Posts Tagged ‘Jason Kapono’

A good fit for Desmond Mason

Thursday, August 20th, 2009

Mason Won’t Return to Thunder
Mason’s agent, Roger Montgomery, confirmed to The Associated Press on Wednesday that talks between the nine-year NBA veteran and the Thunder had broken down and the two sides wouldn’t be agreeing on a new contract.

Mason had expressed his desire to return to Oklahoma City after a knee injury forced him to miss the second half of last season. Montgomery says the two sides weren’t able to agree on a role for Mason, who still wants to make significant contributions instead of simply being a mentor for younger players.

———————————————

At the moment, Philadelphia is one of several teams that has yet to use its MLE this off-season. The 76ers’ roster looks like this:

TEAM

COACH

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

PHI

41 W

Jordan

Williams

Green

Iguodala

Young

Dalembert

Holiday

Ivey

Kapono

Rush ?

 

Brand X

Smith X

Marshall ?

Speights

Brezec

If he’s 100% healthy, adding a veteran Wing, with the athleticism, skill-set and coachability of Desmond Mason, who can still contribute in a significant way, as a competent role player … like he did last year for the Thunder, prior to sustaining his season-ending injury … might be a solid fit for the 76ers, working under Eddie Jordan’s system, if they intend to legitimately compete hard for an EC playoff spot.

When three birds of a different feather flock together, it’s a poor omen for the Raptors

Tuesday, July 14th, 2009

An accurate understanding of what exactly is going on these days in Raptorville is not arrived at easily for many of the team’s rabid fans who are active participants in the on-line hoops community. Amidst the general euphoria that has taken hold in the aftermath of last week’s seemingly stunning 4-team trade extravaganza with Dallas, Orlando and Memphis … which netted the Raptors:

* Hedo Turkoglu [F, Orlando, UFA]
* Antoine Wright [G-F, Dallas, expiring contract this coming season]
* Devean George [G-F, Dallas, expiring contract this coming season], and
* Preserved their right to use the Mid Level Exception [MLE], the Low Level Exception [LLE], and exercise their [Larry] Bird Rights towards resigning their own Unrestricted Free Agents [UFA]

at the expense of:

* Shawn Marion [Sign & Trade with Orlando, UFA]
* Kris Humphries [trade with Dallas; injured much of last season]
* Nathan Jawai [trade with Dallas; disabled much of last season]
* 2nd Round Draft Pick/2016 [trade with Dallas]
* Cash Considerations [trade with Dallas] 

The stark reality of this team’s current situation is perhaps best reflected in the bright lights of the following 5 observations:

PART ONE
The post-trade outlook for the Raptors which was first put together by “Dave” [nbaroundtable, Thu July 9], extolling the possible virtues:

Where do the Raptors go from here?

PART TWO
The specific comment which “Dave” then left in a different thread on his blog, later that same afternoon, indicating his actual thoughts on their chances to succeed with their current roster configuration:

———-

Four team trade: Shawn Marion to Dallas
2011/12

This is the Raptors fail safe option. When they fail, and they will fail, they need to have this option open to them and then use this option.

This means no extra contracts that last beyond two years. I will dislike pretty much any contract that goes beyond two seasons. As long as the contract is than two seasons, spending that money doesn’t bother me in the slightest.

Dead End

The Raptors are going nowhere, and they need a miracle to happen for this plan to have any chance of working out. The Raptors are going to run into [sic] dead end.

Now, it’s time just to sit back and let things play out. Things will not improve until Colangelo figures out Bargnani isn’t a cornerstone of this franchise … until that happens, there’s nothing else that can be done to put the Raptors on the right road.

The Raptors can’t get out of the corner that they’ve boxed themselves into, until Bargnani is moved on. Any aspirations for a title are on hold until this happens.

———-  

PART THREE
The specific comment which was made on this blog [July 11, 11:35 AM], by yours truly, that addressed the supposed “Qualitative Improvement” of the Raptors current roster pieces in comparison with last season’s end-of-year squad, pertaining to the question of:

———-

Which team made out best from 4-team trade?
IMO, the Raptors have made upgrades in certain areas thus far but it would be a mistake in judgment to assess this improvement as being “a lot better“, just yet:

No BEFORE ADV AFTER

1 Calderon = Calderon
2 Parker <– Wright … AP is significantly better
3 Marion = Turkoglu … Turkoglu is NOT significantly better
4 Bosh = Bosh
5 Bargnani = Bargnani
—————————-
6 Ukic = Ukic
7 Kapono –> DeRozan * … cyclical due to draft
8 Graham = George … Devean is NOT significantly better
9 Humphries = Evans … Reggie is NOT significantly better
10 O’Bryant –> Nesterovic … Rasho is much better!
—————————-
11 Douby = Delfino … is different but NOT much better
12 Mensah-Bonsu = Mensah-Bonsu
—————————-
13 Banks = Banks
14 Jawai ? Barnes … jury still out on Nathan
15 Voskuhl = O’Bryant

Those who are looking at these changes in an excessively positive light are the ones looking through rose-coloured spectacles.

