Posts Tagged ‘Dallas Mavericks’

Raptors will go as high … or, as low … as Bargnani can take them

Thursday, August 5th, 2010

With the recent departure of Chris Bosh, the Toronto Raptors will now be led by Andrea Bargnani [C, 7-0, 250], the former No. 1 [overall] Selection from the 2006 NBA Draft.

Although different voices on-line have discussed Bargnani’s ability, as a No. 1 Option [i.e. offensively, defensively and in rebounding] for the team, ad nauseum … and, to a large extent, still see him as a gifted scoring, uniquely talented Big Man, in the mold of a young Dirk Nowitzki:

Exhibit A, B, C and D 

the view from this corner, remains essentially unchanged:

1. As Bargnani’s Points Scored [Pts] and Minutes Played [MP] have steadily increased over the last 4 years, this is what the Raptors’ W-L records have been:

2006-2007, 1629/MP, 751/Pts, 47/W
2007-2008, 1861/MP, 792/Pts, 41/W
2008-2009, 2453/MP, 1202/Pts, 33/W
2009-2010, 2799/MP, 1376/Pts, 40/W
2010-2011,?/MP, ?/Pts, ?/W

Toronto Raptors Franchise Index

Conversely, this is what those same stats look like for the first 5 years of Nowitzki’s career in Dallas:

1998-1999, 958/MP, 385/Pts, 19/W
1999-2000, 2938/MP, 1435/Pts, 40/W
2001-2002, 3125/MP, 1784/Pts, 53/W
2002-2003, 2891/MP, 1779/Pts, 57/W
2003-2004, 3117/MP, 2011/Pts, 60/W

Dallas Mavericks Franchise Index

2. If Bargnani averages 20 pts next season … What does it really matter, in the grand scheme of things?

3. During his 5th season in the NBA, Dirk Nowitzki’s Mavericks won 60 games, finished 1st in the Mid-West Division, and Lost in the Western Conference Finals … with the following roster.

Those who think the 2010-2011 version of the Raptors might actually approach 60 wins are hopelessly delusional.

3. The name Bargnani name does not warrant inclusion in any basketball-related article which also deals with the abilities of Dirk Nowitzki.

4. Bargnani is only a polarizing player for those fans who don’t truly value being able to compete for a league championship.

5. To this point in his NBA career, Andrea Bargnani has been an overt symptom of what has actually ailed the Raptors franchise - i.e. the first in a series of baffling personnel decisions which have not focused on creating a well-balanced team, overall, with a raft of multi-dimensional players who are capable of poducing first-class Team Defense [e.g. Points Allowed], Team Rebounding [e.g. Reb Differential] and Team Offense [e.g. Points Scored Differential] - rather than a constructive part of the solution.

6. At this point of the off season, all indications are that the Raptors … led on-court by Andrea Bargnani … will probably find themselves right back in the NBA’s Draft Lottery next summer … which might not be a bad thing, at all,

if the long term objective for this franchise is to be able to compete for a League Championship sometime in the not-too-distant future.

—————————

From the ashes of defeat can the makings of victory arise … if it’s handled properly.” - khandor

Q. What time is it?

Friday, April 16th, 2010

A. GAME TIME!

… with the NBA Playoffs set to tip tomorrow afternoon.

—————————————-

EASTERN CONFERENCE

ROUND 1 SERIES [BEST OF 7]

 

8

Chicago Bulls

+2000

1

Cleveland Cavaliers

-3000

 

6

Milwaukee Bucks

+606

3

Atlanta Hawks

-720

 

5

Miami Heat

+154

4

Boston Celtics

-171

 

7

Charlotte Bobcats

+778

2

Orlando Magic

-960

 

WESTERN CONFERENCE

ROUND 1 SERIES [BEST OF 7]

 

8

Oklahoma City Thunder

+496

1

Los Angeles Laker

-575

 

6

Portland Trail Blazers

+476

3

Phoenix Suns

-570

 

5

Utah Jazz

+180

4

Denver Nuggets

-201

 

7

San Antonio Spurs

+146

2

Dallas Mavericks

-162

 

 

EASTERN CONFERENCE WINNER

 

1

Cleveland Cavaliers

-185

2

Orlando Magic

+340

3

Atlanta Hawks

+1300

4

Boston Celtics

+1600

5

Miami Heat

+3400

7

Charlotte Bobcats

+6500

6

Milwaukee Bucks

+6500

8

Chicago Bulls

+8800

 

WESTERN CONFERENCE WINNER

 

1

Los Angeles Lakers

+118

3

Phoenix Suns

+500

2

Dallas Mavericks

+540

4

Denver Nuggets

+850

7

San Antonio Spurs

+1300

5

Utah Jazz

+1350

8

Oklahoma City Thunder

+3400

6

Portland Trail Blazers

+5000

Enjoy the ride!

