Posts Tagged ‘Denver Nuggets’

Raptors over-matched vs Nuggets

Wednesday, November 18th, 2009

Toronto Raptors 112
DENVER NUGGETS 130
Tue Nov 17 2009 – Game Scoreboard

With both Hedo Turkoglu [SF, 6-10, 220] and Reggie Evans [PF, 6-8, 245] out of the line-up, the Raptors were “physically” over-matched vs the Nuggets in last night’s game.

ASSESSING INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS BASED ON SIZE, STRENGTH, AGILITY AND EXPLOSIVE QUICKNESS

Defensively, from Denver’s perspective

Nene * [6-11, 250, i.e. size and agility] is a terrific check vs Chris Bosh [6-10, 230], anytime that CB4 does not step-off from the block. 

Kenyon Martin * [6-9, 240, i.e. size, strength, agility and explosive quickness] is a terrific check vs Andrea Bargnani [7-0, 250]. Period.

The combination of Nene and K-Mart is a terrific pairing vs CB4 and Bargnani … since: [i] Andrea is a perimeter Center who cannot take Kenyon into the low-post to do damage, and [ii] whenever CB4 steps out to the perimeter it then leaves Toronto with ZERO low-post game.

Chris Andersen * [6-10, 228, i.e. agility and explosive quickness] is a terrific check vs either [a] Amir Johnson * [6-9, 210] or [b] Rasho Nesterovic [7-0, 255.

Arron Afflalo * [6-5, 215, i.e. strength and agility] is a solid check vs DeMar DeRozan * [6-7, 220].

Defensively, from Toronto’s Perspective

Carmelo Anthony * [6-8, 230, i.e. size, strength and agility] is a nightmare for the Raptors. Period.

Chauncey Billups * [6-3, 202, i.e. strength] is a difficult check for the Raptors. Period.

JR [Earl] Smith * [6-6, 220] i.e. expolosive quickness] is a difficult check for the Raptors, when they try to go with Marco Belinelli [6-5, 200, i.e. less strength and less quickness; more offensive skill] instead of Sonny Weems * [6-6, 203, i.e. as much strength and quickness; less offensive skill].

Ty Lawson * [5-11, 195, i.e. quickness] is a difficult check for the Raptors. Period.

Physically, Denver is a superior team to Toronto and simply worn down the Raptors’ best players in the 2nd [36-35/+1], 3rd [33-25/+8] and 4th [33-23/+10] quarters.

There’s no magic answer when these two teams play.

Last night:

Denver generated 105 offensive possessions [with just 3 O-Rebs].
Toronto generated 117 offensive possessions [with 19 O-Rebs].

Denver shot 61.5 [FG%].
Toronto shot 46.2 [FG%].

Denver generated 68 points in the paint.
Toronto generated 34 points in the paint.

Denver scored points at a rate of 1.238 per possession.
Toronto scored points at a rate of 0.957 per possession.

When a team like Toronto [which scores alot of points per game and yields alot of points per game, in return] plays a team like Denver [which scores alot of points per game and yields alot of points per game, in return ... but, also has physically gifted players [*] at several positions] then Toronto is going to end up on the short end of the scoreboard a majority of the time.

When Toronto has faced a Quality Opponent [.500+] this season which has not:

i. Been in the 2nd half of a back-2-back; or,
ii. Made the mistake of playing their 2 hulking centers together vs the combo of Bosh and Bargnani;

the Dinos have performed in the following way:

Game

Opp.

W-L

Result

Rec

PG

PA

PS/Poss.

PA/Poss.

3

vs Orl

8-3

L, 116-125

0-1

103

109

1.126

1.147

6

@ DAL

8-3

L, 101-129

0-2

108

102

0.935

1.265

10

@ PHO

10-2

L, 100-101

0-3

105

105

0.953

0.962

11

@ DEN

8-3

L, 112-130

0-4

105

105

0.957

1.238

Legend:

Opp. – Opponent; W-L – Opponent’s Won-Lost record; Rec – Team’s Won-Lost record; PG – Possessions Generated; PA – Possessions Allowed; PS/Poss. – Points scored per possession; PA/Poss. – Points allowed per possession.
Possession [Poss.] = Field Goal Attempts + Total Turnovers + [FTA * .44] 

In general, teams that surrender more than 1.0 points per possession, vs a specific set of opponents, while scoring fewer than 1.0 points per possession themselves, have too many players who are “physically” inferior to their individual counterparts when matched-up with those teams.