———-

PART FOUR
The Shifting Player Personnel Chart that was constructed by yours truly yesterday:

 

TORONTO RAPTORS ROSTERS

2007-2008 vs 2008-2009 vs 2009-2010

 

 

No

 

2007-2008

END

2008-2009

 

2009-2010

START

Mitchell

Triano

1

Triano

2

1

2

3

4

5

Ford

Parker

Delfino

Moon

Bosh

Calderon

Parker

Moon

Bosh

O’Neal T

Calderon

Parker

Moon

Bosh

O’Neal

Calderon

Parker U

Marion T, U

Bosh

Bargnani

Calderon

Wright T, E

Turkoglu T

Bosh

Bargnani

6

7

8

9

10

Calderon

Kapono

Graham

Humphries

Bargnani

Solomon U

Kapono

Graham

Humphries
Bargnani

Solomon

Kapono

Graham

Humphries
Bargnani

Ukic

Kapono

Graham U

Humphries X

O’Bryant T

Jack R *

DeRozan Y1

George T, E

Evans T

Nesterovic U *

11

12

Dixon

Nesterovic

Ukic Y1

Adams U

Ukic

Adams

Douby T, U

Voskuhl U

Delfino R *
O’Bryant

13

14

15

Martin

Brezec

Baston

Jawai Y1

Jawai

Banks T

M-Bonsu U

Jawai

Banks

M-Bonsu R *
Ukic

16

Garbajosa @

 

 

Delfino R @

Douby

W/L

41-41/.500

8-9/.471

13-25/.342

12-15/.444

?/?

Legend:

X – Injured; Y1 – Rookie; R – Restricted Free Agent; U – Unrestricted Free Agent; @ – Not on active roster; W/L – Won-Lost record; Mitchell – Up to Dec 3, 2008; Triano1 – Before Shawn Marion trade; Triano2 – After Shawn Marion trade; T – Acquired via trade; E – Expiring contract this coming season; * – Expected to sign soon as Free Agent

 

which shows the drastic player changes that have happened with the Raptors for each of the past two seasons. 

PART FIVE
The glaring RED ALERT that was issued on Sunday by David Berri [i.e. noted economist, NBA "sage & soothsayer", author of The Wages of Wins Journal]:

Dashing Hope in Toronto
Not a Pretty Picture in Toronto

When we put the whole picture together, it appears the Raptors will employ the following starting line-up in 2009-10: Calderon (PG), Wright and/or DeRozan (SG), Turkoglu (SF), Bosh (PF), Bargnani [C].  Last season the NBA veterans in this line-up combined to produce fewer than 30 wins. So unless these players improve dramatically, or the team finds very productive players off the bench, it’s hard to see how this team improves dramatically.  And that’s true even if Delfino returns to Toronto (although if Evans returns to what we saw in the past there might be some hope this team can get past 40 wins).

All of this means that

  1. Turkoglu will be seeing much more money in 2009-10, but probably far fewer wins.
  2. Bargnani will also see much more money, but it seems unlikely he is ever going to produce many wins.
  3. Bosh will see even more money after this next season, but if the Raptors don’t approach 45 or 50 wins (which seems likely) then it seems unlikely that the money Bosh is paid in the future is going to be paid by the Raptors.
  4. So it looks likely the Raptors record performance in 2007-08 will stand for awhile.  In other words, if Bosh departs this team in 2010, then rebuilding will probably continue beyond 2009-10.
  5. And this means — assuming the Raptors don’t make any major change to this team — the fans of the Raptors will keep paying money to see a team that’s not contending for a title.

———-

Experience says that when disparate individuals like:

1. “Dave” [nbaroundtable] … who combines statistics with Basketball Acumen;

2. khandor [that's me :-) ] … who relies primarily on Basketball Acumen;

and,

3. David Berri … who relies heavily on a statistical approach to the analysis of on-court production for players in the NBA;

actually arrive at a similar conclusion … which is essentially opposed to the GENERAL CONSENSUS that exists in Raptorville today … it portends of difficult times ahead for this team in the coming season.

In the best interests of the franchise, let’s hope that all three of these “stray birds” are eventually proven to be wrong in their assessment of the team. 

 

Which franchise made out best from 4 team trade?

