

Turkoglu, SF

ß

Richardson, SF

Turkoglu will need to be the better player, if the Raptors are going to win. Q-Rich just needs to play solid D, to give the Heat a fighting chance.

Bosh, SF

ß

O’Neal, C

Bosh is the better player, at this stage of their respective careers.

Bargnani, C

=

Beasley, PF

In all likelihood, whoever wins this specific match-up will determine the outcome of this game. Beasley can effectively check Bargnani. Can Bargnani check Beasley, in return?

 

 

 

 

 

KEY SUBS

Calderon, PG

ß

Chalmers, PG

El Matador SHOULD be the better player. If he is not, the Raptors will be at a major disadvantage and will probably lose this game.

Weems, OG

=

Wright, G-F

Both are now better players than many casual fans realize. Belinelli’s game is all offense; Wright is better at defense and rebounding.

Wright, SF

=

Jones, F

The more PT Wright gets, the more likely TOR is to lose. Don’t expect Jones to play at all.

Johnson, PF

=

Haslem, PF

Johnson’s overall “energy” vs Haslem’s defense, rebounding, grit & savvy. A good individual match-up. Haslem needs to win this match-up to ease the load on Wade.

Nesterovic, C

=

Anthony, PF-C

Nesterovic is a solid vet; but, Anthony can be an effective rebounder/defender/shot-blocker, in his own right.

 

 

 

 

 

RESERVES

Banks, PG

à

Arroyo, PG

Neither is going to have a major impact on the outcome.

O’Bryant, C

à

Magloire, C

Although Magloire is the better player, neither should have much effect on the outcome.

COACH

Jay Traino

à

Erik Spoelstra

Although Triano is beginning to find his way better recently, Spoelstra is already one of the better young coaches in the NBA today, having apprenticed under a mastercraftsman. If Spoelstra slips up, Triano is good enough to get the W.

QIR/QR

#25/69

à

#11/38

TOR = 18th/PDR, 26th/PAR, 25rd/RDR; Mia = 14th/PDR, 9th/PAR; 15th/RDR.

Home

Yes

ß

No

TOR Home = 15-6; Mia Away = 10-10

EXPECTED RESULT
This could go either way and should only be decided in the final minute.  Covering the final number [-3/-105, which is shrinking, btw] might be a difficult proposition for the Raptors.

Legend: QIR – Quality Index Ranking [No. 1-30]; QR – Quality Rating [PDR + PAR + RDR]; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking.

Enjoy! … what should prove to be a highly entertaining game.

PS. Is there any doubt, however, that the Heat have the “coolest” [baby, baby, babyroster web page in the NBA today?

Do the Raptors really have the 5th most talented team in the Eastern Conference?

Saturday, December 19th, 2009

During Wednesday’s television broadcast of the Orlando/Toronto game, Jack Armstrong, Toronto’s analyst, made the following observation about the perceived talent level for this year’s Raptors team:  

Play Audio

Now

Then, on Thursday evening , during the FAN590’s ”Hoops” broadcast, Eric Smith, Toronto’s radio analyst, tried to re-iterated this same point of view, when a caller suggested that the Charlotte Bobcats should actually be considered as “a better team with more NBA talent than the Raptors” … along with, at least, 4 other teams in the Estern Conference, i.e. Boston, Orlando, Cleveland and Atlanta.

After hearing Eric’s response to that caller, this is the exact comment [including errors] which was submitted by yours truly to his FAN590 blog, The Rap, on Friday, Dec 18 2009, at 2:17 PM:

————-

Hi, Eric.

I heard you on speak with a caller on last night’s show, just prior to 8:00 PM, concerning your belief that the Raptors [11-17/.393] are a better team than the Bobcats [10-14/.417]. According to what you said, your opinion was based on conversations you have had with various NBA insiders who you have encountered across the league and what their impression of Toronto and Charlotte has been to this point in the season.

Respectfully, it is my contention that you … and these NBA insiders who you happened to have communicated with regarding the relative strength of these two teams … happen to be incorrect in this assessment, and will eventually be proven wrong are the season plays itself out.

After starting the season poorly, without Stephen Jackson on their roster, the Bobcats have begun to climb up the standings in the Eastern Conference, and are now ahead of the Raptors. Although the Raptors [#4] have played a more difficult schedule than the Bobcats [#15], to this point, IMO, Charlotte has more “NBA talent” on its current roster, and should probably be expected to close out the current season by finishing ahead of Toronto in the final standings.