Where the Raptors rate right now, compared to the best teams in the NBA

Tuesday, November 17th, 2009

When ESPN and NBA.com publish weekly “power rankings”, it can be easy for casual fans to get swept away and begin to think that their favourite team might be better than it actually is, and in the process of becoming a legitimate contender.

However …

When you take a more in-depth look some of the specific factors which contribute to a team’s real ability, in this regard, relative to its opponents, what you should be able to see for yourself is a slightly different picture:

Legit Contenders For The NBA Championship: PART I

Updating these “unbiased” numbers through the games played as of Sunday, November 15, 2009 reveals that the Toronto Raptors remain exactly where they were the week before, i.e. occupying the #25 slot in the Association.

Quality Index Ranking [QIR]

1. Portland Trail Blazers, 8-3/.727 | QR = 5
2. Boston Celtics, 8-3/.727 | QR = 18
3. Milwaukee Bucks, 5-2/.714 | QR = 19
3. Miami Heat, 7-2/.778 | QR = 19
5. Dallas Mavericks, 7-3, .700 | QR = 21
6. Atlanta Hawks, 8-2/.800 | QR = 27
7. Oklahoma City Thunder, 5-5/.500 | QR = 28
8. Cleveland Cavaliers, 7-3/.700 | QR = 30
9. Charlotte Bobcats, 3-6/.333 | QR = 32
10. Detroit Pistons, 5-5/.500 | QR = 34
———————————————
11. Orlando Magic, 7-3/.700 | QR = 39
====================================
12. Chicago Bulls, 5-4/.556 | QR = 40
13. Phoenix Suns, 9-2/.818 | QR = 45
13. Indiana Pacers, 4-3/.571 | QR = 45
15. Utah Jazz, 4-6/.400 | QR = 46
16. LA Lakers, 7-3/.700 | QR = 48
16. Denver Nuggets, 7-3/.700 | QR = 48
16. Sacramento Kings, 5-4/.556 | QR = 48
19. San Antonio Spurs, 4-4/.500 | QR = 49
20. Washington Wizards, 2-7/.222 | QR = 51
21. Houston Rockets, 6-4/.600 | QR = 54
22. Memphis Grizzlies, 2-8/.200 | QR = 58
23. LA Clippers, 4-7/.364 | QR = 62
24. Philadelphia 76ers, 4-6/.400 | QR = 66
25. Toronto Raptors, 5-5/.500 | QR = 67
25. New Jersey Nets, 1-10/.000 | QR = 67
27. New Orleans Hornets, 3-8/.273 | QR = 78 
28. Minnesota Timberwolves, 1-10/.091 | QR = 79
29. Golden State Warriors, 3-6/.333 | QR = 80
30. New York Knicks, 1-9/.100 | QR = 86

On an annual basis … teams that lead the league in:

* Points Differential, accumulate the most regular season W’s. Toronto is #17.

* Points Scored Allowed, have the ability to limit their opponent’s offensive productivity at crunch time. Toronto is #26.

* Rebounding Differential have the level of physicality required to advance in the post-season, when the outcome of games becomes a battle of collective will. Toronto is #24.

In each of these specific areas, the simple fact is that … the Raptors still have a long way to go before they can be considered a legitimate contender this season.

Legit Contenders To Win The NBA Championship, 2009-2010: PART I

Monday, November 9th, 2009

The 2009-2010 NBA regular season schedule began on Tuesday, Oct 27, 2009, just less than 2 weeks ago.

Each team in the league has now played 5 games, at least, with certain ones having already played as many as 7.

What patterns have already begun to emerge?