Friday, July 10th, 2009

Prior to the recent transaction between the Raptors [Bryan Colangelo], Mavericks [Donnie Nelson], Magic [Otis Smith & Dave Twardzik] and Grizzlies [Chris Wallace], this is what each of those team’s rosters looked like:

 

ROSTERS BEFORE 4-TEAM TRADE

 

No

RAPTORS

MAVERICKS

MAGIC

GRIZZLIES

1

2

3

4

5

Calderon

Parker–UFA

Marion–UFA

Bosh

Bargnani

Kidd

Wright

Howard

Nowitzki

Dampier

Nelson

Carter

Turkoglu–UFA

Lewis

Howard

Conley

Mayo

Gay

Warrick–RFA

Gasol

6

7

8

9

10

Ukic

Douby
DeRozan–R

Evans

O’Bryant

Barea

Terry

George

Bass–UFA

Hollins–RFA

Johnson

Redick

Pietrus

Anderson

Gortat–RFA

Jaric

Richardson

Young–R

Arthur

Thabeet–R

11

12

Banks

Humphries

Carroll

Singleton–UFA

Richardson–RFA

Miles

Haddadi

13

14

15

16

17

Delfino–RFA

Jawai

M-Bonsu–RFA

Beaubois–R

Ross

Williams

Nivins–R

Stackhouse

 

Carroll–R

 

TPE

Adams $0.7 M

Kapono $1.1 M

Moon $0.7 M

Solomon $0.7 M

 

Dooling $2.0 M

Wilks $0.8 M

 

 

Coming out the other side, today, this is what they look like now, respectively:

 

 

ROSTERS AFTER 4-TEAM TRADE

 

No

RAPTORS

MAVERICKS

MAGIC

GRIZZLIES

1

2

3

4

5

Calderon

Wright

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

Kidd

Howard

Marion

Nowitzki

Dampier

Nelson

Carter

Pietrus

Lewis

Howard

Conley

Mayo

Gay

Warrick–RFA

Gasol

6

7

8

9

10

Ukic

DeRozan–R

George

Evans

O’Bryant

Barea

Terry

Ross

Bass–UFA

Hollins–RFA

Johnson

Redick

Richardson–RFA

Anderson

Gortat–RFA

Jaric

Richardson

Young–R

Arthur

Thabeet–R

11

12

Banks

Delfino–RFA

Carroll

Singleton–UFA

 

Miles

Haddadi

13

14

15

M-Bonsu–RFA

 

Beaubois–R

Williams

Humphries

 

Carroll–R

16

17

 

Nivins–R

Jawai

 

 

TPE

Adams $0.7 M

Kapono $1.1 M

Moon $0.7 M

Solomon $0.7 M

 

Dooling $2.0 M

Wilks $0.8 M
Turkoglu $7.0 M

 

DP

 

 

 

2nd Rounder,

Tor/2016

CC

 

 

 

From Dallas

From Toronto


Legend:
UFA – Unrestricted Free Agent; RFA – Restricted Free Agent; R – Rookie Player; TPE – Traded Player Exception; DP – Draft Pick; CC - Cash Considerations

 

—————————————————

Which franchise made out best of all from the recent 4-team trade?

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—————————————————

The Perspective From This Corner

 

IMPROVEMENT TO ROSTER SITUATION

 

TEAM

MINUS

ADD

NET GAIN

MAVERICKS

Wright

George

Stackhouse

Marion

Buckner

Humphries

Jawai

Substantial improvement. i.e. Marion is the best overall player in the deal [+]. Period. Humphries is a serviceable Big [+]. Jawai is a reserve [0]. Buckner will be cut. Stackhouse was inactive. George was a reserve. Wright was a pseudo-Starter only.

RESULT: ++ Gain

MAGIC

Turkoglu

TPE $7.0-to-10.0 M

Zero immediate improvement, i.e. Add Carter; Lose Turkoglu [0] … BUT with a gigantic CAVEAT. Now have $7.0-to-10.0 M worth of TPE’s [+], should they be in contention for a championship this coming season, in an effort to push them over the final hurdle. A Commitment To Winning It All.

RESULT: 0|+ Gain

RAPTORS

Parker

Marion

Humphries

Jawai

Wright

Turkoglu

George

Marginal improvement, only. i.e. Parker is a better player than Wright [-]. Turkoglu is a better clutch player than Marion [+], but Marion is a better player overall and a lot more athletic [-]. George and Humphries are even.

Turkoglu commitment provides stability at #3/SF [+]

RESULT: >> 0 Gain

GRIZZLIES

Buckner

CC [?]

Almost Zero improvement. CC plus a 2nd Round Draft Pick way, way off in the distance.

RESULT: > 0 Gain

 

The fact is, however, that the Cleveland Cavaliers [Danny Ferry] MAY have benefitted most of all from this specific transaction, as they subsequently gained unfettered access to Anthony Parker, the exact sort of complementary wing player they were searching for … to augment LeBron James & Co., in an effort to win their 1st NBA Championship. 

Your feedback is welcome in the “Comments” section. :-)

Could a Bargnani trade benefit the Raptors?