End of NBA Regular Season, Quality Index Rankings, #1-30

Thursday, April 15th, 2010

At the conclusion of an 82 game schedule …

 

LEGITIMATE CONTENDERS TO WIN THE NBA CHAMPIONSHIP

[as of Thursday April 15, 2010]

 

TEAM

W

L

W%

EAST

WEST

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

Cavaliers *

61

21

.744

1

 

2

5

1

8

1

Magic *

59

23

.720

2

 

1

4

4

9

2

Spurs *

50

32

.610

 

7

4

8

3

15

3

Jazz *

53

29

.646

 

5

3

12

5

20

4

Blazers *

50

32

.610

 

6

11

3

7

21

5

Lakers *

57

25

.695

 

1

6

9

7

22

6

Heat *

47

35

.573

5

 

13

2

11

26

T-7

Bobcats *

44

38

.537

7

 

15

1

10

26

T-7

Thunder *

50

32

.610

 

8

10

11

6

27

9

Hawks *

53

29

.646

3

 

6

9

16

31

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bucks *

46

36

.561

6

 

14

7

17

38

11

Celtics *

50

32

.610

4

 

9

5

25

39

12

Bulls *

41

41

.500

8

 

18

13

9

40

13

Grizzlies

40

42

.488

 

 

17

24

2

43

14

Suns *

54

28

.659

 

3

5

26

13

44

15

Nuggets *

53

29

.646

 

4

8

20

22

50

16

Mavericks *

55

27

.671

 

2

12

15

24

51

17

Pistons

27

55

.329

 

 

27

13

12

52

18

Rockets

42

40

.512

 

 

16

21

21

58

19

76ers

27

55

.329

 

 

24

18

18

60

T-20

Clippers

29

53

.354

 

 

28

19

13

60

T-20

Wizards

26

56

.317

 

 

26

16

19

61

22

Kings

25

57

.305

 

 

25

25

15

65

23

Hornets

37

45

.451

 

 

20

21

26

67

24

Raptors

40

42

.488

9

 

19

27

22

68

25

Pacers

32

50

.390

 

 

21

23

29

73

T-26

Nets

12

70

.146

 

 

29

17

27

73

T-26

Knicks

29

53

.354

 

 

23

27

28

78

T-28

Timberwolves

15

67

.183

 

 

30

29

19

78

T-28

Warriors

26

56

.317

 

 

22

30

30

82

30

LEGEND: W – Wins; L - Losses; Win% - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR = QR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. QR/#1-30]; * - Clinched playoff position.

there are now 10 teams left with a legitimate opportunity to win this year’s league championship … none of which are the Mavericks [W2], Suns [W3], Nuggets [W4], Celtics [E4], Bucks [E6] or Bulls [E8], according to the recent history of the NBA.

Related:

What it takes to win the NBA Championship

Legitimate contenders in the NBA, as of April 5

Tuesday, April 6th, 2010

With a little more than 1 week left in the regular season schedule …

 

LEGITIMATE CONTENDERS TO WIN THE NBA CHAMPIONSHIP

[as of Monday April 5, 2010]

 

TEAM

W

L

W%

EAST

WEST

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

Cavaliers *

60

17

.779

1

 

1

5

2

8

1

Magic *

54

23

.701

2

 

2

4

4

10

2

Spurs *

47

29

.618

 

7

4

7

4

15

3

Jazz *

50

27

.649

 

4

3

12

6

21

T-4

Lakers *

55

22

.714

 

1

5

9

7

21

T-4

Blazers *

47

30

.610

 

8

11

3

8

22

6

Thunder *

48

28

.623

 

6

10

10

3

23

7

Heat

43

34

.558

5

 

12

2

10

24

8

Bobcats

40

36

.528

7

 

15

1

11

31

9

Hawks *

49

27

.645

3

 

6

10

18

34

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bucks

42

34

.553

6

 

14

8

17

39

11

Celtics *

48

28

.632

4

 

9

6

25

40

T-12

Grizzlies

39

37

.513

 

 

16

23

1

40

T-12

Bulls

37

39

.487

9

 

19

14

9

42

14

Nuggets *

50

27

.649

 

3

8

20

20

48

15

Suns *

50

27

.649

 

5

7

28

14

49

16

Mavericks *

50

27

.649

 

2

13

15

24

52

T-17

Pistons

23

53

.303

 

 

27

13

12

52

T-17

76ers

26

50

.342

 

 

24

17

16

57

19

Rockets

38

38

.500

 

 

17

21

22

60

T-20

Clippers

27

50

.351

 

 

28

19

13

60

T-20

Kings

24

53

.312

 

 

25

25

15

65

T-22

Wizards

23

53

.303

 

 

26

16

23

65

T-22

Raptors

38

38

.500

8

 

18

27

21

66

24

Hornets

35

43

.449

 

 

20

22

26

68

25

Pacers

29

48

.377

 

 

21

24

28

73

T-26

Nets

11

66

.143

 

 

29

17

27

73

T-26

Knicks

27

49

.355

 

 

22

26

29

77

28

Timberwolves

15

62

.195

 

 

30

29

19

78

29

Warriors

23

53

.303

 

 

23

30

30

83

30

LEGEND: W – Wins; L - Losses; Win% - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR = QR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. QR/#1-30]; * - Clinched playoff position.

there are 10 teams with a legitimate opportunity to win this year’s league championship … none of which are the Mavericks, Nuggets, Suns, Celtics, Bucks, Raptors or Bulls.