LEGITIMATE CONTENDERS TO WIN THE

NBA CHAMPIONSHIP, 2009-2010: PART I

QIR

Team, W-L/%

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

CR

1

Boston Celtics,

7-1/.875

1

1

9

11

E1

2

Milwaukee Bucks,

3-2/.600

7

2

4

13

E2

3

Miami Heat,

5-1/.833

2

6

7

15

E3

4

Portland Trail Blazers,

4-3/.571

4

8

3

15

W1

 

Dallas Mavericks,

4-2/.667

3

10

6

19

W2

6

Okla City Thunder,
3-3/.500

11

4

5

20

W3

7

Charlotte Bobcats,

3-3/.500

19

3

2

24

E4

8

Cleveland Cavaliers,

4-3/.571

10

5

11

26

E5

9

Los Angeles Lakers,

6-1/.857 *

5

11

16

32

W4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

Phoenix Suns,

6-1/.857

6

24

10

40

W5

11

Orlando Magic,

5-2/.714 *

12

14

15

41

E6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chicago Bulls,

4-2/.667

24

9

8

41

E7

13

Atlanta Hawks,

5-2/.714

9

20

14

43

E8

 

Detroit Pistons,

3-4/.429

16

7

20

43

 

15

Washington Wizards,

2-5/.286 *

22

13

12

47

 

16

San Antonio Spurs,

2-3/.400

14

12

26

52

W6

17

Houston Rockets,

4-2/.667 *

13

18

22

53

W7

18

Los Angeles Clippers,

3-4/.429

15

16

23

54

W8

19

Denver Nuggets,

5-2/.714 *

8

23

24

55

 

20

Indiana Pacers,

2-3/.400

21

17

18

56

 

 

Memphis Grizzlies,

1-6/.143

26

29

1

56

 

22

Sacramento Kings,

3-4/.429

18

26

13

57

 

23

Philadelphia 76ers,

3-3/.500

23

21

17

61

 

 

Utah Jazz,

2-4/.333

20

22

19

61

 

25

Toronto Raptors,

3-3/.500

17

27

20

64

E13 

26

Minnesota T-wolves,
1-6/.143

27

19

25

71

 

 

New Jersey Nets,

0-7/.000

30

14

27

71

 

28

New Orleans Hornets,

2-5/.286

25

25

28

78

 

29

New York Knicks,

1-6/.143

28

28

30

86

 

30

Golden State Warriors,

1-4/.200

29

30

29

88

 

Legend: QIR – Quality Index Ranking; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; CR – Conference Ranking; * – Significant player[s] OUT.

 

What It Takes To Win The NBA Championship

Where does your favourite squad rate, right now, in comparison with the best teams in the Association?

What are its specific strengths and weaknesses?

What specific aspects of the game will it need to improve, in order to:

i. Qualify for the playoffs?

ii. Win a 1st Round playoff series?

iii. Advance to the Conference Finals? or,

iv. Reach the NBA Finals?

Each season there are only a handful of teams which SHOULD be considered as ”legitimate contenders”, i.e. with what it takes to actually win the championship that year … as well as, in the not-too-distant future … while the rest are, in fact, strictly “pretenders”.

—————————-

PS. As the season progresses, it’s always interesting to see which teams move up on this chart, stay the same, or move down.

Mark Warkentien, Big Bertha and Mr. Big Shot

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

Although the top end of the Western Conference is going to be a beast once again this season, those expecting the Nuggets to, perhaps, take a step backwards or sideways, might need to re-think that position, at least, in light of …

Warkentien: Nuggets not afraid to make future moves
“We’ll see where we’re at,” Warkentien said. “I think one thing, and history’s proven it, if we indeed have slipped and we get to that analysis, I think our group has proven that we’ll take the driver out and give it a big swing.”

In addition to accomplishing the priority of re-signing forward Chris Andersen, the Nuggets made a series of small moves during the summer to maintain the continuity of the team. Some fans were a bit antsy that the Nuggets didn’t bring in a big-name free agent ala San Antonio, which added Richard Jefferson or the Lakers, who added Ron Artest.

But the Nuggets have made big moves in the past. The last two being the Chauncey Billups trade last season, and the Allen Iverson trade two years prior to that. But Warkentien stresses that the Nuggets are not just satisfied right now, but confident with what they’ve done and where they stand in the Western Conference.

