Posts Tagged ‘Antoine Wright’

Assessing the ‘defensive rhetoric’ coming from Raptors camp

Friday, October 1st, 2010

Last year, the specific talk coming from Raptors training camp was about the team’s new over-riding Defensive Philosophy, referred to as, “Protecting the House,” in an all-out effort to improve their Defensive FG%. 

Unfortunately, last year’s Raptors then finished the 2009-2010 season as one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA.

Now, during this year’s training camp, this is what is currently being said about the Raptors Point of Emphasis, defensively, for the coming season:

———————————–

Raptors focus on fine art of defence

It is a delicate balance the Raptors seek as they try to improve the weakest aspect of their game.

They have to teach aggression tempered with intelligence. Quickness rather than speed.

They need continuity from a group of relative strangers and a dedication to a cause that brings with it little glory.

Easy? Not so much, but if they don’t shore up their defence and find a system that suits their personnel, any chance of being even a mildly surprising team in the coming NBA season is gone out the window.

It is the topic as training camp drones on, the one thing that coach Jay Triano and his assistants are more worried about than any other.

“One, you’ve got a number of new guys who are going to be in the rotation so that’s immediately a challenge,” said assistant coach P.J. Carlesimo. “Two, you don’t have a lot of continuity. Even though you could say it’s Jay’s third year, it’s at least a second, if not a third, different roster so it’s not like he’s had two years to install his system and the same guys are playing his system.

“The good news is you have some young guys with some quickness and enthusiasm. The bad news is you have young guys and inexperienced guys.”

What the Raptors want to do defensively sounds so simple: They want to apply pressure as much as possible, take away outside shots, force turnovers and score off their defence.

“I’d say we’re more aggressive,” said Triano. “Last year we had a tendency to sit on boxes (in the low post) and elbows (at the top of the free-throw lane) and protect the paint and the house and all that. This year, we’re just out and guarding guys.”

———————————–

1. Pressure the ball.

and,

2. Create more turnovers.

Hmmm …

Simple to do, perhaps … if you have enough of the right type of players on your roster, in the first place.

When you actually compare the individual defensive ability of the 15 players on the present roster for the Raptors to the group which ended the 2009-2010 campaign, what you get looks something like this:

EVALUATING THE INDIVIDUAL DEFENSIVE ABILITY

OF THE RAPTORS

2009-2010

ADV

2010-2011

STARTERS

Jack

=

Jack

DeRozan

=

DeRozan *

Turkoglu

à

Kleiza

Bosh

ß

Johnson

Bargnani

=

Bargnani *

+1

+1

KEY SUBS

Calderon

=

Calderon

Weems

ß

Barbosa

Wright/A

ß

Weems

Johnson

ß

Davis

Nesterovic

ß

Andersen

+4

0

RESERVES

Banks

=

Banks

Belinelli

à

Wright/J

0

+1

EXTRAS/OUTS

Evans

=

Evans

Dorsey

=

Dorsey *

O’Bryant

=

Alabi

0

0

COACHING

Triano

=

Triano

0

0

SUMMARY

+5

+2

Those who think the Team Defensive woes of the 2009-2010 Toronto Raptors will be cured by this year’s squad making a renewed commitment to ”applying increased ball pressure”, over the course of an 82-game regular season are, quite simply, unfamiliar with the way in which the NBA actually works:

General Truths About the NBA Game, From a Defensive Perspective:

1. “Less experienced” players are not superior Individual or Team defenders, in comparison with veteran players.

2. “Faster” players do not necessarily prove to be superior Individual or Team defenders, in comparison with slower players.

3. Authentic “high end” Team Defensive ability stems, primarily, from just 2 sources:

i. Having enough rotational players whose specific WEAKNESS does not originate in their own Individual and/or Team defensive game;

 and,

ii. A head coach’s PERSONAL COMMITMENT TO EXCELLENCE, on the defensive side of the floor, based upon the successful implementation/execution of sound and highly integrated strategic and/or tactical concepts. [NOTE: Please recognize the plural form of the final word in this last sentence.]

When a team is atrocious on the defensive side of the ball, however, it does not become significantly better by:

REPLACING

WITH

PLAYER

Pos

Individ. D

Team D

Fouls/G

PLAYER

Pos

Individ. D

Team D

Fouls/G

Bosh/C

PF

Good

Good

Good

Johnson/A

PF

Good

Ave

Poor

Weems/S

OG

Good

Ave

Good

Barbosa/L

OG

Poor

Ave

Good

Wright/A

SF

Ave

Ave

Ave

Weems/S

SF

Poor

Ave

Ave

Johnson/A

PF

Good

Ave

Poor

Davis/E *

PF

Ave

Ave

Poor

Nesterovic/R

C

Good

Good

Good

Andersen/D

C

Poor

Ave

Poor

LEGEND:

* – 1st year player in the NBA;

 

- Upgraded performance;

 

- Status quo performance;

 

- Downgraded performance.

while retaining non defensive stalwarts like:

PLAYER

Pos

Individ. D

Team D

Fouls/G

Bargnani/A

C

Good

Poor

Poor

DeRozan/D

OG/SF

Poor

Poor

Good

Jack/J

PG/OG

Good

Good

Good

Calderon/J

PG

Ave

Good

Good

in their existing roles, in the regular rotation, AND retaining the same head coach who was responsible for the implementation of the Defensive Philosophy which was used the previous season, even if the nature of THAT specific philosophy is supposedly going to change for the new campaign.

Scoring enough points to win games … against high end competition … has not been a major problem for the Raptors during the last several seasons. Preventing high end opponents from doing likewise, however, has consistently been one of the Dinos main problems.