Calderon [+1] > Felton
DeRozan < Jackson [+1]
Turkoglu < Wallace [+2]
Bosh [+2] > Diaw
Bargnani < Chandler [+3]
———————-
Jack = Augustin
Belinelli < Henderson [+4]
Wright < Brown [+5]
Johnson = Mohammed
Nesterovic [+3] > Diop
———————-
Banks < Murray [+6]
Seems [+4] > Law
 Mensah-Bonsu = Graham
Evans [+5] ?
O’Bryant = Ajinca
———————-
Triano < Brown [+7]

PS. Hopefully, the fanbase should now be able to see that we’ve been saying for a while now, re: Jose Calderon’s relative lack of individual defensive prowess not being the major catalyst for the team’s many short-comings on that side of the ball, has been a highly accurate assessment. :-)

————- 

As you can clearly see there are several typos and what appear to be “publication errors” contained in that specific comment, which was submitted rather hurriedly and is still awaiting moderation/publication at The Rap.

In an effort to clear up any mis-understanding which Eric Smith - or other visitors to his blog - might have … 

Here is a more “in-depth” analysis of the rosters for the Raptors and the Bobcats, with a few adjustments to the initial ratings that more accurately reflect the current state of affairs with these two teams, from the perspective of this coner:

RAPTORS VS BOBCATS

ROSTER EVALUATION

2009-2010

No.

Player

Off

Def

Reb

Total

Adv

Tor

Cha

STARTERS

01

Calderon

4

2

3

9

+1

 

 

Felton

3

3

2

8

 

 

0

 

02

DeRozan

3

2

3

8

 

-

 

 

Jackson

4

4

4

12

 

+1

 

03

Turkoglu

4

2

3

9

 

-

 

 

Wallace

3

3

5

11

 

+2

 

04

Bosh

4

3

5

12

+2

 

 

Diaw

4

3

3

10

 

 

-

 

05

Bargnani

4

1

2

7

 

-

 

 

Chandler

1

4

4

9

 

+3

KEY SUBS

06

Jack

3

3

3

9

 

0

 

 

Augustin

4

3

2

9

 

 

0

 

07

Belinelli

3

2

1

6

 

-

 

 

Henderson

2

3

2

7

 

+4

 

08

Wright

2

2

2

6

 

-

 

 

Brown

2

3

3

8

 

+5

 

09

Johnson

2

3

4

9

 

0

 

 

Mohammed

3

3

3

9

 

 

0

 

10

Nesterovic

3

3

3

9

+3

 

 

Diop

1

4

3

8

 

 

0

RESERVES

11

Banks

2

3

2

7

 

-

 

 

Murray

3

3

2

8

 

+6

 

12

Weems

3

2

2

7

+4

 

 

Law

2

2

2

6

 

 

-

EXTRAS

13

O’Bryant

1

1

1

3

 

0

 

 

Ajinca

1

1

1

3

 

 

0

 

14

M-Bonsu

1

3

4

8

 

0

 

 

Graham

2

3

3

8

 

 

0

INJURED/OUT

15

Evans

[2]

[2]

[4]

[8]

[√]

[+5]

 

 

N/A

-

-

-

-

-

 

-

 

HC

Triano

3

2

3

8

 

-

 

 

Brown

4

4

4

12

 

+7

 

TOTALS

 

Toronto

42

34

41

117

+4

 

 

 

Charlotte

39

46

42

127

+7

 

 

————————————————————

Which team has more actual "NBA talent" on its current roster?

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————————————————————

Visitors here are invited to elaborate further on their own answer to this question in the comments section.

Mind-set of Hedo Turkoglu, 2009 unrestricted free agent

Wednesday, December 16th, 2009

This evening’s game between Toronto [11-16/.407, 2nd Atlantic] and Orlando [18-6/.750, 1st Southeast] marks the first occasion for the “Turkish Michael Jordan” to make a return visit to his old haunt in the Magic Kingdom.

As the former “go-to, clutch time” performer for last season’s squad in Orlando, which played its way to the NBA Finals …

What did it really say about Hedo Turkoglu [at 30 years of age] that he was actually willing to forego the opportunity to win a NBA championship with the Magic this season, in order to sign a $50.0 M contract to play the next 5 seasons for the Toronto Raptors?