Related:

What it takes to win the NBA Championship

Mavs/Bobcats breakdown, via NBAplaybook.com

Wednesday, March 3rd, 2010

One of the fine new additions to the blogosphere is the work being done by Sebastian Pruiti, at NBAplaybook.com, a prime example of which can be found right here.

Comment #3 is the contribution today from yours truly.

====================================

[see included below]

If you take a look at the Play-By-Play for this game and the Boxscore, what you should be able to see is that:

1. When the Bobcats used Theo Ratliff [+14] as their Center, they were quite a bit better than the Mavericks.

2. Theo Ratliff played 26:39 of the first 33:39 minutes in this game, and then was not used by Larry Brown for the final 2:21 of the 3rd quarter and the entire 4th quarter.

3. When the Bobcats tried to use the following 5-Man Units, instead, in the 4th quarter, during the midst of this specific run by the Mavs:

i. Felton + Augustin + Jackson + Wallace + Thomas

[A. vs Barea + Terry + Butler + Marion + Najera]

[B. vs Kidd + Terry + Marion + Nowitzki + Haywood]

ii. Felton + Jackson + Wallace + Diaw + Thomas

[C. vs Kidd + Terry + Marion + Nowitzki + Haywood]

they played selfish basketball on offense and got hammered defensively.

4. Poss 1.

Felton keys the breakdown of the Bobcats during this entire sequence by failing to make the correct read when Nowitzki “shows and recovers vs this 1-4 Pick & Pop.”

Instead of making the “throwback pass” to Wallace … which was intercepted by Terry … Felton should have attacked Nowitzki’s “hedge” and, after bellying out towards the centerline, in order to string the play out, made the pass to either Jackson or Augustin, who were open on the weak side of the floor, defended only by Marion.

5. Poss 2.

Jackson jacks-up this shot because he was not passed the ball on the previous possession … when, what he should have done, instead, was make the “throwback pass” to Wallace, who would have been able to attack Haywood on the bounce, to either [i] score or [ii] get fouled.

6. Poss 3.

Felton and Augustin are not the proper defensive match-up vs Kidd and Terry.

Larry Brown made a mistake by using this tandem during this sequence of possessions; and, instead, should have been using either one of Felton/Augustin [vs Kidd] with Jackson [vs Terry].

7. Poss 4.

This is a well executed set play by Charlotte. Augustin was open and should have shot the ball. Unfortunately, however, he missed and, in general, is in the midst of a terrible shooting slump.

8. Poss 5.

Augustin and Wallace miscommunicate their defensive scheme/coverage and do a poor job handling this “Pick & Pop” play by the Mavs. i.e. Dirk changes the angle of his Pick at the last minute and Wallace doesn’t recognize this properly. Instead of steppin up towards Augustin’s right side, he should have stepped up towards his left side, where Dirk actually set the pick, or verbally called for Augustin to “trap” Terry on the play and not allow him to use the pick in the first place.

9. Poss 6.

This is a solid set play by the Bobcats … but, a poor decision to shoot the ball, and a bad miss by Thomas.

10. Poss 7.

It’s important to understand the individual match-ups involved in this set play, based on the way the Bobcats recovered in their defensive transition:

Kidd vs Diaw [who should have been on Nowitzki]
Terry vs Felton
Mario vs Jackson
Nowitzki vs Wallace [who should have been on either Kidd or Terry or Marion]
Haywood vs Thomas

Wallace is too small to defend against Dirk in the High Post [i.e. Nowitzki will simply shoot over him, if Wallace tries to gap him; and, in this case, will "sweep & go" by him to create the space he needs to get off his 1 dribble J going to his right, if Wallace tries to crowd him].

11. Poss 8.

Yes, Waalace is wide open on the left wing. But, he is also being checked there by Marion. Wallace going 1-on-1 vs Marion is not a better match-up for the Bobcats than Diaw going 1-on-1 vs Haywood at the top of the key.

Unfortunately, in this instance, Diaw missed a wide open 3PT-shot.

If this same situation occurred again, Diaw would still be the best Bobcat player to attack his check during this specific sequence of plays.

BTW, if you look at the Play-By-Play what you should be able to see is that on the Bobcats’ very next possession [at the 4:25 mark], it is Boris Diaw who hits a 3PT-shot, to close the gap to just 5 points [78-83] with plenty of time still left to play in the 4th quarter.

12. Poss 9.

Once again, the Bobcats are not in the proper defensive match-up situation coming out of their defensive transition with this “small” [i.e. Centerless] line-up:

Felton vs Kidd [good]
Jackson vs Terry [good]
Wallace vs Marion [good]
Diaw vs Haywood [bad-2]
Thomas vs Nowitzki [bad-1]

Despite his hyper-athleticism, Tyrus Thomas does not have the type of experience it takes to be able to defend properly on the perimeter against a crafty, quick-release jump-shooter like Jason Terry.

———————————————

In general:

- until the Bobcats can return 1 of their legitimate centers … i.e. Mohammed, Diop or Chandler … to their line-up, they are going to struggle against solid offensive teams like the Mavs

- until Larry Brown decides that playing Theo Ratliff at center, rather than Tyrus Thomas or Boris Diaw is a better option coming down the stretch of a close game for this crew of Bobcats, they are going to struggle closing out winnable games against other solid teams.