Thursday, June 11th, 2009

There are some in Raptorville who take as sacrilege any and all discussion of a possible trade which involves Andrea Bargnani [7-0, 250, C, 4th-yr], the 2006 No. 1 [Overall] Draft Pick.

The main reasons for this are:

1. If Chris Bosh leaves the Raptors, via trade or Free Agency, who will be the team’s Franchise Player? Andrea Bargnani is seen as the best candidate to fulfil that specific role.

2. Andrea Bargnani has the “potential” to be a multi-dimensional “superstar” player in the NBA, once he finally gets his act together. Giving up on him, at this point of his career, would be “premature” and a serious mistake in judgment.

3. Andrea Bargnani … as a former No. 1 [Overall] Draft Pick, who has under-achieved to this point … is incapable of bearing the kind of fruit, on the open market, that can help transform the Raptors into a legitimate contending team … because no other GM would be stupid enough to acquire him in exchange for something of real worth/value to the Raptors.

Well … guess what?

Yours truly doesn’t buy this type of thinking for a minute.

* Knowing who the Raptors’ FOUNDATION player is [Jun 04, 2009]

* Five off-season moves for the Raptors which would have helped to address their Treadmill status [May 29, 2009]

Here is but one example of a straight-forward transaction which involves Andrea Bargnani, as a commodity worth trading for the Toronto Raptors:

Andrea Bargnani in exchange for Jeff Green + Kyle Weaver

Possible Considerations

I. If you’re Sam Presti, would you think seriously about acquiring a player with Bargnani’s developing skill set?

PG - Russell Westbrook
OG – Thabo Sefolosha
SF – Kevin Durant Durant
PF – Nick Collison
C – Andrea Bargnani

… to go with these 4 players on your current roster.

Hmmm …

II. If you’re Bryan Colangelo … once you’ve fully recovered from your self-induced mild heart attack, :-)  … might you, too, be intrigued by the prospect of a line-up which could look like this:

STARTERS
#1. PG – Jose Calderon
#2. OG – Kyle Weaver
#3. SF – Mystery Player #1 [via Shawn Marion trade]
#4. PF – Jeff Green
#5. C – Chris Bosh [or whoever replaces him at $15.0 M/yr]

BENCH
#6. PG - Marcus Banks
#7. PG – Roko Ukic
#8. PG/OG – Anthony Parker [re-signed]
#9. 2009 1st Round Draft Pick [via trading down]
#10. 2009 1st Round Draft Pick [bought for $3.0 M from Miami]
#11. SF – Joey Graham [re-signed]
#12. 2009 2nd Round Draft Pick [via trading down]
#13. PF – Kris Humphries
#14. PF – Reggie Evans [via Jason Kapono trade, Amen!]
#15. Mystery Player #2 [via Shawn Marion trade]

Whether or not the Raptors can bounce back this coming season to qualify for a spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs and then re-sign Chris Bosh next summer [i.e. during his period of unrestricted Free Agency], a proposed trade like this one … made in conjunction with a co-ordinated series of personnel moves, designed to improve the team’s Quality Depth and increase their actual number of youngish, athletic assets … is a viable option for Toronto to consider, moving forward.

An upwardly mobile team … like THAT … is what the Raptors should be trying to build.

[use the comments section to supply your thoughts]

————————————————————-

Would trading Andrea Bargnani for Jeff Green + Kyle Weaver be a sound move for the Raptors?

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Yes, Kapono had to go for the Raptors to improve, but …

Wednesday, June 10th, 2009

… given the specifics of this trade

and,

* Knowing who the Raptors’ FOUNDATION player is [Jun 04, 2009]

* Five off-season moves for the Raptors which would have helped to address their Treadmill status [May 29, 2009]

———-

1. Now is not the time to rejoice, in Raptorville; as,

2. Reggie Evans might not prove to be the “best fit” for their team; and, 

3. According to Bryan Colangelo [GM], We’re not done yet.”

The 76ers are one of three teams in the Atlantic Division that finished with a better Won-Lost Record than the Raptors [33-49/.402] this past season:

1. Boston Celtics, 62-20/.756
2. Philadelphia 76ers, 41-41/.500
3. New Jersey Nets, 34-48/.415

and, for all intents and purposes, give up nothing of value in this deal … given the list of Bigs which they have on their current roster; while adding a spot-up 3PT-shooter who they can use in limited minutes to stretch the defense and augment their more athletic slashing players.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

CURRENT PLAYER ROSTER OPTIONS

Guards

Wings

Bigs

Miller

Williams

Ivey

Iguodala

Green

Rush
Kapono

Young

Brand

Smith

Marshall

Dalembert

Ratliff

Speights

On the other hand, the Raptors now have a glut of players at their Big spots … including Bosh & Bargnani, their two most talented players … and remain relatively “unathletic” at the Wing position without a dynamic scorer who can consistently create his own shot:

TORONTO RAPTORS

CURRENT PLAYER ROSTER OPTIONS

Guards

Wings

Bigs

Calderon

Ukic

Banks

Parker
Marion

Delfino [?]