“We’re in a good spot,” Warkentien said. “If we get stuck, Big Bertha’s coming out. Big Bertha’s still in the bag. We’ve swung that stick before. Institutionally, we’re not afraid to make a move. We’ll pull the trigger.”

———————————-

Denver finally began to get IT last season and with Chauncey Billups’ understanding of what it takes to be a champion in this league, expect them to be right there, beside the Mavericks, Blazers, Jazz and Hornets, in an intense battle for the No. 3 and 4 seeds in the WC playoffs this season.

Related:

Melo embraces leadership role

Expected Total Wins in the Western Conference

Wednesday, October 14th, 2009

When the Expected Total Wins first get set across the board in the NBA, it can be an early indication of perceived Power Rankings for the coming season.

1 LA Lakers OVER 62, -108

2 San Antonio Spurs OVER 54.5, -108

3 Portland Trail Blazers OVER 52.5, -127

4 Denver Nuggets OVER 52.5, -108

5 Utah Jazz OVER 49.5, -108

6 Dallas Mavericks OVER 48.5, -108

7 New Orleans Hornets OVER 46.5, -102

8 Phoenix Suns OVER 41.5, -108

9 Houston Rockets OVER 35.5, -127
10 Golden State Warriors OVER 35.5, -108
11 Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 35.5, +105
12 LA Clippers OVER 34.5, +105
13 Memphis Grizzlies OVER 27.5, -108
14 Minnesota Timberwolves OVER -25.5, -160
15 Sacramento Kings OVER 24.5, -123

————————————————————-

Who knows more about the day-to-day goings-on in the world of professional sports?

View Results

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————————————————————-

You’re invited to elaborate on your opinion in the comments section. 

Toronto Raptors Season Preview: Game 11

Monday, October 5th, 2009

re: How an astute NBA observer might expect the first part of the schedule to unfold for the Raptors this year

Game 11 – at Denver [Tue Nov 17]

 

RAPTORS

ADV

NUGGETS

PG

Calderon

à

PG

Billups

OG

DeRozan *

=

OG

Afflalo ^

SF

Turkoglu $^

à

SF

Anthony

PF

Bosh

=

PF

Martin

C

Bargnani

à

C

Nene

 

 

 

PG

Jack #

ß

PG

Lawson *

OG

Belinelli ^

=

OG

Smith

SF

Wright ^

=

SF

Graham $

PF

Evans ^

=

PF

Balkman

C

Nesterovic $

à

C

Andersen

 

 

 

G/F

Douby

=

G

Carter $R

PF

Johnson ^

=

C

Petro $R

 

 

 

HC

Triano

à

HC

Karl

 

 

 

+1

OUTCOME

+5

Legend: ADV – Individual match-up advantage; * - 2009 NBA Draftee; ^ - Acquired via trade; # – Restricted free agent; #M – Restricted free agent, matched offer; $ – Unrestricted free agent; $R – Unrestricted free agent, re-signed; $^ – Acquired via Sign & Trade; Italics – Returning player.

At Denver last season [Dec 03 2008] is where things turned ugly for the Raptors, when Sam Mitchell was fired following a lopsided loss. This season’s Nuggets should prove to be too much for the Dinos, as well, with several individual match-up advantages. Although not as deep as last season’s team, Denver should still be one of the better squads in the WC this year, if their key players can remain healthy.

Raptors expected W-L Record: L, 4-7

How the Western Conference looks for ’09-10, based on individual player ratings, by position

Thursday, September 10th, 2009

When evaluating where teams stand in relationship to their competition, it’s important to assess each player in the conference, by position, combining their individual skill-sets in all three main phases of the game … i.e. Offense, Defense & Rebounding.