- this loss for Charlotte should be pinned on Larry Brown

====================================

Enjoy! :-)

Coming down the home stretch, Legitimate Contenders for the 2009-2010 NBA Championship

Monday, March 1st, 2010

Every year since the 2000-2001 season, each of the two teams which have reached the NBA Finals (i.e. the Champion and the Finalist) have also finished the regular season schedule with a Quality Rating (QR) of 34, or better, and a Quality Index Rank (QIR) of #11 or better (when compared to all playoff teams that year) … i.e. What it takes to win the NBA Championship.

If the NBA Playoffs were to start today, this is what the list of legitimate contenders to win the championship actually looks like:

LEGITIMATE CONTENDERS TO WIN THE NBA CHAMPIONSHIP

[as of Sun Feb 28 2010]

TEAM

W-L REC

WIN %

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

ECPT-QIR

WCPT-QIR

Cavaliers

46-14

.767

1

5

1

7

1

1

 

Magic

40-20

.667

3

6

5

14

2

2

 

Lakers

45-15

.750

2

8

5

15

3

 

3

Spurs

33-24

.579

8

9

3

20

4

 

4

Thunder

35-23

.603

9

7

5

21

5

 

5

Jazz

38-21

.644

4

13

5

22

6

 

6

Blazers

35-27

.565

11

4

10

25

7

 

7

Bobcats

28-29

.491

14

2

12

28

8

8

 

Heat

29-31

.483

14

3

12

29

9

 

 

Celtics

36-21

.632

6

1

23

30

10

9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bulls

31-28

.525

19

14

4

37

11

10

 

Bucks

30-29

.508

13

11

14

38

12

11

 

Hawks

37-21

.638

6

12

24

42

13

12

 

Grizzlies

30-29

.508

18

23

2

43

14

 

 

Pistons

21-38

.356

25

10

9

44

15

 

 

Mavericks

39-21

.650

12

15

18

45

16

 

13

Nuggets

39-20

.661

5

22

22

49

17

 

14

76ers

22-36

.379

21

17

14

52

T-18

 

 

Clippers

24-35

.407

25

16

11

52

T-18

 

 

Rockets

29-29

.500

16

21

18

55

T-20

 

 

Hornets

31-29

.517

20

19

26

55

T-20

 

 

Suns

37-24

.607

10

29

20

59

22

 

15

Wizards

21-36

.368

23

20

20

63

23

 

 

Knicks

20-38

.345

22

25

29

66

24

 

 

Raptors

31-27

.534

17

26

24

67

25

16

 

Kings

20-39

.339

25

27

16

68

26

 

 

Timberwolves

14-47

.230

29

28

17

74

27

 

 

Nets

6-53

.102

30

18

27

75

28

 

 

Pacers

20-39

.339

28

24

28

80

29

 

 

Warriors

17-41

.293

24

30

30

84

30

 

 

LEGEND: W-L REC – Won-Loss Record; WIN % - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. No. 1-30]; ECPT-QIR – Eastern Conference Playoff Teams Quality Index Ranking; WCPT-QIR – Western Conference Playoff Team Quality Index Ranking; Blue Shade – Eastern Conference Playoff Teams; Red Shade – Western Conference Playoff Teams.

There are only 9 teams in the hunt with a little more than 1 month’s worth of games left to be played.

4 in the Eastern Conference:

Cleveland Cavaliers [#1]
Orlando Magic [#2]
Charlotte Bobcats [#8], and
Boston Celtics [#9];

and,

5 in the Western Conference:

Los Angeles Lakers [#3]
San Antonio Spurs [#4]
Oklahoma City Thunder [#5]
Utah Jazz [#6], and
Portland Trail Blazers [#7].

Most Efficient Teams in the NBA, Pre All-Star Break

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010

When the numbers are crunched … 

NBA 2009-2010

PRE ALL-STAR BREAK

TEAM EFFECTIVENESS RANKINGS

[as of Thu Feb 11 2010]