With the set of players, coaches, and GM – i.e. who is responsible for putting together the roster – currently in place for this team, do not expect this reality to change this season.    

Viable options, if the Raptors want to compete for a Top 4 spot in the East next season, and down-the-road

Wednesday, April 21st, 2010

Those calling for Bryan Colangelo to be dismissed, as the GM for the Raptors, are delusional.

What the Raptors – and Bryan Colangelo – NEED to do, however, at this point in time, is implement a fundamental PARADIGM SHIFT … in the way that their basketball operation conducts its business, by prioritizing the objective of TRYING TO WIN MULTIPLE NBA CHAMPIONSHIPS through the gradual construction of a top notch player roster that is filled with solid “NBA level talent” [i.e. in terms of specific skill sets and athleticism] and a proven coaching staff.

As wrong as each of Bryan Colangelo’s major personnel moves have been, thus fas, in his tenure as the Raptors’ GM, the fact is …

1. He finally did the RIGHT THING … by failing to making any trades this season at the Trade Deadline;

and,

2. He is finally now saying the RIGHT THING … as far as [i] properly managing the expectations for the team heading into next season AND [ii] assessing accurately just how far away this current collection of players is from actually being able to compete successfully for a Top 4 playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, in the not-too-distant future …

provided that he is NOW willing to:

A. Keep Chris Bosh/C;

B. Exceed the Luxury Tax Threshold;

and,

C. Trade Andrea Bargnani/C, in exchange for a solid, veteran wing player with good size, NBA athleticism, and a commitment to sound defensive play and rebounding.

To wit:

Andrea Bargnani Trade Proposal

What this specific trade would accomplish …

OPTION 1

From a Raptors’ perspective:

Keeping Bosh would be Step 1.

Trading Bargnani for Battier + Taylor would be Step 2.

- it would rid the team of a defensive albatross
- it would add a 3rd string PG to play behind Calderon and Banks
- it would add a solid wing defender/rebounder with good size to go with the younger tandem of DeRozan and Weems

Step 3 would then involve trading Hedo Turkoglu.

Step 4 would then involve trading Jarrett Jack.

Step 5 would then involve keeping Amir Johnson.

Step 6 would then involve selecting another future rotation player with the 2010 1st Round Draft Pick.

The Raptors would then be moving forward with the following group of players:

1 Chris Bosh, C
2 Amir Johnson, PF
3 Shane Battier, SF
4 DeMar DeRozan, OG
5 Jose Calderon, PG

6 New Player #1 [obtained via trade for Turkoglu]
7 New Player #2 [obtained via trade for Jack]
8 Sonny Weems, OG-SF
9 Marco Belinelli, OG-PG
10 Jermaine Taylor, PG
11 Marcus Banks, PG
12 2010 1st Round Pick
13 New Player #3 [FA signed to replace Antoine Wright]
14 Reggie Evans, PF [or New Player #4, obtained via trade for Reggie Evans]
15 Rasho Nesterovic, C [re-signed for the veteran's minimum]

Patrick O’Bryant would not be re-signed.
Joey Dorsey would not be re-signed [or, he would replace Reggie Evans].

==============================

From the Rockets’ perspective:

1. Bargnani could play Center for them, if Yao Ming isn’t ready to go at the start of next season.

2. Bargnani could be used as Yao Ming’s offensively oriented back-up off the bench, if the big fella is ready to start the season.

3. Bargnani could be used at the PF position, beside Yao Ming, if the big fella is ready to start the seaon, and the Rockets want to go with a twin towers line-up.

——————————————–
NOTE: In every situation, Morey would need to play Bargnani with solid positional defenders in order to compensate for Il Mago’s deficiency in this area. Morey is smart enough to pull that off.
——————————————–

OPTION 2

The same as Option 1, above, except … the Raptors would simply elect to keep Hedo Turkoglu.

——————————————–

What would the 2010-2011 roster then look like for the Raptors?

Roster
Spot

2009-2010

2010-2011, OPTION 1

2010-2011, OPTION 2

Pos

PLAYER

Pos

PLAYER

Pos

PLAYER

1

PG

Jose Calderon

PG

Jose Calderon/1

PG

Jose Calderon/1

2

OG

Sonny Weems

OG

Sonny Weems/2

OG

Hedo Turkoglu/2

3

SF

Hedo Turkoglu

SF

Shane Battier

SF

Shane Battier

4

PF

Chris Bosh

PF

Amir Johnson/3

PF

Amir Johnson/3

5

C

Andrea Bargnani

C

Chris Bosh/4

C

Chris Bosh/4

 

6

PG

Jarrett Jack

PG

Marcus Banks/5

PG

Marcus Banks/5

7

OG

DeMar DeRozan

OG/SF

DeMar DeRozan/6

OG/SF

Sonny Weems/6

8

SF

Antoine Wright

?

New Player #1

?

DeMar DeRozan/7

9

PF

Amir Johnson

?

New Player #2

?

New Player #2

 

10

PG

Marcus Banks

PG

Jermaine Taylor

PG

Jermaine Taylor

11

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli/7

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli/8

12

PF

Joey Dorsey

?

2010 1st Rd Pick

?

2010 1st Rd Pick

13

PF

Reggie Evans

?

New Player #3

?

New Player #3

14

C

Rasho Nesterovic

PF

Reggie Evans, PF/8

PF

Reggie Evans, PF/9

15

C

Patrick O’Bryant

C

Rasho Nesterovic/9

C

Rasho Nesterovic/10

LEGEND: GREEN – Returning players from 2009-2010; ORANGE – New players acquired this off-season.

