Posts Tagged ‘Golden State Warriors’

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Coming down the home stretch, Legitimate Contenders for the 2009-2010 NBA Championship

Monday, March 1st, 2010

Every year since the 2000-2001 season, each of the two teams which have reached the NBA Finals (i.e. the Champion and the Finalist) have also finished the regular season schedule with a Quality Rating (QR) of 34, or better, and a Quality Index Rank (QIR) of #11 or better (when compared to all playoff teams that year) … i.e. What it takes to win the NBA Championship.

If the NBA Playoffs were to start today, this is what the list of legitimate contenders to win the championship actually looks like:

LEGITIMATE CONTENDERS TO WIN THE NBA CHAMPIONSHIP

[as of Sun Feb 28 2010]

TEAM

W-L REC

WIN %

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

ECPT-QIR

WCPT-QIR

Cavaliers

46-14

.767

1

5

1

7

1

1

 

Magic

40-20

.667

3

6

5

14

2

2

 

Lakers

45-15

.750

2

8

5

15

3

 

3

Spurs

33-24

.579

8

9

3

20

4

 

4

Thunder

35-23

.603

9

7

5

21

5

 

5

Jazz

38-21

.644

4

13

5

22

6

 

6

Blazers

35-27

.565

11

4

10

25

7

 

7

Bobcats

28-29

.491

14

2

12

28

8

8

 

Heat

29-31

.483

14

3

12

29

9

 

 

Celtics

36-21

.632

6

1

23

30

10

9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bulls

31-28

.525

19

14

4

37

11

10

 

Bucks

30-29

.508

13

11

14

38

12

11

 

Hawks

37-21

.638

6

12

24

42

13

12

 

Grizzlies

30-29

.508

18

23

2

43

14

 

 

Pistons

21-38

.356

25

10

9

44

15

 

 

Mavericks

39-21

.650

12

15

18

45

16

 

13

Nuggets

39-20

.661

5

22

22

49

17

 

14

76ers

22-36

.379

21

17

14

52

T-18

 

 

Clippers

24-35

.407

25

16

11

52

T-18

 

 

Rockets

29-29

.500

16

21

18

55

T-20

 

 

Hornets

31-29

.517

20

19

26

55

T-20

 

 

Suns

37-24

.607

10

29

20

59

22

 

15

Wizards

21-36

.368

23

20

20

63

23

 

 

Knicks

20-38

.345

22

25

29

66

24

 

 

Raptors

31-27

.534

17

26

24

67

25

16

 

Kings

20-39

.339

25

27

16

68

26

 

 

Timberwolves

14-47

.230

29

28

17

74

27

 

 

Nets

6-53

.102

30

18

27

75

28

 

 

Pacers

20-39

.339

28

24

28

80

29

 

 

Warriors

17-41

.293

24

30

30

84

30

 

 

LEGEND: W-L REC – Won-Loss Record; WIN % - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. No. 1-30]; ECPT-QIR – Eastern Conference Playoff Teams Quality Index Ranking; WCPT-QIR – Western Conference Playoff Team Quality Index Ranking; Blue Shade – Eastern Conference Playoff Teams; Red Shade – Western Conference Playoff Teams.

There are only 9 teams in the hunt with a little more than 1 month’s worth of games left to be played.

4 in the Eastern Conference:

Cleveland Cavaliers [#1]
Orlando Magic [#2]
Charlotte Bobcats [#8], and
Boston Celtics [#9];

and,

5 in the Western Conference:

Los Angeles Lakers [#3]
San Antonio Spurs [#4]
Oklahoma City Thunder [#5]
Utah Jazz [#6], and
Portland Trail Blazers [#7].

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Posted in Analytics, Basketball, NBA | No Comments »

Most Efficient Teams in the NBA, Pre All-Star Break

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010

When the numbers are crunched … 

NBA 2009-2010

PRE ALL-STAR BREAK

TEAM EFFECTIVENESS RANKINGS

[as of Thu Feb 11 2010]