Graham

Douby

Bosh
Evans
Humphries
Mensah-Bonsu

Jawai

Bargnani
Voskuhl

O’Bryant

Nesterovic [?]

Depending on the OTHER moves which the Raptors decide to make this off-season, including who they select in the upcoming NBA Draft, time will tell if this trade is the first phase of an actual resurgence for their team, relative to the other squads in the Atlantic Division [and the Eastern Conference, in general], or not.

At this point, however, at least it’s a start down a better path.

Original Sin, in Raptorville

Tuesday, June 2nd, 2009

Araujo pick set off chain reaction
I‘ve always considered the drafting of Rafael Araujo the Raptors’ original sin. It set off a chain reaction the team has never really recovered from.

Araujo, as every Raptors fan knows, was picked No.8 overall by Rob Babcock, who promised on draft night that the big Brazilian was “Not a stiff.”

Well, he was a stiff. One with small hands and short arms and – quite literally – no upside.

Missing at No.8 isn’t ordinarily the end of the world. It happens. And it says A LOT about the NBA that having the chance to pick the eighth – or in this year’s draft – the ninth best player in the world in a given year carries with it no certainty of success.

Tough league.

But the 2004 draft had its share of good players. One of them – Andre Iguodala – was taken ninth by the Philadelphia 76ers, as every Raptors fan knows.

Which is the problem: It’s not so much that Araujo was a bust, it’s that Iguodala represents exactly and – short of Kobe/LeBron/Wade – I mean exactly what the franchise needs.

He slashes. He defends other wings. He’s a one-man fastbreak. He’s a passable spot-up shooter. He’s very good playmaker and passer. He’s relatively affordable, at $12-million a year, which is pretty good value for a Tier 1A wing player in the NBA.

But you know all this.

Still, I’ve been thinking about Iguodala as I’ve [been] watching Mickael Pietrus with the Orlando Magic.

———-

In contrast, what this corner sees is that the specific time-line … i.e. Chain Reaction … for the de-evolution of the Raptors looks like this:

* Fired Glen Grunwald, Apr 1, 2004
* Hired Rob Babcock, Jun 7, 2004
* Drafted Rafael Araujo [No. 8], Jun 24 2004
* Hired Sam Mitchell, Jun 29, 2004
* Traded Vince Carter, Dec 17, 2004 [for exactly what, in return?]
* Fired Babcock, Jan 26, 2006
* Hired Bryan Colangelo, Feb 28, 2006
* Drafted Andrea Bargnani [No. 1], Jun 28, 2006
* Traded Charlie Villanueva for TJ Ford, Jul 1, 2006
* Traded for Carlos Delfino, Jun 15, 2007
* Signed Jason Kapono, Jul 11, 2007
* Traded TJ Ford & Rasho Nesterovic & No. 17 Draft Pick for Jermaine O’Neal & No. 41 Draft Pick, Jun 26, 2008
* Signed Hassan Adams, Jul 8, 2008
* Signed Roko Ukic, Jul 16, 2008
* Signed Will Solomon, Jul 28, 2008
* Bought out Jorge Garbajosa, Aug 10, 2008
* Fired Mitchell, Dec 3, 2008

33-49/.402, 14th place in the Eastern Conference

———-

April 1, 2004 [and, then, Dec 17] will live-on, in infamy … as a sort of very real, cruel JOKE … in the history of this franchise, purpetrated by Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment [MLSE, i.e. Richard Peddie & Larry Tanenbaum]. 

Lack of Quality Depth is a major problem for the Raptors

Friday, May 29th, 2009

Understanding the demise of the Toronto Raptors, since the end of the 2006-2007 season to where the team stands today, means starting with a simple review of their personnel, Then vs Now:  

Then

47-35/.573
1st place, Atlantic Division
1st Round Playoff Loss
General Manager
– Bryan Colangelo
Head Coach – Sam Mitchell 
Main Players – TJ Ford/PG, Anthony Parker/OG, Morris Peterson/SF, Jorge Garbajosa/PF & Chris Bosh/C
Support Players – Jose Calderon, Darrick Martin, Juan Dixon, Joey Graham, Andrea Bargnani, Kris Humphries & Rasho Nesterovic,

Now

33-49/.402
4th place, Atlantic Division
Failed to qualify for the Playoffs
General Manager
– Bryan Colangelo
Head CoachJay Triano 
Main Players - Jose Calderon/PG, Anthony Parker/OG, Shawn Marion/SF, Chris Bosh/PF & Andrea Bargnani/C
Support PlayersRoko UkicMarcus Banks, Quincy Douby, Jason Kapono, Joey Graham, Pops Mensah-Bonsu, Kris Humphries, Nathan Jawai, Jake Voskuhl & Patrick O’Bryant

