As the Raptors complete their seemingly annual summer make-over, under the watch of Bryan Colangelo/GM, in preparation for the 2010-2011 campaign, it is interesting to see how the landscape is shaping up in the Eastern Conference, when evaluating the individual players who might be expected to start at the Center position for their respective teams:
PART 1 - Based On Basketball Acumen
Ranking Expected Starting Centers
in the Eastern Conference, 2010-2011
LY
TEAM
EXPECTED
OFF
DEF
REB
TOT
Rank
1
Cleveland
Varejao/A
12
10
10
32
12
2
Orlando
Howard/D
3
1
1
5
1
3
Atlanta
Horford/A
8
7
3
18
5
4
Boston
Perkins/K
13
4
7
24
7
5
Miami
Bosh/C
1
8
4
13
2
6
Milwaukee
Bogut/A
4
9
8
21
6
7
Charlotte
Dampier/E
15
5
9
29
10
8
Chicago
Noah/J
10
2
2
14
T-3
9
Toronto
Bargnani/A
7
15
15
37
15
10
Indiana
Hibbert/R
11
11
11
33
13
11
New York
Stoudemire/A
2
14
12
28
9
12
Detroit
Wallace/B
14
6
5
25
8
13
Philadelphia
Speights/M
9
13
14
36
14
14
Washington
Blatche/A
6
12
13
31
11
15
New Jersey
Lopez/B
5
3
6
14
T-3
LEGEND: LY – Last year’s finish in the Final Standings; EXPECTED – Expected Starter in best available line-up; OFF – Offensive rating relative to peers [1.e. #1-15]; DEF – Defensive rating relative to peers [i.e. #1-15]; Rebounding rating relative to peers [i.e. #1-15]; Rank – Overall Ranking relative to peers [i.e. #1-15].
PART 2 - Painting By the Numbers [from hoopdata for the 2009-2010]
Ranking For Expected Starting Centers
in the Eastern Conference, 2010-2011
LY
TEAM
EXPECTED
MP
OFFENSE
DEFENSE
REBOUNDING
PTS
P/MP
Ork
DEF
D/MP
Drk
REB
R/MP
Rrk
TOT
Rank
1
Cleveland
Varejao/A
2164
651
0.301
13
165
0.076
7
578
0.267
7
27
11
2
Orlando
Howard/D
2844
1503
0.528
3
305
0.107
2
1081
0.380
1
6
1
3
Atlanta
Horford/A
2846
1148
0.403
10
157
0.055
14
799
0.281
8
32
14
4
Boston
Perkins/K
2153
791
0.367
11
161
0.075
8
595
0.276
9
28
T-12
5
Miami
Bosh/C
2527
1678
0.664
2
125
0.049
15
759
0.300
6
23
T-6
6
Milwaukee
Bogut/A
2231
1095
0.491
7
264
0.118
1
703
0.315
3
11
2
7
Charlotte
Dampier/E
1280
328
0.256
14
94
0.073
10
400
0.313
4
18
3
8
Chicago
Noah/J
1922
687
0.357
12
144
0.075
8
705
0.367
2
22
5
9
Toronto
Bargnani/A
2801
1376
0.491
7
152
0.054
12
494
0.176
15
34
15
10
Indiana
Hibbert/R
2036
946
0.465
9
180
0.088
4
464
0.228
13
26
T-9
11
New York
Stoudemire/A
2836
1896
0.669
1
153
0.054
12
732
0.258
10
23
T-6
12
Detroit
Wallace/B
1974
381
0.193
15
200
0.101
3
597
0.302
5
23
T-6
13
Philadelphia
Speights/M
1017
532
0.523
4
84
0.083
5
252
0.248
11
20
4
14
Washington
Blatche/A
2254
1143
0.507
6
184
0.082
6
509
0.226
14
26
T-9
15
New Jersey
Lopez/B
3025
1542
0.510
5
203
0.067
11
709
0.234
12
28
T-12
LEGEND: LY – Last year’s finish in the Final Standings; EXPECTED – Expected starter in best available line-up; MP – Total Minutes Played; PTS – Total Points Scored; P/MP – Total Points Scored per Minute Played; Ork – Offensive Ranking; DEF – Total Steals + Blocked Shots +Drawn Charges; D/MP – DEF per Minute Played; Drk – Defensive Ranking; REB – Total Rebounds; R/MP – Total Rebounds per Minute Played; Rrk – Rebounding Ranking; TOT – Ork + Drk + Rrk; Rank – Total Ranking.