Perhaps, that he really does care more about being content and comfortable in his own personal life than he cares about doing what’s necessary to win a NBA championship.

Doing what’s necessary to win a NBA championship?

For example:

* Getting back in defensive transition to prevent easy opposition baskets.

* Defending one’s individual check with consistent tenacity.

* Defending, in a half-court team context, with thorough responsibility.

* Rebounding with an absolute commitment to recover the ball.

* Discriminating readily between an open and a contested shot attempt.

* Physically standing up for a fallen/vulnerable teammate, when need be.

* A willingness to play within an assigned role for the good of the team.

* A willingness to sacrifice oneself [i.e. the physical body, as well as, personal wants and desires] for the benefit of the team.

In their 16 losses this year, Bryan Colangelo’s Raptors have succumbed by margins of:

OCTOBER

OPPONENT

RESULT

MARGIN

 Fri 30

 @ Memphis

  L 107-115

-8

NOVEMBER

OPPONENT

RESULT

MARGIN

 Sun 01

 vs Orlando

  L 116-125

-9

 Sat 07

 @ Dallas

  L 101-129

-8

 Mon 09

 @ San Antonio

  L 124-131

-7

 Sun 15

 @ Phoenix

  L 100-101

-1

 Tue 17

 @ Denver

  L 112-130

-18

 Wed 18

 @ Utah

  L 91-104

-13

 Sun 22

 vs Orlando

  L 96-104

-8

 Wed 25

 @ Charlotte

  L 81-116

-15

 Fri 27

 @ Boston

  L 103-116

-13

 Sun 29

 vs Phoenix

  L 94-113

-19

DECEMBER

OPPONENT

RESULT

MARGIN

 Tue 01

 vs Washington

  L 102-106

-4

 Wed 02

 @ Atlanta

  L 115-146

-31

 Wed 09

 @ Milwaukee

  L 95-117

-22

 Fri 11

 vs Atlanta

  L 89-111

-22

 Tue 15

 @ Miami

  L 95-115

-20

Legend: Red Text – Away Game.

Considering that the acquisition of Hedo Turkoglu/SF:

Career Stats, Hedo Turkoglu

was one of the two major personnel moves made by the Raptors this past summer …

along with the $50.0 M, 5-yr extension of the ‘rookie contract’ for former No. 1 [overall] Draft Pick, Andrea Bargnani/C:

Career Stats, Andrea Bargnani

it should be of little wonder to the Raptors faithful that Toronto is mired in the lower half of the Eastern Conference, in a quest for the last playoff position.

If you had been put in Hedo Turkoglu's position, last July, with which of these two teams would you have chosen to sign a new long term contract?

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ORLANDO MAGIC

2009-2010?

TORONTO RAPTORS

2009-2010

 

STARTERS

 

Jameer Nelson, PG

Jose Calderon, PG

Vince Carter, OG

DeMar DeRozan, OG

 

 

Hedo Turkoglu, SF

Hedo Turkoglu, SF

 

 

Rashard Lewis, PF

Chris Bosh, PF

Dwight Howard, C

Andrea Bargnani, C

 

KEY SUBS

-

Anthony Johnson, PG

Jarrett Jack, PG

-

JJ Redick, OG

Marco Belinelli, OG

 

Mickael Pietrus, OG-SF

Antoine Wright, SF

 

Ryan Anderson, PF

Reggie Evans, PF

 

Marcin Gortat, C

Rasho Nesterovic, C

 

RESERVES/EXTRAS

Jason Williams, PG

Marcus Banks, PG

 

-

Matt Barnes, SF

Sonny Weems, OG-SF

-

 

Adonal Foyle, C

Amir Johnson, PF

 

Pops Mensah-Bonsu, PF

 

 

Patrick O’Bryant, C

 

Shame on those who actually thought that Otis Smith [GM, Orlando Magic] may not have known exactly what he was talking about …

Orlando Magic GM dissing Hedo Turkoglu?

in his alleged conversations with Kevin Pritchard [GM, Portland Trail Blazers], in the aftermath of Mr. Turkoglu’s decision to sign on with the Raptors, and that Hedo Turkoglu’s priorities might actually include winning a NBA title. 

Caveat Emptor!