The more time an astute NBA observer actually spends looking at the depth chart involved with OPTION 2, the more this observer should then begin to see a variety of different possibilities which would be quite a positive development for the Raptors … moving forward … as a team that finished in the No. 9 position this season [especially if Bryan Colangelo can also get a future protected 1st Round Draft Pick included in the trade with Houston].

——————————————–

Despite what some might think, yours truly is firmly in the Raptors’ corner and of the belief that the pro hoops franchise in Toronto has ALWAYS been just a few RIGHT moves away from being able to develop into one of the premier organizations in the entire NBA.

Common mis-perceptions regarding the sources of the Raptors’ problems

Monday, April 19th, 2010

According to Toronto Sports Media 20 “local and well-known NBA observers” were contacted, directly via email, and asked to give a one word answer [i.e. either "yes" or "no"], in confidence, to a straight-forward question concerning:

Toronto Raptors Should Let Chris Bosh Go

“Your [sic] the Toronto Raptors, assume you can sign Bosh at the maximum- would you do it?”

Apparently,

17 respondents said, “NO.”
3 respondents said, “Yes.”

———————————

These are very interesting facts.

In response …

These are 2 comments which yours truly submitted earlier today to the Toronto Sports Media.

Enjoy!

==========

1st Comment, April 19, 2010, 8:20 AM

2nd Comment, April 19, 2010, 8:34 AM

Less Wright should also equal Less Wrong for the Raptors against the Bulls

Sunday, April 11th, 2010

There’s an old adage in the world of sport that goes something like this:

“You should never, ever, take solace in the mis-fortune of your opponent.”

… because:

i. It’s simple not the right way to live your own life;

ii. The “Sporting Gods” do NOT shine their favour on those who fall prey to this affliction;

iii. The “Sporting” Gods do shine their favour, however, on those who focus on what they CAN DO themselves to give their own team the best chance of winning. Period.

In general, this is a tried and true philosophy which makes a great deal of sense … when it comes to NOT taking any solace in the mis-fortune that can sometimes befall AN OPPONENT.

As far as the Raptors are concerned, however …

This adage HAPPENS NOT TO APPLY … when the misfortune, in question, actually be-falls a player on YOUR OWN TEAM!

To wit:

Yes, the Raptors are about to take the court this evening against the Bulls, as a battered and bruised team.

EXhibit A

Chris Bosh/PF is out of the Raptors’ line-up indefinitely while recovering from facial fractures he sustained this past week, against Cleveland. This fact hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

Exhibit B

Hedo Turkoglu/SF is in the line-up for this evening’s game, but with a protective mask on his face his face to guard against incurring further damage to his own broken nose, sustained this past week, against Boston. Since Turkoglu simply hates wearing a protective mask on his face, this fact also hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

Exhibit C

Amir Johnson/PF … who replaced Chris Bosh in the Raptors’ Starting Line-up against Atlanta … is playing in this evening’s game, but with a slightly sprained ankle which he incurred during the 2nd half. This fact hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

Exhibit D

Jarrett Jack/PG … their solid Back-up to Jose Calderon … is playing in this evening’s game, but with a slightly sprained ankle/foot which he also incurred during the 4th quarter against Atlanta. This fact hurts the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight.

But, all hope is far from lost for the Raptors, as …

Exhibit E

Antoine Wright/SF-OG … their defensive specialist at the wing positions and the primary back-up to Turkoglu and Sonny Weems … is out of the line-up indefinitely with a severely sprained right ankle which he incurred during the 4th quarter against Atlanta. This fact HELPS the Raptors’ chances for a W tonight … in a major way.

Huh? … What’s that you say?

It’s impossible to have a 5th injured player from a team’s regular rotation out of the line-up completely for a do-or-die, quasi-elimination game … and, somehow, believe that HIS ABSENCE will actually help his team get a W in that game.

Well, you know what?

NOT IN THIS INSTANCE!

If the Raptors are forced to use a tight 8-Man rotation which looks like this:

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

STARTERS

Calderon

Weems

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

KEY SUBS

Jack

DeRozan

Nesterovic

 

RESERVES

 

Belinelli

 

Evans

 

EXTRAS

Banks

 

O’Bryant

OUTS

 

 

Wright

Bosh

 

 

 

Dorsey

 

it says here that Toronto WILL WIN TONIGHT’S GAME AGAINST THE CHICAGO BULLS …

because using Antoine Wright, as a defensive specialist … when he isn’t very good on defense, to begin with, AND is absolutely horrid on offense, MOST of the time … is actually a huge detriment to the Raptors ever being able to win any game against a decent-to-good opponent when their team could instead be giving his PT to:

a. Sonny Weems, or
b. Hedo Turkoglu, or
c. DeMar DeRozan, or
d. Marco Belinelli,

at the same time as it is also giving increased PT to Amir Johnson [i.e. an athletic rebounder/defender] and Rasho Nesterovic [i.e. a non athletic rebounder/defender].

The fact is … not having Antoine Wright in the line-up tonight is a HUGE CASE of “Addition by Subtraction”, in favour of the Raptors. :-)

Most effective Raptors’ line-up, in Chris Bosh’s absence

Thursday, April 8th, 2010

Chris Black … for whom this corner has a considerable degree of respect …  suggested yesterday that the Raptors would be doing the “right thing”, if they were to insert Reggie Evans/PF into their Starting Unit, given the recent injury sustained by Chris Bosh/PF:

Ball v.1.33

[excerpt #1]

… I think most people would suggest you should just move Johnson into the starting lineup and go from there, however, the more Evans plays, the more the numbers are starting to say something fairly startling. That’s why I think he should start alongside Bargnani. And it’s why I think he should start alongside Bosh when/if the time comes.

Let me build my case:

First off, and in simplest terms: With Evans on the floor, the Raptors outscore their opponents by 2.15 points per 100 possessions (best mark on the team).