From Toronto’s perspective …
The more some things change, the more other things simply stay the same.
In general, Kevin Arnovitz does a solid job breaking down the different “actions” involved in a NBA game.
In this instance, however, he has incorrectly pointed an accusing finger in the direction of Rashard Lewis for Orlando’s apparent failure to box out Josh Smith on the last second follow-up dunk which was the difference in last night’s victory for Atlanta.
Just over a minute later, Vince Carter deadens the crowd when he nails an off-balanced, contested bomb from beyond the arc.
Game tied.
The Hawks must race the ball up the length of the court with no timeouts and 9.9 seconds left on the clock:
Watch the play again. How does Josh Smith get free for the follow?
Ask Rashard Lewis.
———————————————-
If you take a closer look at what transpired during this sequence, you should be able to see is that:
ORLANDO PLAYER
LOCATION
ACTION
ATLANTA PLAYER
LOCATION
ACTION
1. INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS IN DEFENSIVE TRANSITION
Carter
Left Back Court
Defend dribble
Johnson
Left Back Court
Dribble-up
Redick
Left Wing
Defend in passing lane
Horford
Left Wing
Fill lane
Nelson
Middle of Floor
Sag into middle
Williams
Right Side Trail
Spot up for 3
Lewis
Right Wing
Sag into middle
Smith
Right FTLX
Spot up for 3
Howard
Middle of Floor
Protest basket
West
Right Elbow
Spot up for 2
2. INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS IN DEFENSIVE TRANSITION AS THE BALLCROSSESCENTER
Carter
Left Front Court
Defend dribble
Johnson
Left Back Court
Dribble-up
Redick
Left Corner
Defend in passing lane
Horford
Left Wing
Spot up for 3
Nelson
In Middle of Lane
Step toward Williams
Williams
Right Side Trail
Spot up for 3
Lewis
Right Wing
Sag into middle
Smith
Right FTLX
Spot up for 3
Howard
Middle of Floor
Protect basket
West
Right Elbow
Spot up for 2
3. INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS IN HALF-COURT D AS THE BALL IS DRIVEN TO THE BASKET
Carter
Left Wing
Defend dribble
Johnson
Left Front Court
Drive to Left Short Corner
Redick
Left Corner
Defend in passing lane
Horford
Left Corner
Spot up for 3
Nelson
In Middle of Lane
Sag into middle
Williams
Middle Trail
Spot up for 3
Lewis
Upper Right Block
Sag into middle
Smith
Right Wing
Prepare to Off Reb
Howard
Left Block
Slide over to help vs drive
West
Right Elbow
Prepare to Off Reb
4. INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS IN HALF-COURT D AS THE SHOT GOES UP
Carter
Left Short Corner
Prepare to Def Rebound
Johnson
Left Short Corner
Rises for pull-up jump-shot
Redick
Left Corner
Prepare to box out Horford
Horford
Left Corner
Prepare to Off Rebound
Nelson
In Middle of Lane
Prepare to box out Williams
Williams
Middle Trail
Spot up for 3
Lewis
Upper Right Block
Step over to box out West
Smith
Right Corner
Off Reb below Right Block
Howard
Left Block
Stop and watch flight of ball
West
Right Elbow
Off Reb above Right Block
5. INDIVIDUAL MATCH-UPS IN HALF-COURT D AS THE BALL CAROOMS OFF THE RIM AND IS DUNKED BY JOSH SMITH
Carter
Left Short Corner
Def Reb
Johnson
Left Short Corner
Fall out of bounds
Redick
Left Corner
Box out Horford
Horford
Left Corner
Move to Off Reb
Nelson
In Middle of Lane
?, Watch flight of ball
Williams
Middle Trail
Spot up for 3
Lewis
Upper Right Block
Box out West
Smith
Right Baseline
Off Reb below Right Block
Howard
Left Block
?, Watch flight of ball
West
Right Block
Off Reb above Right Block
the Orlando player who was most responsible for allowing Josh Smith to go unchecked during the rebounding phase of this defensive possession was actually Dwight Howard.