Italics – “New” Personnel

If you compare the two teams individual-by-individual, this is what you should be able to see:

Position

THEN

NOW

Comparison

General Manager

Bryan Colangelo

Bryan Colangelo

Comparable

Head Coach

Sam Mitchell

Jay Triano

Mitchell was better – Then

Point Guard
Off Guard
Small Forward

Power Forward

Center

TJ Ford
Anthony Parker

Morris Peterson

Jorge Garbajosa
Chris Bosh

Jose Calderon
Anthony Parker
Shawn Marion

Chris Bosh
Andrea Bargnani

Calderon is better – Now
Comparable

Comparable

Comparable [“Tough vs Good”]

Bosh was better – Then

Back-up PG
3rd String PG
Back-up OG
Back-up SF
Back-up PF
Back-up PF
Back-up C

Jose Calderon

Darrick Martin

Juan Dixon

Joey Graham

Andrea Bargnani

Kris Humphries

Rasho Nesterovic

Roko Ukic

Marcus Banks
Jason Kapono
Joey Graham

Pops Mensah-Bonsu

Kris Humphries

Patrick O’Bryant

Calderon was better – Then

Martin was better – Then
Comparable

Comparable
Bargnani was better – Then
Comparable
Nesterovic was better – Then

Extra Player A
Extra Player B
Extra Player C

Player 13

Player 14

Player 15

Quincy Douby

Nathan Jawai

Jake Voskuhl

No Comparison
No Comparison
No Comparison

 

 

Those who think that the current version of the Raptors is somehow lacking “Leadership” from Chris Bosh & Jose Calderon, or that CB4 is somehow NOT worthy of consideration as a legit “Franchise Player” in the NBA, or that El Matador is somehow “Too Conservative With The Ball & NOT Dynamic Enough”, as a main-frame PG, etc., to form The Core of a contending team in the Eastern Conference are displaying an overall lack of Basketball Acumen, when it comes to Understanding How Exactly the NBA Game Works.

Instead of BUILDING UP the remainder of the team’s personnel AROUND Chris Bosh [C] and Jose Calderon [PG], since the end of the 2006-2007 season, what Bryan Colangelo has done is DECREASED/LOWERED the actual Ability Level & Functionality of the other key pieces to the Raptors puzzle.

Until the Raptors re-stock their barren shelves with Additional Players to provide them with INCREASED Ability Level & Functionality, in terms of QALITY DEPTH, overall, they will remain a Treadmill Team, in the Salary Cap-driven NBA. 

———-

Q1. How many of the current Raptors would rank in the top half of all the players in the League at their respective positions?

A1. Excluding Chris Bosh [C] & Jose Calderon [PG] … very few, if any.

 

Five off-season moves for the Raptors which would have helped to address their Treadmill status

Friday, May 29th, 2009

The date for this entry should read January 1, 2010.

——————————————–

Looking back on the first phase of the 2009-2010 season, it’s clear that the Raptors failed to address their major problems adequately during the off-season when Bryan Colangelo [GM] could/SHOULD have:

i. Not hired Jay Triano, as their permanent head coach;
ii. Traded Down from #9;
iii. Signed/acquired a veteran Back-up PG, or re-signed A-Parker in that role;
iv. Traded Jason Kapono; and,
v. Traded Andrea Bargnani.

Making a series of coordinated personnel moves like that would have significantly altered the Raptors list of assets this season, as the team struggles to qualify for a spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs, avoid the Draft Lottery for a 2nd consecutive year, and retain its franchise player, Chris Bosh.

——————————————–

Time will tell how accurate this assessment actually is … 7 months in advance … regarding the Raptors plight in the EC.

Game 82 for the Raptors, plus the Kapono Effect

Thursday, April 16th, 2009

FINAL SCORE: Raptors 109, BULLS 98
Complete Game Info

———-

Earlier this season, Scott G., an astute NBA observer with a backgound in the game as a former university player, asked if this corner might be able to unearth some more information about what was casually referred to here as The Jason Kapono Effect on this year’s Toronto Raptors.

Although some might find it hard to believe, yours truly is a rather busy camper these days and doesn’t have nearly as much time available to devote to an in-depth statistical analysis of all-things Raptors, especially, in a season like this one … which has seen the team plummet to 13th place in the EC Standings.

Still, whenever possible, it’s a pleasure to provide a brief glimpse of something specific like this for a first-class individual like Scott G., if the opportunity presents itself, admittedly, in a limited way.

Such was the occasion last night, for the Raptors’ final game of the 2008-2009 season, versus the Chicago Bulls [7th place in the EC].