Why is that possible? Why does it happen?

[excerpt #2]

… here are Toronto’s big men, listed by their Opponent’s PER:

STAT OF THE DAY
CHARGES PER 40 MINUTES – NBA LEADERS

Evans 11.1
Bosh 18.1
Bargnani 19.1
Johnson 19.8
Nesterovic 21.6

Reggie gets after it defensively. And that’s why I think he should start for the remainder of this season and the playoffs.

One more reason Reggie is quickly becoming a favourite of mine, and it’s my Stat of the Day

Nick Collison 1.45
Reggie Evans 1.36
Jose Juan Barea 1.26
Kyle Lowry 1.25
Jared Jeffries 1.20

==========

Q1. Could it, possibly, be that Chris is right about this?

A1. No, unfortunately, in this instance, he is not correct.

Here’s the take from yours truly:

———-

[from the comment section at T.Jose Caldeford]

Chris,

If you check the actual play-by-play data for Reggie Evans’ minutes played so far this season, you should be able to see that he has seen quite a bit of floor time playing Power Forward with Chris Bosh at the Center position.

To expect Reggie Evans’ +/- numbers to remain constant when he’s used in combination with [Andrea] Bargnani or [Amir] Johnson, instead of Chris Bosh, is to fail to understand how the NBA game actually works, based on individual match-ups, mismatches and who exactly is on the floor, both, with and against you.

As difficult [counter-intuitive?] as it might seem …

The Raptors best chance for success in Chris Bosh’s absence would be to:

PG – Play Calderon more minutes over Jack
OG + SF – Use a 3-player rotation of Weems, Turkoglu and DeRozan
PF + C – Use a 3-player rotation of Nesterovic, Bargnani and Johnson

in a tight 8-man rotation

… with support from Antoine Wright/OG-SF, Marco Belinelli/OG-PG and Reggie Evans/PF.

Starting and giving copious amounts of PT to Reggie Evans is NOT the correct answer to the Raptors’ current dilema, when Chris Bosh is the one who is missing from their everyday line-up.

———-

Reggie Evans is a low end PF who:

1. Has a great deal of difficulty finishing around the rim;

2. Is a poor mid-range shooter;

3. Is a non-shot blocker [i.e. similar to other very limited back-up players like Collison-N/PF, Barea/PG, Lowry/PG, Jeffries/PF];

4. Fouls excessively;

5. Is slow-footed in both defensive and offensive transition;

6. Is a poor individual defender, when facing Top Tier opposition;

7. Is a poor individual defender in Pick & Roll/Pop + Hedge situations;

8. Is a poor team defender in Help situations;

9. Is a good “hustle/energy” player that can use his body, physically, to rebound;

and,

10. Gives his “best effort” at all times [i.e. which is highly valued by a hockey-crazed fanbase]. 

Nothing more, and nothing less, than THAT.

———–

It can sometimes be amazing to see just how many NBA observers actually watch the games that take place each night without paying closer attention to who exactly is on the floor, matched-up against what individual check, and with what specific set of teammates beside him, working at what specific positions … despite the increased level of statistical sophistication which exists in today’s on-line hoops community.

Despite what you might have been told by countless others …

including, for example, Dean Oliver, Kevin Pelton, David Berri, Wayne Winston, Dan Rosenbaum, John Hollinger, Justin Kubatko, Neil Paine, and even Daryl Morey, etc.

… when it comes to being able to win the league championship,

Basketball is simply not a game of “macro data analysis”, pertaining to “average” performance levels in a host of existing game-stat categories, by a set of “generic” players, represented through their rotisserie league “production numbers”.

Basketball is a game which is based on a seemingly endless series of individual and inter-connected match-ups and mismatches … that can best be understood through a combination of highly specific “micro data analysis”, relevant “macro data analysis,” and highly developed “basketball acumen”, derived from countless hours of practiced learning, playing, and actually teaching/coaching others how the game is really played [properly?] by the very best players in the world, both, in isolation AND when working in conjunction with teammates, coaches and opponents. 

———-

Hopefully, Jay Triano & Co. will heed the specific suggestions provided here and, in the process, be able to secure enough wins from their 4 remaining regular season games to qualify for the Eastern Conference playoffs.

How the Raptors dismantled the Clippers, as expected, in the 2nd half

Thursday, April 1st, 2010

Toronto was listed as a 10 point home favourite in their match-up against the LA Clippers last night.

Despite the size of this “number”, the Raptors were also the “best selection” on the NBA board, according to yours truly.

LA Clippers [27-48] 92
TORONTO RAPTORS [37-37] 114
Complete Game Info

QUESTION
For what specific reasons?

ANSWER

From the Clippers’ Perspective

1. The Clippers were playing without their Starting Point Guard, i.e. Baron Davis, which left the combination of Steve Blake and Bobby Brown to match-up with Jose Calderon and Jarrett Jack.

MAJOR ADVANTAGE for TORONTO

2. The Clippers were playing in the 2nd half of an away-away back-2-back, i.e. @ Milwaukee [Tue, Loss, 89-107] and @ Toronto [Wed], while the Raptors were playing after having an off day on Tuesday [following their win, at Charlotte, on Monday].  

MAJOR ADVANTAGE for TORONTO

3. Since firing Mike Dunleavy, first, as their head coach, and second, as their GM, the Clippers have been operating with an unproven leadership team [i.e. Kim Hughes and Neil Olshey, respectively], at the helm of their franchise. 