TEAM

W-L REC

WIN %

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

OFF

POSS/G

DEF

POSS/G

O-PPP

O-PPP

RK

D-PPP

D-

PPP

RK

PPP

DIFF

PPP

DIFF

RK

CAVALIERS 1

43-11

0.796

1

2

1

4

1

103

104

0.99

T-2

0.91

T-5

0.08

1

CELTICS 4

32-18

0.640

5

1

23

29

9

103

105

0.96

T-7

0.89

T-1

0.07

2

MAGIC 2

36-18

0.667

3

7

5

15

2

104

106

0.97

T-5

0.91

T-5

0.06

T-3

LAKERS 1

41-13

0.759

2

9

7

18

T-4

109

108

0.95

T-12

0.89

T-1

0.06

T-3

JAZZ 3

32-19

0.627

6

12

9

27

T-7

106

106

0.97

T-5

0.92

T-8

0.05

T-5

NUGGETS 2

35-18

0.660

4

22

18

44

T-13

109

109

0.98

4

0.93

T-12

0.05

T-5

SPURS 5

30-21

0.588

6

8

3

17

3

105

104

0.96

T-7

0.92

T-8

0.04

T-7

SUNS 7

31-22

0.585

10

29

25

64

T-22

110

112

1.00

1

0.96

T-23

0.04

T-7

THUNDER 6

30-21

0.588

9

5

4

18

T-4

107

107

0.92

T-18

0.89

T-1

0.03

T-9

HAWKS 3

33-18

0.647

8

11

20

39

11

105

105

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

MAVERICKS 4

32-20

0.615

12

15

20

47

T-16

105

107

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

BLAZERS 8

31-24

0.564

11

4

6

21

6

102

101

0.96

T-7

0.94

T-16

0.02

T-12

HEAT 7

26-27

0.491

13

6

15

34

10

103

104

0.94

T-15

0.92

T-8

0.02

T-12

RAPTORS 5

29-23

0.558

17

26

24

67

25

106

108

0.99

T-2

0.97

T-29

0.02

T-12

BOBCATS 6

26-25

0.510

13

2

12

27

T-7

105

104

0.91

T-22

0.91

T-5

0.00

T-15

HORNETS

28-25

0.528

19

19

26

64

T-22

106

107

0.95

T-12

0.95

T-19

0.00

T-15

KNICKS

19-32

0.373

21

24

27

72

27

108

109

0.94

T-15

0.95

T-19

-0.01

T-17

WARRIORS

13-40

0.245

24

30

30

84

30

113

116

0.95

T-12

0.96

T-23

-0.01

T-17

BULLS 8

25-26

0.490

22

14

8

44

T-13

109

108

0.88

T-27

0.90

4

-0.02

T-19

BUCKS

24-27

0.471

15

13

18

46

15

109

106

0.90

T-24

0.92

T-8

-0.02

T-19

ROCKETS

27-24

0.529

16

18

16

50

19

110

107

0.92

T-18

0.94

T-16

-0.02

T-19

PACERS

18-34

0.346

28

25

28

81

29

110

111

0.90

T-24

0.93

T-12

-0.03

T-22

76ERS

20-32

0.385

20

16

13

49

18

106

106

0.92

T-18

0.95

T-19

-0.03

T-22

GRIZZLIES

26-25

0.510

18

23

2

43

12

110

107

0.93

17

0.96

T-23

-0.03

T-22

CLIPPERS

21-31

0.404

26

17

16

59

20

106

106

0.90

T-24

0.94

T-16

-0.04

T-25

WIZARDS

17-33

0.340

25

21

20

66

24

107

107

0.91

T-22

0.95

T-19

-0.04

T-25

KINGS

18-34

0.346

23

27

11

61

21

111

110

0.92

T-18

0.96

T-23

-0.04

T-25

PISTONS

18-33

0.353

27

10

10

47

T-16

105

100

0.87

29

0.96

T-23

-0.09

T-28

T-WOLVES

13-40

0.245

29

28

14

71

26

112

110

0.88

T-27

0.97

T-29

-0.09

T-28

NETS

04-48

0.077

30

20

29

79

28

105

105

0.86

30

0.96

T-23

-0.1

30

LEGEND: W-L REC – Won-Loss Record; WIN% - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. No. 1-30]; O-POSS/G – Offensive Possessions/Game [i.e. Possessions = FGA’s + TO’s + FTA’s*.44]; D-POSS/G – Defensive Possessions/Game; O-PPP – Offensive Points Per Possession; O-PPP RK – Offensive Points Per Possession Ranking; D-PPP – Defensive Points Per Possession; D-PPP RK – Defensive Points Per Possession Ranking; PPP-DIFF – Points Per Possession Differential; PPP-DIFF RK – Points Per Possession Differential Ranking; Blue Shade – Eastern Conference playoff teams; Red Shade – Western Conference playoff teams.

 

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Posted in Analytics, Basketball, NBA | No Comments »

Most Efficient Defense in the NBA, Pre All-Star Break

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010

The top defensive squads in the 1st half of the regular season were:

NBA 2009-2010

PRE ALL-STAR BREAK

TEAM EFFECTIVENESS RANKINGS

[as of Thu Feb 11 2010]

TEAM

W-L REC

WIN %

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

OFF

POSS/G

DEF

POSS/G

O-PPP

O-PPP

RK

D-PPP

D-

PPP

RK

PPP

DIFF

PPP

DIFF

RK

LAKERS 1

41-13

0.759

2

9

7

18

T-4

109

108

0.95

T-12

0.89

T-1

0.06

T-3

THUNDER 6

30-21

0.588

9

5

4

18

T-4

107

107

0.92

T-18

0.89

T-1

0.03

T-9

CELTICS 4

32-18

0.640

5

1

23

29

9

103

105

0.96

T-7

0.89

T-1

0.07

2

BULLS 8

25-26

0.490

22

14

8

44

T-13

109

108

0.88

T-27

0.90

4

-0.02

T-19

CAVALIERS 1

43-11

0.796

1

2

1

4

1

103

104

0.99

T-2

0.91

T-5

0.08

1

MAGIC 2

36-18

0.667

3

7

5

15

2

104

106

0.97

T-5

0.91

T-5

0.06

T-3

BOBCATS 6

26-25

0.510

13

2

12

27

T-7

105

104

0.91

T-22

0.91

T-5

0.00

T-15

SPURS 5

30-21

0.588

6

8

3

17

3

105

104

0.96

T-7

0.92

T-8

0.04

T-7

JAZZ 3

32-19

0.627

6