By doing something like this …

Part I

WESTERN CONFERENCE PLAYER RATINGS BY POSITION FOR PROJECTED STARTERS, 2009-2010

#

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

1

Williams-D

Bryant

Jefferson

Gasol-P

Duncan

2

Billups

Roy

Anthony

Scola

Nowitzki

3

Paul

Jackson-S

Artest

Aldridge

Stoudemire

4

Nash

Richardson

Battier

McDyess

Bynum

5

Parker-T

Iverson

Howard-Jos

West-D

Nene

6

Kidd

Smith-JR

Hill

Marion

Przybilla

7

Westbrook

Ariza

Durant

Boozer

Jefferson-A

8

Brooks

Martin-Kev

Gay

Randolph-A

Okafor

9

Fisher

Finley

Posey

Martin-Ken

Biedrins

10

Davis-B

Terry

Nocioni

Green-J

Okur

11

Sessions

Stojakovic

Maggette

Love

Gasol-M

12

Blake

Miles-CJ

Thornton

Griffin-B

Collison

13

Ellis

Gordon-E

Batum

Thompson-J

Kaman

14

Conley

Harden

Brewer-R

Amundson

Hawes

15

Evans-T

Wilkens

Brewer-C?

Randolph-Z

Andersen-D

Part II

WESTERN CONFERENCE TEAM RATINGS BY POSITION

FOR PROJECTED STARTERS, 2009-2010

Team

PG

#

OG

#

SF

#

PF

#

C

#

TOT

#

LAL

Derek

Fisher

9

Kobe

Bryant

1

Ron

Artest

3

Pau

Gasol

1

Andrew

Bynum

4

18

1

DEN

Chauncey

Billups

2

JR

Smith

6

Carmelo

Anthony

2

Kenyon

Martin

9

Nene

5

24

3

POR

Steve

Blake

12

Brandon

Roy

2

Nicolas

Batum

13

LaMarcus

Aldridge

3

Joel

Przybilla

6

36

T6

SAS

Tony

Parker

5

Michael

Finley

9

Richard

Jefferson

1

Antonio

McDyess

4

Tim

Duncan

1

20

2

HOU

Aaron

Brooks

8

Trevor

Ariza

7

Shane

Battier

4

Luis

Scola

2

David

Andersen

15

36

T6

DAL

Jason

Kidd

6

Jason

Terry

10

Josh

Howard

5

Shawn

Marion

6

Dirk

Nowitzki

2

29

4

NOH

Chris

Paul

3

Peja

Stojakovic

11

James

Posey

9

David

West

5

Emeka

Okafor

8

36

T6

UTA

Deron

Williams

1

CJ

Miles

12

Ronnie

Brewer

14

Carlos

Boozer

7

Mehmet

Okur

10

44

T9

PHO

Steve

Nash

4

Jason

Richardson

4

Grant

Hill

6

Luis

Amundson

14

Amare

Stoudemire

3

31

5

GSW

Monta

Ellis

13

Stephen

Jackson

3

Corey

Maggette

11

Anthony

Randolph

8

Andris

Biedrins

9

44

T9

MEM

Mike

Conley

14

Allen

Iverson

5

Rudy

Gay

8

Zac

Randolph

15

Marc

Gasol

11

53

12

MIN

Ramon

Sessions

11

Damien

Wilkens

15

Corey

Brewer

15

Kevin

Love

11

Al

Jefferson

7

59

13

OKC

Russell

Westbrook

7

James

Harden

14

Kevin

Durant

7

Jeff

Green

10

Nick

Collison

12

50

11

LAC

Baron

Davis

10

Eric

Gordon

13

Al

Thornton

12

Blake

Griffin

12

Chris

Kaman

13

60

T14

SAC

Tyreke

Evans

15

Kevin

Martin

8

Andres

Nocioni

10

Jason

Thompson

13

Spencer

Hawes

14

60

T14

Part III

WESTERN CONFERENCE PLAYER RATINGS BY POSITION FOR PROJECTED BACK-UPS, 2009-2010

#

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

1

Miller-A

Webster

Ginobili

Odom

Oden

2

Farmar

Barbosa

Kirilenko

Millsap

Andersen-C