MINOR ADVANTAGE for TORONTO

From the Raptors’ Perspective

If you take a close look at the Substitution Chart for the 2nd half of last night’s game:

 

SUBSTITUTION CHART

 

RAPTORS vs Clippers

 

[Wed Mar 31 2010]

 

Time

Team

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

Start

End

Diff

12:00

LAC

Blake

Gordon

Butler

Jordan

Kaman

53

63

-8

3rd

T

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Bosh

Bargnani

48

64

+8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08:55

 

Time-out:

Regular

LAC

LAC, 55

TOR, 58

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08:55

LAC

Blake

Gordon

Butler

Gooden

Kaman

55

63

+2

 

T

 

 

 

 

 

58

64

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

05:26

LAC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

T

Calderon

Wright

Turkoglu

Evans

Bargnani

63

68

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

64

72

+3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

03:37

LAC

Blake

Gordon

Butler

Smith

Gooden

68

73

+3

 

T

 

 

 

 

 

72

74

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

02:46

 

Time-out:

Regular

TOR

LAC, 73

TOR, 74

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

02:46

LAC

Blake

Butler

Outlaw

Smith

Gooden

73

75

-4

 

T

Jack

Wright

Turkoglu

Evans

Bosh

74

80

+4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

00:59.9

LAC

 

 

 

 

 

75

75

-1

 

T

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Evans

Bosh

80

81

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

00:42.5

LAC

Blake

Butler

Outlaw

Smith

Jordan

75

75

0

 

T

 

 

 

 

 

81

81

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Time

Team

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

Start

End

Diff

12:00

LAC

Brown

Gordon

Outlaw

Smith

Jordan

75

78

-3

4th

T

Jack

Weems

DeRozan

Evans

Bosh

81

87

+3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

09:27

LAC

Blake

Gordon

Outlaw

Jordan

Kaman

78

79

-2

 

T

 

 

 

Bosh

Bargnani

87

90

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08:56

 

Time-out:

Official

 

LAC, 79

TOR, 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08:56

LAC

Blake

Gordon

Butler

Jordan

Kaman

79

82

-4

 

T

Jack

Weems

DeRozan

Evans

Bargnani

90

97

+4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

07:09

LAC

Blake

Gordon

Butler

Gooden

Kaman

82

86

-1

 

T

 

 

 

 

 

97

102

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

05:53

 

Time-out:

Regular

TOR

LAC, 86

TOR, 102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

05:53

LAC

 

 

 

 

 

86

92

-1

 

T

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

Bosh

Bargnani

102

109

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

01:58

LAC

Blake

Butler

Outlaw

Smith

Gooden

92

92

-5

 

T

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

Evans

Johnson

109

114

+5

LEGEND: Bold – Substitution; Italics – Shifted to a different position.

and, the Plus-Minus Charts for Specific Pairs of Raptors Players:

 

TIME

 

POWER FORWARD & CENTER PAIRS,
PLUS-MINUS

 

 

Start

 

End

 

Dur

Bosh/PF
Bargnani/C

Evans/PF

Bargnani/C

Evans/PF

Bosh/C

Evans/PF

Johnson/C

12:00

08:55

03:05

+8

 

 

 

08:55

05:26

03:29

-2

 

 

 

05:26

03:37

01:49

 

+3

 

 

03:37

02:46

00:51

 

-3

 

 

02:46

59.9

01:46

 

 

+4

 

59.9

42.5

00:18

 

 

+1

 

42.5

00:00

00:42

 

 

0

 

3rd Quarter TOTAL

+6/06:34

0/02:40

+5/02:46

0/00:00

12:00

09:27

02:33

 

 

+3

 

09:27

08:56

00:31

+2

 

 

 

08:56

07:09

01:47

 

+4

 

 

07:09

05:53

01:16

 

+1

 

 

05:53

01:58

03:55

+1

 

 

 

01:58

00:00

01:58

 

 

 

+5/01:58

4th Quarter TOTAL

+3/04:26

+5/03:03

+3/02:33

+5/01:58

2nd Half TOTAL

+9/11:00

+5/05:43

+8/05:19

+5/01:58

LEGEND: Dur – Duration.

 

 

TIME

 

OFF GUARD & SMALL FORWARD PAIRS,
PLUS-MINUS

 

 

Start

 

End

 

Dur

Weems/OG
Wright/SF

Wright/OG

Turkoglu/SF

DeRozan/OG

Turkoglu/SF

Weems/OG

DeRozan/SF

12:00

08:55

03:05

+8

 

 

 

08:55

05:26

03:29

-2

 

 

 

05:26

03:37

01:49

 

+3

 

 

03:37

02:46

00:51

 

-3

 

 

02:46

59.9

01:46

 

+4

 

 

59.9

42.5

00:18

 

 

+1

 

42.5

00:00

00:42

 

 

0

 

3rd Quarter TOTAL

+6/06:34

+4/04:26

+1/01:00

0/00:00

12:00

09:27

02:33

 

 

 

+3

09:27

08:56

00:31

 

 

 

+2

08:56

07:09

01:47

 

 

 

+4

07:09

05:53

01:16

 

 

 

+1

05:53

01:58

03:55

 

 

 

+1

01:58

00:00

01:58

 

 

 

+5

4th Quarter TOTAL

0/00:00

0/00:00

0/00:00

+16/12:00

2nd Half TOTAL

+6/06:34

+4/04:26

+1/01:00

+16/12:00

LEGEND: Dur – Duration.

… what you should be able to see is that:

4. Since adjusting their Principal Rotation, by shifting:

PART I – Jarrett Jack/PG;
PART II - DeMar DeRozan/OG [but still giving the rookie plenty of valuable playing time, especially, with all-star Chris Bosh]; and,
PART III - Hedo Turkoglu/SF;

to their 2nd Unit, and inserting:

PART I – Jose Calderon/PG;
PART II – Sonny Weems/OG; and,
PART III – Antoine Wright/SF;

in their place, with the 1st Unit, the Raptors have re-worked the blend of Defense, Rebounding and Offense with their team, in a way that creates better balance, overall, and places increased emphasis on the specific contributions of certain players who are less focused on scoring.