TEAM

W-L REC

WIN %

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

OFF

POSS/G

DEF

POSS/G

O-PPP

O-PPP

RK

D-PPP

D-

PPP

RK

PPP

DIFF

PPP

DIFF

RK

CAVALIERS 1

43-11

0.796

1

2

1

4

1

103

104

0.99

T-2

0.91

T-5

0.08

1

CELTICS 4

32-18

0.640

5

1

23

29

9

103

105

0.96

T-7

0.89

T-1

0.07

2

MAGIC 2

36-18

0.667

3

7

5

15

2

104

106

0.97

T-5

0.91

T-5

0.06

T-3

LAKERS 1

41-13

0.759

2

9

7

18

T-4

109

108

0.95

T-12

0.89

T-1

0.06

T-3

JAZZ 3

32-19

0.627

6

12

9

27

T-7

106

106

0.97

T-5

0.92

T-8

0.05

T-5

NUGGETS 2

35-18

0.660

4

22

18

44

T-13

109

109

0.98

4

0.93

T-12

0.05

T-5

SPURS 5

30-21

0.588

6

8

3

17

3

105

104

0.96

T-7

0.92

T-8

0.04

T-7

SUNS 7

31-22

0.585

10

29

25

64

T-22

110

112

1.00

1

0.96

T-23

0.04

T-7

THUNDER 6

30-21

0.588

9

5

4

18

T-4

107

107

0.92

T-18

0.89

T-1

0.03

T-9

HAWKS 3

33-18

0.647

8

11

20

39

11

105

105

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

MAVERICKS 4

32-20

0.615

12

15

20

47

T-16

105

107

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

BLAZERS 8

31-24

0.564

11

4

6

21

6

102

101

0.96

T-7

0.94

T-16

0.02

T-12

HEAT 7

26-27

0.491

13

6

15

34

10

103

104

0.94

T-15

0.92

T-8

0.02

T-12

RAPTORS 5

29-23

0.558

17

26

24

67

25

106

108

0.99

T-2

0.97

T-29

0.02

T-12

BOBCATS 6

26-25

0.510

13

2

12

27

T-7

105

104

0.91

T-22

0.91

T-5

0.00

T-15

HORNETS

28-25

0.528

19

19

26

64

T-22

106

107

0.95

T-12

0.95

T-19

0.00

T-15

KNICKS

19-32

0.373

21

24

27

72

27

108

109

0.94

T-15

0.95

T-19

-0.01

T-17

WARRIORS

13-40

0.245

24

30

30

84

30

113

116

0.95

T-12

0.96

T-23

-0.01

T-17

BULLS 8

25-26

0.490

22

14

8

44

T-13

109

108

0.88

T-27

0.90

4

-0.02

T-19

BUCKS

24-27

0.471

15

13

18

46

15

109

106

0.90

T-24

0.92

T-8

-0.02

T-19

ROCKETS

27-24

0.529

16

18

16

50

19

110

107

0.92

T-18

0.94

T-16

-0.02

T-19

PACERS

18-34

0.346

28

25

28

81

29

110

111

0.90

T-24

0.93

T-12

-0.03

T-22

76ERS

20-32

0.385

20

16

13

49

18

106

106

0.92

T-18

0.95

T-19

-0.03

T-22

GRIZZLIES

26-25

0.510

18

23

2

43

12

110

107

0.93

17

0.96

T-23

-0.03

T-22

CLIPPERS

21-31

0.404

26

17

16

59

20

106

106

0.90

T-24

0.94

T-16

-0.04

T-25

WIZARDS

17-33

0.340

25

21

20

66

24

107

107

0.91

T-22

0.95

T-19

-0.04

T-25

KINGS

18-34

0.346

23

27

11

61

21

111

110

0.92

T-18

0.96

T-23

-0.04

T-25

PISTONS

18-33

0.353

27

10

10

47

T-16

105

100

0.87

29

0.96

T-23

-0.09

T-28

T-WOLVES

13-40

0.245

29

28

14

71

26

112

110

0.88

T-27

0.97

T-29

-0.09

T-28

NETS

04-48

0.077

30

20

29

79

28

105

105

0.86

30

0.96

T-23

-0.1

30

LEGEND: W-L REC – Won-Loss Record; WIN% - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. No. 1-30]; O-POSS/G – Offensive Possessions/Game [i.e. Possessions = FGA’s + TO’s + FTA’s*.44]; D-POSS/G – Defensive Possessions/Game; O-PPP – Offensive Points Per Possession; O-PPP RK – Offensive Points Per Possession Ranking; D-PPP – Defensive Points Per Possession; D-PPP RK – Defensive Points Per Possession Ranking; PPP-DIFF – Points Per Possession Differential; PPP-DIFF RK – Points Per Possession Differential Ranking; Blue Shade – Eastern Conference playoff teams; Red Shade – Western Conference playoff teams.

 

Most Efficient Defense in the NBA, Pre All-Star Break

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010

The top defensive squads in the 1st half of the regular season were:

NBA 2009-2010

PRE ALL-STAR BREAK

TEAM EFFECTIVENESS RANKINGS

[as of Thu Feb 11 2010]