3

Hill-Ge

Vujacic

Walton

Outlaw

Landry

4

Carter-A

Mayo

Fernandez

Gooden

Turiaf

5

Lowry

Butler-R

Mason-D

Bonner

Camby

6

Udrih

Afflalo

Barry

Hayes-C

Krstic

7

Barea

Mason-R

Thomas-Ti

Balkman

Ratliff

8

Watson-CJ

Peterson

Azubuike

Dudley

Dampier

9

Price

Korver

Thomas-Ke

Jordan-D

Armstrong

10

Jaric

Ross-Q

Gomes

Diogu

Koufos

11

Dragic

Weaver

Davis-R

Casspi

Lopez-R

12

Livingston

Garcia

Wright-J

Wright-B

Thabeet

13

Telfair

Curry-S

Clark

Arthur

Powell

14

Collison-D

Ellington

Young-S

Ibaka

Hollins

15

Flynn

Budinger

Vaden

Cardinal

May

Part IV

WESTERN CONFERENCE TEAM RATINGS BY POSITION

FOR PROJECTED BACK-UPS, 2009-2010

Team

PG

#

OG

#

SF

#

PF

#

C

#

TOT

#

LAL

Jordan

Farmar

2

Sasha

Vujacic

3

Luke

Walton

3

Lamar

Odom

1

Josh

Powell

13

22

2

DEN

Anthony

Carter

4

Arron

Afflalo

6

Desmond Mason

5

Renaldo

Balkman

7

Chris Andersen

2

24

3

POR

Andre

Miller

1

Martell

Webster

1

Rudy

Fernandez

4

Travis

Outlaw

3

Greg

Oden

1

10

1

SAS

George

Hill

3

Roger

Mason

7

Manu

Ginobili

1

Matt

Bonner

5

Theo

Ratliff

7

23

4

HOU

Kyle

Lowry

5

Chase

Budinger

15

Brent

Barry

6

Chuck

Hayes

6

Carl

Landry

3

35

6

DAL

JJ
Barea

7

Quintin

Ross

10

Tim

Thomas

7

Drew

Gooden

4

Erick

Dampier

8

36

7

NOH

Darren

Collison

14

Morris

Peterson

8

Julian

Wright

12

Ike

Diogu

10

Hilton

Armstrong

9

53

T11

UTA

Ronnie

Price

9

Kyle

Korver

9

Andrei

Kirilenko

2

Paul

Millsap

2

Kosta

Koufos

10

32

5

PHO

Goren

Dragic

11

Leandro Barbosa

2

Earl

Clark

13

Jared

Dudley

8

Robin

Lopez

11

45

T9

GSW

CJ

Watson

8

Stephon

Curry

13

Kelena

Azubuike

8

Brandon

Wright

12

Ronny

Turiaf

4

45

T9

MEM

Marco

Jaric

10

OJ

Mayo

4

Sam

Young

14

Darrell

Arthur

13

Hasheem

Thabeet

12

53

T11

MIN

Jonny

Flynn

15

Wayne

Ellington

14

Ryan

Gomes

10

Brian

Cardinal

15

Ryan

Hollins

14

68

15

OKC

Shaun

Livingston

12

Kyle

Weaver

11

Robert Vaden

15

Serge

Ibaka

14

Nenad

Krstic

6

58

14

LAC

Sebastien

Telfair

13

Rasual Butler

5

Ricky

Davis

11

DeAndre

Jordan

9

Marcus Camby

5

43

8

SAC

Beno

Udrih

6

Francisco

Garcia

12

Kenny

Thomas

9

Omri

Casspi

11

Sean

May

15

53

T13

Part V

WESTERN CONFERENCE TEAM RATINGS BY POSITION FOR STARTERS + BACK-UPS, 2009-2010

Team

STARTERS

BACK-UPS

TOTAL

RANK

LAL

18

22

40

1

DEN

24

24

48

4

POR

36

10

46

3

SAS

20

23

43

2

HOU

36

35

71

6

DAL

29

36

65

5

NOH

36

53

89

T9

UTA

44

32

75

7

PHO

31

45

76

8

GSW

44

45

89

T9

MEM

53

53

106

12

MIN

59

68

127

15

OKC

50

58

108

13

LAC

60

43

103

11

SAC

60

53

113

14

Part VI

WESTERN CONFERENCE EXPECTED STANDINGS BASED ON PLAYER RATINGS BY POSITION, 2009-2010

No.