MAJOR ADVANTAGE for TORONTO

5. Specifically, this shift in personnel has allowed the Raptors to:

i. Use Sonny Weems/OG and DeMar DeRozan/SF together, along with either Jose Calderon/PG [i.e. not a line-up they have used frequently this season, despite the repeated urgings of yours truly :-) ] or Jarrett jack/PG;

ii. Use Demar DeRozan for an increased number of minutes in the 2nd half [Amen!];

iii. Use Sonny Weems [athletic] + DeMar DeRozan [athletic] + Jarrett Jack [athletic] + Reggie Evans/Amir Johnson [good rebounders], in conjunction with Andrea Bargnani [non-athletic, non-defending, non-rebounder], if/when Chris Bosh is off the floor [Hallelujah!];

and,

iv. Improve their overall ability to match-up effectively with individual opponents, at each of the 5 positions, in a specific game, without simply adhering to the rigid confines of a carved-in-stone line-up that has:

A. Hedo Turkoglu/SF,
B. Andrea Bargnani/C, and
C. Jose Calderon/PG

… each of whom is a liability on the defensive end of the floor …

together in the same “1st Unit” which is used to:

* Begin each game
* Begin each 2nd Half, and
* Finish every game.

MAJOR ADVANTAGE for TORONTO

6. Chris Bosh [i.e. 34 Pts; 11 Rebs; +13] is a much better basketball player than, either, Chris Kaman [22 Pts; 13 Rebs; -18] or DeAndre Jordan [i.e. 3 Pts; 3 Rebs; -27].

MAJOR ADVANTAGE for TORONTO

—————————–

The simple fact is …

Despite their many struggles of the past few weeks, right now, the Raptors are a much better team than the sad-sack LA Clippers.

10 things on the Raptors from the last 24 hrs

Tuesday, March 30th, 2010

1. Since last summer, the prognostication from this corner of the blogosphere has been that the Raptors would likely finish the 2009-2010 campaign with somewhere between 38-to-44 wins. 

2. What yours truly wrote on Michael Grange’s blog [i.e. From Deep] yesterday afternoon:

——————————————–
“I’m not a gambling man, but I’d place this bet, with confidence: The Raptors aren’t going to make the playoffs and in fact, will flame out in their final 10 games quite spectacularly. This team is 4-13 in their past 17, and deservedly so. Jay Triano will soon become the first Canadian ex-head coach in the NBA, and Chris Bosh will soon after be a former Raptor.

The question is will Bryan Colangelo have a chance to try and make sense of the shards that remain, and should he?”Michael Grange

[khandor's comment]
3/29/2010 2:14:17 PM
Michael,
At this point of the season, I would be prepared to make you a friendly wager based upon whether, or not, the Raptors make the playoffs this season.

I’ll say that they will.

You say that they won’t.

Deal, or no deal?
——————————————–

3. With last night’s victory …

Toronto Raptors 103
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS 101
Complete Game Info

the Raptors have now played 3 ”final possession” games in a row, against solid opponents … i.e. Denver [Home Loss, 96-96], Miami [Away Loss, 94-97] and Charlotte [Away Win, 103-101].

4. The first 2 of these games were played without the services of Hedo Turkoglu/SF, altogether; while the 3rd game saw the their $53.0 Million Dollar Man used only as a Key Sub off the bench.

5. For all 3 of these games, the Raptors have used a Starting 5 comprised of:

PG, Jose Calderon [replacing Jarrett Jack]
OG, Sonny Weems [replacing DeMar DeRozan]
SF, Antoine Wright [replacing Hedo Turkoglu]
PF, Chris Bosh
C, Andrea Bargnani

6. Using Sonny Weems/OG-SF for more minutes per game, in general, while still giving solid PT to rookie DeMar DeRozan/OG-SF, in a Key Sub role off the bench, has effected this team’s recent performance in a highly positive way … by [i] increasing the overall level of athleticism in their starting unit, and [ii] placing more of an emphasis on the [A] Defensive and [B] Rebounding aspects of the game, in contrast with [C] Offensive Points Production.

7. Using Antoine Wright - who is defensively focused - in the Starting 5 is a sound strategic move, when it is also balanced out properly by:

i. Shifting either Hedo Turkoglu/SF or Andrea Bargnani/C – who is offensively focused – to the 2nd Unit;

and,

ii. Re-establishing Jose Calderon – who is offensively focused - as the team’s No. 1 Point Guard. 

8. Building on these consecutive solid efforts, it is likely that the Raptors will now be able to put together a 4 game winning streak …

Game 73, at CHARLOTTE [W, 36-37] 
Game 74, vs LA Clippers [W, 37-37]
Game 75, at PHILADELPHIA [W, 38-37]
Game 76, vs Golden State [W, 39-37]

before heading towards …

End Of Season – Phase 1
Game 77, at CLEVELAND
Game 78, vs Boston
Game 79, at ATLANTA

———————————

End Of Season – Phase 2
Game 80, vs Chicago
Game 81, at DETROIT
Game 82, vs New York

during which this team … will have its mettle tested, once again, and … should eventually be able to secure the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs … and a 1st Round match-up with the #1/Cleveland Cavaliers.

9. Whether, or not, Chris Bosh eventually decides to re-sign with the Raptors this summer, as an UFA, was never ever going to be dependant on where exactly the Raptors finish up this season, insofar as making the playoffs is concerned, or advancing to the 2nd Round, etc..