This is how the game played out for the Raptors:

 

TORONTO RAPTORS’ SHIFT TRACKER

Wed Apr 15 2009 at Chicago Bulls

 

#

Time

1

2

3

4

5

Diff

1st Quarter

1

08:42

Calderon

Parker

Marion

Bosh

O’Bryant

+13

2

01:30

Calderon

Parker

Marion

MBonsu

Bosh

0

3

01:09

Ukic

Parker

Marion

MBonsu

Bosh

+1

4

00:39

Ukic

Parker

Marion

MBonsu

O’Bryant

0

2nd Quarter

5

01:46

Ukic

Kapono

Graham

MBonsu

O’Bryant

-2

6

02:59

Ukic

Kapono

Graham

Bosh

O’Bryant

+4

7

00:54

Calderon

Kapono

Graham

Marion

Bosh

-5

8

01:57

Calderon

Parker

Kapono

Marion

Bosh

-7

9

03:37

Calderon

Parker

Marion

Bosh

O’Bryant

+3

10

00:25

Calderon

Parker

Graham

Marion

Bosh

+4

11

00:22

Calderon

Ukic

Graham

Marion

Bosh

0

3rd Quarter

12

06:21

Calderon

Parker

Marion

Bosh

O’Bryant

+1

13

02:13

Calderon

Parker

Marion

Bosh

Voskuhl

0

14

01:39

Ukic

Parker

Marion

Bosh

Voskuhl

+2

15

00:47

Ukic

Kapono

Graham

Bosh

Voskuhl

0

4th Quarter

16

03:04

Ukic

Kapono

Graham

Marion

O’Bryant

+1

17

03:30

Calderon

Kapono

Graham

Marion

Bosh

-5

18

05:05

Calderon

Parker

Kapono

Marion

Bosh

+1

19

00:21

Calderon

Parker

Kapono

Graham

O’Bryant

-1

 

LEGEND:

Bold – Player subbed into game; Italics – Player shifted to different position.

 

and this is how things looked from a “Best Raptors” and “Best Bulls” on the floor perspective, according to the rudimentary k-PER [i.e. khandor's Player Efficiency Rating] which was explained here last week:

Bulls  98

Raptors  109

 

Player

MIN

kPER

D-Rose

43

+28

J-Noah

31

+21

B-Miller

30

+20

Ty-Thomas

30

+17

B-Gordon

36

+9

L-Johnson

4

+2

Ti-Thomas

19

+2

J-Salmons

29

-3

K-Hinrich

17

-6

A-Gray

DNP

L-Hunter

DNP

A-Roberson

DNP

L-Deng

DNP

J-James

DNP

D-Nelson

DNP

TOTAL

 

90

 

Player

MIN

kPER

S-Marion

42

+43

J-Calderon

36

+23

C-Bosh

42

+20

A-Parker

35

+10

P-O’Bryant

27

+8

J-Kapono

20

+7

R-Ukic

12

+4

J-Voskuhl

6

+3

J-Graham

14

+1

P-MBonsu

5

-5

Q-Doubyl

DNP

M-Banks

DNP

N-Jawai

DNP

K-Humphries

DNP

A-Bargnani

DNP

TOTAL

 

114

 

If you examine these two indexes thoroughly what you should be able to see for yourself are the following facts:

The Raptors played without Andrea Bargnani last night.

The Raptors finished +23 when Chris Bosh played Power Forward [20:42].
The Raptaors finished -11 when Chris Bosh played Center [14:52].
The Raptors finished -1 when Chris Bosh was on the bench [05:50].

When Chris Bosh played Center AND Jason Kapono was on the floor … for 11:26 … the Raptors finished -16.

When Chris Bosh played Center AND Jason Kapono was NOT on the floor … for 03:26 … the Raptors finished +5.

———-

Preliminary Conclusions

When the Raptors play without Andrea Bargnani in their line-up AND play Chris Bosh at Center AND do NOT have Jason Kapono on the floor in a 5-Man Unit with CB4 they may be a solid team in the EC that is capable of competing effectively with squads like the Chicago Bulls.

Pointing Toward The Future

Some other enterprising young person should take the time to study initial data like this and then track the “cumulative negative effect” it has on a NBA team when a non-rebounder/defender who is also an infrequent shooter and does not get to the Free Throw very much at all … like Jason Kapono … is on the court for as much as 20 minutes per game, beside a finesse Center like Chris Bosh and finesse Point Guards like Jose Calderon and/or Roko Ukic and/or Anthony parker.

What they might find is that this type of comparative analysis actually yields a statistically significant finding … with the benefit of a representative sample size … which indicates that the Raptors are simply WASTING THEIR AVAILABLE RESOURCES by employing a player like Jason Kapono in this way.