Team

1

Los Angeles Lakers

2

San Antonio Spurs

3

Portland Trail Blazers

4

Denver Nuggets

5

Dallas Mavericks

6

Houston Rockets

7

Utah Jazz

8

Phoenix Suns

T9

New Orleans Hornets

T9

Golden State Warriors

11

Los Angeles Clippers

12

Memphis Grizzlies

13

Oklahoma City Thunder

14

Sacramento Kings

15

Minnesota Timberwolves

… which compares:

* Each player to his counter-parts at the PG, OG, SF, PF & C position, respectively;

* Each group of “Starters” vs one another;

* Each group of “Back-ups” vs one another;

* Each group of “Starters + Back-ups” vs one another;

an accurate picture begins to develop, regarding the collective talents of these individual teams.

SUMMARY

ITEM 1
The chief reason many NBA observers see the Houston Rockets [Rated #6, above, based on player talent] as a Non-playoff team this season is because of the expected absences of Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady from their everyday line-up. Close consideration of their other Key Rotation Players, however, suggests that the Rockets will still have enough talent to remain highly competitive in the WC standings this season.

ITEM 2
By adding Key Rotation Players like Richard Jefferson, Antonio McDyess and, possibly, Theo Ratliff, the San Antonio Spurs have re-positioned themselves near the top of the conference, in terms of overall NBA talent. If their 6th Man, Manu Ginobili, can regain his health after two injury-plagued seasons, the Men in Black should be a force again in the playoffs.

ITEM 3
There should be another exceptionally close race this season for the lower-tier playoff spots in the WC, between the likes of Houston, [6/71], Utah [7/75], Phoenix [8/76], New Orleans [T9/89] and Golden State [T9/89], based on the talent level of these teams.

Related:

Summer Forecast: ’09-10 West standings

Early look at NBA rosters: Western Conference

Tuesday, August 18th, 2009

While the few teams at the top continue to get richer …

Tier 1 – Elite/Championship Contenders

 

TEAM

COACH

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

LAL

65 W

Jackson

Fisher

Bryant

Artest

Gasol

Bynum

Farmar

Brown

Vujacic

Walton

Morrison

Odom

 

Powell

Mbenga

Elonu **

SAS

54

Popovich

 

Parker

Finley

Jefferson

McDyess

Duncan

Hill

Mason

Vaughn ?

De Colo **

McClinton **

Hairston

 

 

Ginobili X

Hairston

Udoka ?

Williams

Blair

Bonner

Haislip

 

Mahinmi

Ratliff

 

 

Tier 2A – Playoff Contenders

 

TEAM

COACH

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

DEN

54 W

Karl

Billups

Smith

Anthony

Martin

Nene

Lawson

Carter

Hart ?

Afflao

Kleiza ?

Balkman

Allen

Anderson

Petro ?

POR

54 W

McMillan

 

Blake

Roy

Batum

Aldridge

Przybilla

Miller

Mills **

Webster X

Bayless

Fernandez

Claver **

Outlaw

Cunningham **

Randolph ?

LaFraentz ?

Oden

Ruffin ?

Pendergraph **

HOU

53 W

Adelman

Brooks

McGrady X

Ariza

Battier

Scola

Lowry

Taylor

Budinger

 

Barry

White

Landry

Hayes

Dorsey

Llull **

Anderson

Cook

Ming *

Mutumbo *

DAL

50

Carlisle

 

Kidd

Howard

Marion

Nowitzki

Dampier

Terry

Barea

Beaubois

Calathes **

Buckner

Carroll

Ross

Green ?

Gooden

Humphries

Thomas

Singleton

Jawai

Williams

Nivins

 

NOH

49 W

Scott

Paul

Stojakovic

Posey

West

Okafor

Daniels

Collison

Brown

Thornton

Wright

Peterson

Diogu

Marks ?

Bowen ?

Armstrong

Ely ?

UTA

48 W

Sloan

Williams

Miles

Brewer

Boozer

Okur

Price

Maynor

Knight ?

Korver

Almond ?

 

Kirilenko

Harpring

Millsap

Suton **

Koufos

Fesenko

Collins ?