Chris Bosh will eventually decide to re-sign with the Raptors this summer … or not … based upon the confidence level he has developed in Bryan Colangelo, over the course of the last 4+ years, concerning the GM’s actual ability to construct a championship calibre team in Toronto.  

10. Those who think that Chris Bosh has simply been “mailing it in,” since returning from the All-Star Break, because he has already decided to ply his trade for a different team next season …

 

do not have the ability to recognize accurately which players in the NBA are actually playing hard and which ones are not.

Further adjusted “Starting 5″ for the Raptors can overcome the Heat

Sunday, March 28th, 2010

Toronto used a “new” Starting 5, on Friday night, against Denver:

Jose Calderon, PG [same as before]
Sonny Weems, OG [new]
Antoine Wright, SF [new]
Chris Bosh, PF [same as before]
Andrea Bargnani, C [same as before]

The same day, Jermaine O’Neal/C hyperextended his right knee in Miami’s road win at Milwaukee and is not expected to play in this evening’s home game against the Raptors.

If the Raptors decide to use a slightly different version of their ”new” Starting 5 and insert a healthy Hedo Turkoglu into the SF position, in place of Antoine Wright, it will create the following set of individual match-ups:

Option 1 – Currently Expected Rotations

HEAT

ADV

RAPTORS

Head Coach

Spoelstra

 

Triano

0

 

0

Starters

Arroyo

=

Calderon

Wade

ß

Weems

Richardson

à

Turkoglu

Beasley

=

Bargnani

Anthony

à

Bosh

+1

 

+2

Key Subs

Chalmers

=

Jack

Wright

ß

DeRozan

Haslem

=

Johnson

Magloire

=

Nesterovic

+1

 

0

Reserves

Cook

=

Belinelli

Jones

=

Wright

Diawara

=

Evans

Individual Match-ups Assessment

0, +1, +1

 

0, +2, 0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and, in all likelihood mean that Toronto will lose their 3rd game in a row.

On the other hand, if the Raptors decide to go with Option 2:

Option 2 – Should Be Rotations, from Toronto’s POV

HEAT

ADV

RAPTORS

Head Coach

Spoestra

 

Triano

0

 

0

Starters

Arroyo

=

Calderon

Wade

ß

Weems

Richardson

à

Turkoglu

Beasley

=

Johnson

Anthony

à

Bosh

+1

 

+2

Key Subs

Chalmers

=

Jack

Wright

ß

DeRozan

Haslem

à

Bargnani

Magloire

=

Nesterovic

+1

 

+1

Reserves

Cook

=

Belinelli

Jones

=

Wright

Diawara

=

Evans

Individual Match-ups Assessment

0, +1, +1

 

0, +2, +1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

… there’s a fairly good chance they will be able to put a stop to their 2-game losing streak and stay 1.5 games ahead of the 9th place Bulls in the Eastern Conference standings.

——————————————–

Contrary to popular belief …

Andrea Bargnani is a long ways away from being a useless NBA player, provided that he is actually used properly, i.e. as a Back-up Center, who becomes THE focal point of the Raptors’ offense each time Chris Bosh is taken off the floor.

Raptors’ line-up that would have likely stopped the Nuggets’ late comeback

Sunday, March 28th, 2010

If you take a look at these 2 sets of video highlights from Friday night’s Toronto loss against Denver, what you should be able to see is that:

1. The Raptors used a specific 5-Man Unit for the defensive possession when Chauncey Billups made his step-back 3PT shot, in the Left Corner, to tie the score, 95-95, with 33.9 seconds remaining in the 4th quarter:

Jack [6-3, 200] vs Billups [6-3, 202], PG
DeRozan [6-7, 220] vs Carter [6-2, 195], PG
Weems [6-6, 205] vs Smith [6-6, 220], OG
Wright [6-7, 215] vs Anthony [6-8, 230], PF
Bosh [6-10, 245] vs Nene [6-11, 250], C

and,

2. The Raptors used the same 5-Man Unit when Carmelo Anthony missed his initial attempt at a game-winning jump shot … which came after Denver’s final time-out, trailing by 1 point … and was followed by the Nuggets’ offensive rebound, pass back to Anthony and his 2PT dagger that ultimately killed the home team:

Jack vs Carter [inbounds passer; 2nd screener for Smith]
DeRozan vs Smith [shooter cutting below the strong side staggered screens]
Weems vs Billups [receiver/passer positioned at the top of the key]
Wright vs Anthony [shooter isolated at the right elbow]
Bosh vs Nene [1st screener for Smith].

——————————————–

QUESTION

What specific line-up SHOULD the Raptors have used instead of this one?

ANSWER

Weems [6-6, 205] vs Billups [6-3, 202]
DeRozan [6-7, 220] vs Carter [6-2, 195]
Wright [6-7, 215] vs Smith [6-6, 220]
Johnson [6-9, 210] vs Anthony [6-8, 230]
Bosh [6-10, 245] vs Nene [6-11, 250]

If the Raptors had played these last 2 defensive possessions with this different 5-Man Unit, in all likelihood:

Possession #1

Billups would not have been able to get his step-back 3PT jump shot off vs an equally quick but taller defender like Sonny Weems [shot No. 1]; 

and,

Possession #2

Carmelo Anthony would not have been able to get his stand-still 2PT jump shot off vs an equally quick but taller defender like Amir Johnson [i.e. shot No. 2]; and, if he was, then, Toronto would have been in much better position to retrieve the defensive rebound and prevent Anthony from getting off his 1 dribble going left 2PT jump shot … against a smaller defender like Jarrett Jack, or Antoine Wright [shot No. 3].