TEAM

W-L REC

WIN %

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

OFF

POSS/G

DEF

POSS/G

O-PPP

O-PPP

RK

D-PPP

D-

PPP

RK

PPP

DIFF

PPP

DIFF

RK

LAKERS 1

41-13

0.759

2

9

7

18

T-4

109

108

0.95

T-12

0.89

T-1

0.06

T-3

THUNDER 6

30-21

0.588

9

5

4

18

T-4

107

107

0.92

T-18

0.89

T-1

0.03

T-9

CELTICS 4

32-18

0.640

5

1

23

29

9

103

105

0.96

T-7

0.89

T-1

0.07

2

BULLS 8

25-26

0.490

22

14

8

44

T-13

109

108

0.88

T-27

0.90

4

-0.02

T-19

CAVALIERS 1

43-11

0.796

1

2

1

4

1

103

104

0.99

T-2

0.91

T-5

0.08

1

MAGIC 2

36-18

0.667

3

7

5

15

2

104

106

0.97

T-5

0.91

T-5

0.06

T-3

BOBCATS 6

26-25

0.510

13

2

12

27

T-7

105

104

0.91

T-22

0.91

T-5

0.00

T-15

SPURS 5

30-21

0.588

6

8

3

17

3

105

104

0.96

T-7

0.92

T-8

0.04

T-7

JAZZ 3

32-19

0.627

6

12

9

27

T-7

106

106

0.97

T-5

0.92

T-8

0.05

T-5

HEAT 7

26-27

0.491

13

6

15

34

10

103

104

0.94

T-15

0.92

T-8

0.02

T-12

BUCKS

24-27

0.471

15

13

18

46

15

109

106

0.90

T-24

0.92

T-8

-0.02

T-19

HAWKS 3

33-18

0.647

8

11

20

39

11

105

105

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

NUGGETS 2

35-18

0.660

4

22

18

44

T-13

109

109

0.98

4

0.93

T-12

0.05

T-5

MAVERICKS 4

32-20

0.615

12

15

20

47

T-16

105

107

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

PACERS

18-34

0.346

28

25

28

81

29

110

111

0.90

T-24

0.93

T-12

-0.03

T-22

BLAZERS 8

31-24

0.564

11

4

6

21

6

102

101

0.96

T-7

0.94

T-16

0.02

T-12

ROCKETS

27-24

0.529

16

18

16

50

19

110

107

0.92

T-18

0.94

T-16

-0.02

T-19

CLIPPERS

21-31

0.404

26

17

16

59

20

106

106

0.90

T-24

0.94

T-16

-0.04

T-25

76ERS

20-32

0.385

20

16

13

49

18

106

106

0.92

T-18

0.95

T-19

-0.03

T-22

HORNETS

28-25

0.528

19

19

26

64

T-22

106

107

0.95

T-12

0.95

T-19

0.00

T-15

WIZARDS

17-33

0.340

25

21

20

66

24

107

107

0.91

T-22

0.95

T-19

-0.04

T-25

KNICKS

19-32

0.373

21

24

27

72

27

108

109

0.94

T-15

0.95

T-19

-0.01

17

GRIZZLIES

26-25

0.510

18

23

2

43

12

110

107

0.93

17

0.96

T-23

-0.03

T-22

PISTONS

18-33

0.353

27

10

10

47

T-16

105

100

0.87

29

0.96

T-23

-0.09

T-28

KINGS

18-34

0.346

23

27

11

61

21

111

110

0.92

T-18

0.96

T-23

-0.04

T-25

SUNS 7

31-22

0.585

10

29

25

64

T-22

110

112

1.00

1

0.96

T-23

0.04

T-7

NETS

04-48

0.077

30

20

29

79

28

105

105

0.86

30

0.96

T-23

-0.1

30

WARRIORS

13-40

0.245

24

30

30

84

30

113

116

0.95

T-12

0.96

T-23

-0.01

T-17

RAPTORS 5

29-23

0.558

17

26

24

67

25

106

108

0.99

T-2

0.97

T-29

0.02

T-12

T-WOLVES

13-40

0.245

29

28

14

71

26

112

110

0.88

T-27

0.97

T-29

-0.09

T-28

LEGEND: W-L REC – Won-Loss Record; WIN% - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. No. 1-30]; O-POSS/G – Offensive Possessions/Game [i.e. Possessions = FGA’s + TO’s + FTA’s*.44]; D-POSS/G – Defensive Possessions/Game; O-PPP – Offensive Points Per Possession; O-PPP RK – Offensive Points Per Possession Ranking; D-PPP – Defensive Points Per Possession; D-PPP RK – Defensive Points Per Possession Ranking; PPP-DIFF – Points Per Possession Differential; PPP-DIFF RK – Points Per Possession Differential Ranking; Blue Shade – Eastern Conference playoff teams; Red Shade – Western Conference playoff teams.

 

Team Effectiveness Rankings for the NBA, Pre All-Star Break

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

Last weekend’s NBA All-Star Game marked the unofficial mid-way point of the 2009-2010 regular season schedule.

Where exactly did your favourite team rank in the following categories?

NBA 2009-2010

PRE ALL-STAR BREAK

TEAM EFFECTIVENESS RANKINGS

[as of Thu Feb 11 2010]