PHO

46 W

Gentry

Nash

Richardson

Hill

Amundson

Stoudemire X

Dragic

Barbosa

Tucker

Clark

Pavlovic

Griffin

Frye

Dudley

Lopez

 

 

Tier 2B – Possible Playoff Contenders

 

GSW

29 W

Nelson

Ellis

Curry

Maggette

Jackson

Biedrins

CJ Watson ?

Claxton

Law

Morrow

Azubuike

George

Randolph

Wright

Kurz ?

Turiaf

OKC

23 W

Brooks

Westbrook

Weaver

Durant

Green

Collison

Ollie

Livingston

Harden

Vaden **

Sefolosha

Mason ?

 

Ibaka

Thomas

White

Rose ?

Krstic

Mullens

Swift ?

LAC

19 W

Dunleavy

Davis-B

Gordon

Thornton

Griffin

Kaman

Telfair

Collins

Butler

Acker ?

Davis-R

Jones ?

Smith

Madsen

Novak ?

Camby

Jordan

Skinner ?

 

 

 

 

and those in the bottom tier …

 

Tier 3 – High Variable/Non Payoff Contenders

 

MEM

24 W

Hollins

Conley

Mayo

Gay

Randolph

Gasol

Jaric

Williams

 

Young

Carroll

Arthur

Thabeet

Haddadi

Hunter

MIN

24 W

Rambis

Flynn

Brown

Brewer X

Love

Jefferson X

Atkins

Rubio **

Ellington

Wilkens

Carney ?

Gomes

Songaila

Cardinal

Norel **

Hollins

Pecherov

Blount

Collins ?

SAC

17 W

Westphal

Evans

Martin

Nocioni

Thompson

Hawes

Rodriguez

Udrih

Jackson ?

Garcia

McCants ?

Thomas

Simmons ?

Casspi

May

Brockman **

Green

Booth ?

 

 

————————————————————————

LEGEND:

Bold – New Player Added via trade; Bold Italics – New Player Added via NBA Draft; Underlined – Resigned Own Free Agent; Bold Underlined – New Player Added via Free Agent Signing; ? – Unsigned Free Agent; ?? – Unsigned Restricted Free Agent; X – Player Returning From Injury; * – Status for this in-question due to injury/personal concerns; ** – Unsigned Draft Pick; Q – New Player Added via reported trade.

———————————————————————–

continue spinning their wheels.

FYI, re: specific NBA expertise

Monday, June 1st, 2009

For those who have visited this blog before, even you might not know yet that yours truly is the only NBA Analyst in the world who:

#1. Selected the Boston Celtics to win the 2007-2008 NBA Finals, over the Los Angeles Lakers, before that series tipped off;

AND,

#2. Selected the Los Angeles Lakers to beat the Denver Nuggets in the 2008-2009 Western Conference Finals, before this series tipped off;

AND,

#3. Selected the Orlando Magic to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2008-2009 Eastern Conference Finals, before this series tipped off;

AND,

#4. Selected the Los Angeles Lakers to win the 2008-2009 NBA Title, in May of 2008, immediately prior to the start of the 2007-2008 NBA Finals [i.e. 12 months ago].

When certain individuals with rather “loud” voices on the internet ask the question:

“What so-called expertise do you have that sets you apart from me and others who watch the game as a regular NBA fan?”

… part of the answer involves being CORRECT about things like #1., #2., and #3., above.

If the Los Angeles Lakers actually win the 2008-2009 NBA Championship over the Orlando Magic, in the next few weeks, you can then add #4., above, to this same list.

The Undertaker strikes, again

Friday, May 29th, 2009

Just before half-time of this evening’s Nuggets vs Lakers game …

[speaking about what it takes to win Game 6, at home, vs the No. 1 Seed in the Western Conference, while trailing in the series, 2-3]

“Going home is NOT The Answer. Being carried by The Energy of The Crowd is NOT The Answer. There is ONLY One Answer. Play Hard. Play Together. And, EXECUTE.”Jeff Van Gundy

———-

Box Score: Denver 40, Los Angeles 53

———-

Ranking NBA Colour Commentators

1. Hubie Brown [i.e. exacting with his X's & O's]
2. JVG [i.e. solid with his X's & O's, plus highly entertaining]
3. Bill Walton [i.e. highly entertaining]
4. Everybody Else