It really is astounding just how many times different NBA teams actually have the wrong individual match-ups on the floor during specific crunch-time possessions, and how often it can end up costing them a victory, in the process.

Raptors remain clueless, when it comes to fixing problems

Friday, March 26th, 2010

At some point, the days eventually begin to run together, in Raptorville.

The same problems occur from one season to the next and, seemingly, never ever get fixed properly.

——————————————–

Feschuk: Listless Raptors puzzle GM Colangelo

“I’ve got a lot of suspicions, I guess, of what’s gone wrong. It hasn’t been the same since the all-star break,” Colangelo said. “Too many guys came back from the break with a different approach. And that’s the part that’s troubling. … It’s not a talent issue. And it’s clear that the right message is being delivered (by the coaching staff). But the students have to carry out the agenda. And it’s got to be a team agenda. It can’t be an individual agenda.”

——————————————–

Is removing Jose Calderon from the starting line-up, once again, really going to solve their on-going problems at the defensive end of the floor?

Chisholm: Triano sending the wrong message

Is removing DeMar DeRozan from the starting line-up, for the first time this season, really going to be the catalyst for a substantive change in the way that this team approaches the business of rebounding and being able to fight back when things don’t quite go according to plan, in a given quarter, half, or game? … as other legitimate contending teams have always done in the history of the NBA.

Is asking Chris Bosh [i.e. the team's best player, by a wide margin] … the same question, again, and again:

“What’s wrong with you guys?”

 

really going to illicit a pearl of wisdom that, if said out loud to the reporters in a post practice/game media scrum, is going to miraculously change the culture which exists within their locker-room?

———————————–

The reality of the Raptors’ current situation is this:

1. Once the trade deadline has passed, there is very little that can be done to fundamentally alter the personnel on a team’s roster.

2. Firing their head coach makes little sense, given that he was hand-picked by the GM to run the day-to-day operation only 9 months ago, and the organization is still paying the salary of its former head coach [i.e. Sam Mitchell], who was fired in December of last season.

3. The team’s defensive woes have NOT been rooted in the mediocre-to-poor play of Jose Calderon, who is comparable … as a less-than stellar individual defender with a solid offensive game … to 6 of the other starting Point Guards for the Top 15 teams in the league [i.e. see the chart below].

STARTING 5 COMPOSITION FOR TOP 15 TEAMS

COMPARED WITH TORONTO RAPTORS

[as of Thu Mar 25 2010]

Rank

Team

Record

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

 

 

 

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

TS%

DEF

TReb

1

CLE

57-15

Williams

Parker

James

Jamison

Hickson

 

 

 

57.2

1.37

3.1

57.5

1.38

2.7

60.6

2.80

7.3

51.6

2.20

7.8

58.0

0.91

4.5

 

 

 

>

-

-

>

-

<

>

>

>

<

>

-

-

<

<

2

LAL

53-18

Fisher

Bryant

Artest

Gasol

Bynum

 

 

 

49.8

1.91

1.9

54.8

2.15

5.3

54.2

1.88

4.3

58.5

2.43

11.1

61.0

2.05

8.4

 

 

 

<

>

<

>

>

>

-

>

-

>

>

>

>

-

-

3

ORL

50-22

Nelson

Carter

Barnes

Lewis

Howard

 

 

 

53.0

1.07

2.7

53.9

1.13

4.1

57.5

1.29

5.6

57.0

1.51

4.6

63.3

3.69

13.1

 

 

 

-

<

-

-

<

>

 

-

-

>

<

<

>

>

>

T-4

DEN

47-25

Billups

Afflalo

Anthony

Martin

Nene

 

 

 

61.8

1.41

3.0

57.7

1.10

2.8

55.5

1.84

6.7

48.4

2.31

9.6

63.4

2.71

7.8

 

 

 

>

-

-

>

<

<

>

>

>

<

>

>

>

-

-

T-4

DAL

47-25

Kidd

Butler

Marion

Nowitzki

Haywood

 

 

 

57.6

2.54

5.4

50.5

2.25

4.4

53.5

1.82

6.7

57.1

2.17

7.7

58.7

2.44

8.1

 

 

 

>

>

>

-

>

>

<

>

>

>

>

-

-

-

-

T-4

UTA

47-25

Williams

Matthews

Kirilenko

Boozer

Okur

 

 

 

57.2

1.75

4.0

58.8

1.15

2.1

59.1

2.86

4.6

59.4

1.68

11.1

55.0

2.05

6.9

 

 

 

>

>

>

>

<

<

>

>

-

>

-

>

-

-

<

T-7

BOS

46-25

Rondo

Allen

Pierce

Garnet

Perkins

 

 

 

54.5

2.67

4.4

59.5

1.29

3.3

61.5

2.10

4.3

58.2

1.95

7.4

61.8

2.16

7.7

 

 

 

-

>

>

>

<

-

>

>

-

>

-

-

>

-

-

T-7

ATL

46-25

Bibby

Johnson

Williams

Smith

Horford

 

 

 

53.7

1.16

2.2

53.5

1.35

4.7

54.2

1.45

5.3

53.8

4.09

8.8

60.2

1.94

9.7

 

 

 

-

<

<

-

-

>

-

-

-

-

>

-

>

-

>

9

PHO

45-26

Nash

Richardson

Hill

Stoudemire

Lopez

 

 

 

61.4

1.14

3.3

57.3

1.49

5.4

56.3

1.56

5.5

61.5

1.90

8.8

57.2

2.60

8.8

 

 

 

>

<

-

>

-

>

>

-

-

>

-

-

-

-

-

10

OKC

43-27

Westbrook

Sefolosha

Durant

Green

Krstic

 

 

 

49.4

1.87

5.0

49.0

1.91

4.9

60.2

2.33

7.5