TEAM

W-L REC

WIN %

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

OFF

POSS/G

DEF

POSS/G

O-PPP

O-PPP

RK

D-PPP

D-

PPP

RK

PPP

DIFF

PPP

DIFF

RK

CAVALIERS 1

43-11

0.796

1

2

1

4

1

103

104

0.99

T-2

0.91

T-5

0.08

1

MAGIC 2

36-18

0.667

3

7

5

15

2

104

106

0.97

T-5

0.91

T-5

0.06

T-3

SPURS 5

30-21

0.588

6

8

3

17

3

105

104

0.96

T-7

0.92

T-8

0.04

T-7

LAKERS 1

41-13

0.759

2

9

7

18

T-4

109

108

0.95

T-12

0.89

T-1

0.06

T-3

THUNDER 6

30-21

0.588

9

5

4

18

T-4

107

107

0.92

T-18

0.89

T-1

0.03

T-9

BLAZERS 8

31-24

0.564

11

4

6

21

6

102

101

0.96

T-7

0.94

T-16

0.02

T-12

JAZZ 3

32-19

0.627

6

12

9

27

T-7

106

106

0.97

T-5

0.92

T-8

0.05

T-5

BOBCATS 6

26-25

0.510

13

2

12

27

T-7

105

104

0.91

T-22

0.91

T-5

0.00

T-15

CELTICS 4

32-18

0.640

5

1

23

29

9

103

105

0.96

T-7

0.89

T-1

0.07

2

HEAT 7

26-27

0.491

13

6

15

34

10

103

104

0.94

T-15

0.92

T-8

0.02

T-12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HAWKS 3

33-18

0.647

8

11

20

39

11

105

105

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

GRIZZLIES

26-25

0.510

18

23

2

43

12

110

107

0.93

17

0.96

T-23

-0.03

T-22

NUGGETS 2

35-18

0.660

4

22

18

44

T-13

109

109

0.98

4

0.93

T-12

0.05

T-5

BULLS 8

25-26

0.490

22

14

8

44

T-13

109

108

0.88

T-27

0.90

4

-0.02

T-19

BUCKS

24-27

0.471

15

13

18

46

15

109

106

0.90

T-24

0.92

T-8

-0.02

T-19

MAVERICKS 4

32-20

0.615

12

15

20

47

T-16

105

107

0.96

T-7

0.93

T-12

0.03

T-9

PISTONS

18-33

0.353

27

10

10

47

T-16

105

100

0.87

29

0.96

T-23

-0.09

T-28

76ERS

20-32

0.385

20

16

13

49

18

106

106

0.92

T-18

0.95

T-19

-0.03

T-22

ROCKETS

27-24

0.529

16

18

16

50

19

110

107

0.92

T-18

0.94

T-16

-0.02

T-19

CLIPPERS

21-31

0.404

26

17

16

59

20

106

106

0.90

T-24

0.94

T-16

-0.04

T-25

KINGS

18-34

0.346

23

27

11

61

21

111

110

0.92

T-18

0.96

T-23

-0.04

T-25

SUNS 7

31-22

0.585

10

29

25

64

T-22

110

112

1.00

1

0.96

T-23

0.04

T-7

HORNETS

28-25

0.528

19

19

26

64

T-22

106

107

0.95

T-12

0.95

T-19

0.00

T-15

WIZARDS

17-33

0.340

25

21

20

66

24

107

107

0.91

T-22

0.95

T-19

-0.04

T-25

RAPTORS 5

29-23

0.558

17

26

24

67

25

106

108

0.99

T-2

0.97

T-29

0.02

T-12

T-WOLVES

13-40

0.245

29

28

14

71

26

112

110

0.88

T-27

0.97

T-29

-0.09

T-28

KNICKS

19-32

0.373

21

24

27

72

27

108

109

0.94

T-15

0.95

T-19

-0.01

T-17

NETS

04-48

0.077

30

20

29

79

28

105

105

0.86

30

0.96

T-23

-0.1

30

PACERS

18-34

0.346

28

25

28

81

29

110

111

0.90

T-24

0.93

T-12

-0.03

T-22

WARRIORS

13-40

0.245

24

30

30

84

30

113

116

0.95

T-12

0.96

T-23

-0.01

T-17

LEGEND: W-L REC – Won-Loss Record; WIN% - Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Ranking; PAR – Points Allowed Ranking; RDR – Rebounding Differential Ranking; QR – Quality Rating [i.e. PDR + PAR + RDR]; QIR – Quality Index Ranking [i.e. No. 1-30]; O-POSS/G – Offensive Possessions/Game [i.e. Possessions = FGA’s + TO’s + FTA’s*.44]; D-POSS/G – Defensive Possessions/Game; O-PPP – Offensive Points Per Possession; O-PPP RK – Offensive Points Per Possession Ranking; D-PPP – Defensive Points Per Possession; D-PPP RK – Defensive Points Per Possession Ranking; PPP-DIFF – Points Per Possession Differential; PPP-DIFF RK – Points Per Possession Differential Ranking; Blue Shade – Eastern Conference playoff teams; Red Shade – Western Conference playoff teams.

Related:

What it takes to win the NBA Championship

Despite winning 6 of 7, Raptors’ D still porous

Tuesday, January 5th, 2010

Prior to their game against New Jersey [Fri Dec 18 2009], Toronto’s W-L Record was 11-17/.393, and their team was generally considered to be one of the worst defensive squad’s in the NBA.

Since this game, however, the Raptors have proceeded to win 6 of their last 7 contests and certain outposts in the blogosphere have begun to espouse the notion that “improved Defense, on the whole, has been responsible for the team’s recent upsurge, with legitimate prospects for the playoffs looming on the horizon, as a result.”

Improved D has Raptors eyeing playoffs
It says almost all you need to know about the Toronto Raptors that “O” appears four times in their name while “D” doesn’t make a single appearance. For the first five weeks of the season, the Raps embodied that theme to a historic extent. I wrote about their impotent defense in mid-November, and it worsened in the following days.

Yet teams can and will change trajectories during the course of the season, and the Raptors’ shifting defensive fortunes have enabled them to make a charge in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Yes, I’m using the Eastern Conference playoff hopeful definition of “charge” here, as in “briefly compiling more wins than losses and thus gaining several games on the competition.” Regardless, the Raps have looked much better lately.