i.e. When Joe Johnson stopped his drive towards the basket and, instead, pulled up for his running jump-shot, from the Left Short Corner, it was Dwight Howard’s responsibility to:
I. Recover back to the weak side of the floor [i.e. where the majority of rebounds are directed];
and,
II. Box out, either:
A. Josh Smith [which would have alllowed Rashard Lewis to concentrate on boxing out Mario West, exclusively];
or,
B. Mario West [which would have allowed Rashard Lewis to concentrate on boxing out Josh Smith, exclusively];
… instead of trying, in vein, to box out both Josh Smith and Mario West.
Unfortunately for Orlando, Dwight Howard did neither of these 2 things.
Holding specific basketball players accountable for their individual failures at the defensive end of the floor, or in terms of executing their defensive rebounding assignments properly, can be tricky business, even for the very best of bloggers.
While it might be true that Darko Milicic is properly described as being a great many different things … including, possibly, the biggest bust in the last 10 years of the NBA Draft … it should also be duly noted that he is clearly not one of these, as well:
Though the Wolves have won only one game since the 7-foot Serbian arrived in mid-February, Rambis said he has seen flashes of a player so promising seven years ago, when he was drafted ahead of [Chris] Bosh, Carmelo Anthony and Dwyane Wade.
“And I think he can be a lot better,” Rambis said. “As he gets in better shape and gets more comfortable and more confident, you’ll see him stretch his game.”
In fact, he’s already done that offensively. Milicic scored a season-high 16 points against the Lakers last Friday, and appeared to be more confident about taking good shots.
“The guys are learning how to use him,” Rambis said. “I’ve told him, whenever he’s comfortable, I’m OK with him shooting inside, outside, [from the] elbow, long distance. But he has to have the confidence to do that.”
For Milicic, who is still only 24 years old despite being a seven-year NBA veteran, it’s a matter of playing the way he was taught back in Serbia.
“I’m just trying to relax. I got used to playing this American way of running crazy, playing too fast. I’ve got to slow it down,” Milicic said. “When I came [to the U.S.], I stopped playing basketball the way I know how to play. Playing too fast, running like chickens without heads.”
———-
If he can successfully return to the roots of his “multi-headed” individual game … by learning how to slow down and play within the confines of the Triangle Offense, let’s say, with Ricky Rubio/PG, at the helm, beside Al Jefferson/PF, Kevin Love/PF, Corey Brewer/OG-SF and the T-wolves upcoming 2010 Lottery Selection …
Is there really any good reason to believe that Darko Milicic, at the still relatively tender age of 24,
is somehow incapable of putting up “15 and 8″, on a game-to-game basis …
against the other “25 and under” starting calibre Centers, in the NBA today
The Hawks are going to be a solid team in the EC this season. Adding a good PG from the 2009 NBA Draft [i.e. Jeff Teague], a multi-purpose Guard [i.e. Jamal Crawford] and a serviceable veteran Big [i.e. Joe Smith] improves their squad significantly; as does 1 more year of maturation with their core group [i.e. Joe Johnson, 28; Al Horford, 23; Josh Smith, 23; and, Marvin Williams, 23] together. The individual match-up advantages favour Atlanta … which will probably mean another road loss for the Raptors, in this back-2-back.
Raptors expected W-L Record: L, 7-13
———————————–
PS. This marks the end of the “early season” phase for the Raptors.