From the perspective of this corner … although these old eyes could always be mistaken about this … a formal research study of that particular type doesn’t appear to be necessary. ;-)

Comparing the Raptors to the Wizards

Saturday, April 11th, 2009

FINAL SCORE: RAPTORS 98, Wizards 100
Complete Game Info

————————————————————

The Wizards’ [15th place, 19-61/.238] immediate future is so much brighter, in comparison with the Raptors’ [14th place, 30-49/.380], that it’s not even funny.

STARTERS
Arenas vs Calderon
Young vs Parker [past his prime]
Butler vs Marion [past his prime]
Jamison vs Bosh [playing out of position]
Haywood vs Bargnani [not a dominating Center]

KEY SUBS
Crittenton vs Ukic [not yet ready for the NBA]
Stevenson vs Kapono [an albatross]
McGuire vs Graham
Songaila vs Humphries
Blatche vs O’Bryant [not an NBA-level player]

EXTRAS
James vs Banks [not an NBA-level player; an albatross]
Dixon vs Douby [not an NBA-level player]
McGee vs Jawai [not an NBA-level player]
Pecherov vs Voskuhl [not an NBA-level player]
Thomas vs ?

UPCOMING DRAFT PICK
No. 1-3 [overall] Selection vs No. 8-9 Selection [if not traded again]

Thinking back to where the Raptors’ player roster was in Jan-Feb/06, before Bryan Colangelo [Pres/GM] was hired, and comparing it to the current one:

Raptors Roster 2005-2006

27 – 55 .329 (pythagorean: 31 – 51 .382)

Name G Min Pts PPG FGM FGA FGP FTM FTA FTP 3PM 3PA 3PP REB RPG AST APG STL BLK TO
Chris Bosh 70 2753 1572 22.5 549 1087 .505 474 581 .816 0 13 .000 647 9.2 181 2.6 50 79 157
Mike James 79 2922 1604 20.3 576 1228 .469 283 338 .837 169 382 .442 262 3.3 460 5.8 72 3 206
Morris Peterson 82 3139 1374 16.8 478 1096 .436 241 294 .820 177 448 .395 381 4.6 190 2.3 104 15 126
Charlie Villanueva 81 2364 1053 13.0 435 940 .463 113 160 .706 70 214 .327 521 6.4 88 1.1 60 63 99
Jalen Rose 46 1238 557 12.1 180 446 .404 166 217 .765 31 115 .270 129 2.8 113 2.5 20 10 65
Matt Bonner 78 1711 583 7.5 209 467 .448 63 76 .829 102 243 .420 284 3.6 56 0.7 49 31 32
Joey Graham 80 1579 533 6.7 198 414 .478 108 133 .812 29 87 .333 244 3.1 60 0.8 37 13 92
Jose Calderon 64 1485 349 5.5 132 312 .423 78 92 .848 7 43 .163 141 2.2 288 4.5 42 4 101
Andre Barrett 17 261 78 4.6 35 97 .361 6 9 .667 2 13 .154 22 1.3 50 2.9 10 0 14
Antonio Davis 8 191 35 4.4 14 31 .452 7 20 .350 0 0 .000 36 4.5 7 0.9 3 1 8
Pape Sow 42 591 147 3.5 53 123 .431 41 57 .719 0 0 .000 146 3.5 8 0.2 21 19 30
Eric Williams 28 356 91 3.3 29 75 .387 28 38 .737 5 18 .278 50 1.8 15 0.5 7 2 15
Darrick Martin 40 340 102 2.6 34 97 .351 18 24 .750 16 40 .400 20 0.5 57 1.4 17 0 15
Rafael Araujo 53 618 125 2.4 55 152 .362 15 28 .536 0 2 .000 145 2.7 21 0.4 25 6 42
Loren Woods 27 324 62 2.3 28 59 .475 6 14 .429 0 1 .000 110 4.1 4 0.1 9 23 16
Aaron Williams 14 99 25 1.8 10 19 .526 5 6 .833 0 0 .000 15 1.1 1 0.1 4 3 5
Alvin Williams 1 10 1 1.0 0 3 .000 1 2 .500 0 2 .000 3 3.0 0 0.0 0 0 0
2006 No. 1 [overall], 1st Round Draft Pick
2006 No. 5 [overall], 2nd Round Draft Pick

is enough to put tears in the eyes of someone who really knows how to go about building a championship calibre NBA franchise, given the assets at their disposal 3 seasons ago.

———-

Where exactly each of these teams go from here will be determined by their respective General Managers, one of whom is already a 2-time NBA Executive Of the Year Award winner … the other of whom has yet to be recognized by his peers in this way [i.e. Ernie Grunfeld].

If the actual wager was …

Which one’s team is going to finish with more WINS during the 2009-2010 season AND go further in the NBA Playoffs?

on whom would YOU be willing to bet a sizable portion of YOUR own hard-earned money?