——————————–

Q1. Is this specific perspective on the Raptors’ defense actually accurate?

A1. Perhaps not, if you consider [i] the context of their past 7 games and [ii] what lies ahead on their upcoming schedule.

——————————–

The specific outcome data for the team’s last 7 games looks like this:

Raptors’ 2009-2010 Game Log

29 Fri, Dec 18, 2009   New Jersey Nets W   118 95 12 17 W 1    
30 Sun, Dec 20, 2009   New Orleans Hornets W   98 92 13 17 W 2    
31 Wed, Dec 23, 2009 @ Detroit Pistons W   94 64 14 17 W 3    
32 Sun, Dec 27, 2009   Detroit Pistons W   102 95 15 17 W 4    
33 Wed, Dec 30, 2009   Charlotte Bobcats W   107 103 16 17 W 5    
34 Sat, Jan 2, 2010 @ Boston Celtics L   96 103 16 18 L 1    
35 Sun, Jan 3, 2010   San Antonio Spurs W   91 86 17 18 W 1

John Hollinger’s Current Offensive Efficiency Ratings

WINS

LOSSES

OPPONENT

CONTEXT

OPPONENT

CONTEXT

Vs New Jersey, +23 Off Eff/30th; Only away game [#2] in midst of 9-of-10 at home; Sunday early start game    
Vs New Orleans, +6 Off Eff/20th; Away game [#2] in midst of 3-of-4 at home; Final Minute Outcome    
@ Detroit, +30 Off Eff/24th; Away-Home back-2-back; 6th loss of current 9-game losing streak    
Vs Detroit, +7 Off Eff/24th; 7th loss of current 9-game losing streak; Hamilton and Gordon returning from injures; Final Minute Outcome; Sunday early start game    
Vs Charlotte, +4 Off Eff/27th; #1 of 3-game road trip [#2/Miami-W; #3/Cleveland-W]; Final Minute Outcome    
    @ Boston, -7 Off Eff 8th; missing 3 starters; Final Minute Outcome
Vs San Antonio, +5 Off Eff/5th; Away End Back-2-back; Duncan did not start for 1st time this season with SAS -8 during this stretch; Final Minute Outcome; Sunday game    
Legend: Off Eff – Offensive Efficiency Rating; Final Minute Outcome - +/- 6 points with <60 s left in game; Dark Shade – Away Game.

Hoopdata’s Defensive Efficiency Rating

Hoopdata’s Current DEF Numbers [click on the "DEF" column]

Hoopdata’s Team Stats for the Raptors

What the Raptors have been doing during this recent stretch of 7 games is:

A. Playing well in their games against some of the NBA’s weaker offensive;

B. Playing well in their home games;

C. Playing well in their Sunday home games; in particular, the early starts.

D. Playing well against a Spurs team that chose not use Tim Duncan at all in the 1st quarter for the first/only this season.

In sharp contrast … what you will see when you look ahead in the Raptors’ schedule of 8 upcoming games is a slightly different set of circumstances that looks like this:

OPPONENT

CONTEXT

RESULT

@ Orlando Off Eff/6th; #2 in Away-Home back-2-back

? [L,0-1]

@ Philadelphia Off Eff/18th; Won 3 of last 4, on the road; 2 off days after home game vs Washington

? [L,0-2]

Vs Boston Off Eff/5th; #3 of 3-game road trip [#1/Mia; #2/Atl]; #1 of upcoming Home-Away back-2-back; sandwiched between Away then Home games against Atlanta [recent playoff rivals]; Garnett, Pierce and/or Rondo may have returned from injuries

? [L,0-3]

@ Indiana Off Eff/26th; Granger and/or Murphy may/may not have returned from injuries;  

? [W,1-3]

@ New York Off Eff/15th; #1 of Home-Away back-2-back; precedes consecutive games against Detroit; #1 of 6-of-next-7 at home

? [L,1-4]

Vs Dallas Off Eff/11th; #1 of 5-game road trip; #1 of Away-Away back-2-back [#2/Boston]

? [L,1-5]

@ Cleveland Off Eff/7th; 1st home game after 5-game Western Conference  road trip; precedes games vs Lakers and Thunder

? [L,1-6]

@ Milwaukee Off Eff/25th; 1st home game after 6-game Western Conference road trip; #1 of consecutive games against Toronto

? [W,2-6]

Legend: Off Eff – Offensive Efficiency Rating; Final Minute Outcome - +/- 6 points with <60 s left in game; Dark Shade – Away Game.

If the Raptors can emerged from the basement of Hoopdata’s “Defensive Efficiency Ratings” and ”DEF” table by the end of this next stretch of 8 games then it would be accurate to suggest that Toronto has, in fact, turned the corner on their season, defensively, and should now be expected to perform in an improved way, overall, which should see the team challenge for a No. 4, or No. 5 seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs this spring.

If, however, what you see at the end of this specific stretch of 8 games, is that the Raptors are still at the very bottom of Hoopdata’s defensive tables … 43 games into their 82-game schedule … then, it would be most accurate to observe instead that there has, in fact, been almost zero improvement in the quality of Toronto’s defense since the beginning of the season.