It seems as though a certain segment within Raptorville is, once again, suffering from grotesque “delusions of grandeur”, regarding the actual ability and hoped for improvement of Andrea Bargnani [C, 7-0, 250, 2006 No. 1 Overall Selection] this off-season.
i.e. According to Doug Smith, in a segment on PrimeTime Sports [FAN590] yesterday, a legitimate case can be made that Bargnani might qualify as the 2nd Best Center in the Eastern Conference [EC] over the course of the 2009-2010 season.
The following list contains the names of the 15 Centers expected to play this position for their current teams, in the EC next season:
Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Cleveland Cavaliers [1] Kendric Perkins, Boston Celtics [2] Dwight Howard, Orlando Magic [3] Al Horford, Atlanta Hawks [4]
Jermaine O’Neal, Miami Heat [5]
Samuel Dalembert, Philadelphia 76ers [6] Joakim Noah, Chicago Bulls [7] Rasheed Wallace, Detroit Pistons [8]
Jeff Foster, Indiana Pacers [9]
Emeka Okafor, Charlotte Bobcats [10] Brook Lopez, New Jersey Nets [11]
Andrew Bogut, Milwaukee Bucks [12]
Andrea Bargnani, Toronto Raptors [13] David Lee, New York Knicks [14]
Brendan Haywood, Washington [15]
————————————————————-
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Although yours truly usually finds very little to agree upon with host Bob McCown that is not the case in this instance.
According to these eyes, whoever happens to agree with Doug Smith, in this regard, is quite likely to be suffering from a form of Post-Concussion Syndrome … as there are, at least, 7 players who should be listed ahead of Il Mago on a depth chart of this sort looking forward just 1 season.
When Raptors fans look at the way their team is perfoming during the final 20 games of their disappointing season …
———-
Date
Opponent
Result
Mar 6
vs Mia *
L
Mar 8
vs Uta *
L
Mar 11
at Phi *
L
Mar 13
vs Det *
L
Mar 15
vs Ind
W
Mar 16
at Cha
L
Mar 20
vs Cha
L
Mar 22
vs LAC
W
Mar 25
vs Mil
W
Mar 27
vs OkC
W
Mar 29
vs Chi
W
Apr 1
at Orl *
W
Apr 4
at NYK
W
Apr 5
vs NYK
L
Apr 7
vs Atl *
L
Apr 8
at Ind
?
Apr 10
vs Was
?
Apr 12
vs Phi *
?
Apr 13
at Was
?
Apr 15
at Chi
?
* - >.500 Team
winning only 7 of the 15 games [.467] they’ve played thus far.
———-
they need to make an accurate appraisal of the players who will form the nucleus of this team going forward from here:
khandor’s Player Efficiency Rating [kPER]
RAPTORS vs Hawks
[Tue Apr 07 2009]
Best RAPTORS
Best Hawks
1
Bosh
+30
38:35
1
Horford
+23
32:16
2
Calderon
+28
35:00
2
Johnson
+22
39:29
3
Marion
+16
37:02
3
Smith
+22
46:38
4
Douby
+10
08:58
4
Bibby
+18
34:08
5
Bargnani
+7
29:07
5
Evans
+16
35:52
6
Parker
+6
31:06
6
Pachulia
+9
16:22
7
Kapono
+4
18:39
7
Murray
+7
28:23
8
Graham
+3
13:42
8
Law
0
06:14
9
Ukic
+2
05:11
9
West
0
00:19
10
O’Bryant
+2
16:22
10
Gardner
0
00:19
11
M-Bonsu
0
06:18
11
Jones
DNP
12
Voskuhl
DNP
12
Morris
DNP
TOTAL
+108
TOTAL
+117
Unlike many others in Raptorville, this corner does not believe that the main problems this team has experienced this season have been rooted in the assortment of injuries they’ve sustained and/or the overall poor performances of Chris Bosh and Jose Calderon, who are their best players by a wide margin.
Until Bryan Colangelo significantly upgrades the players who are currently slotted into the #3-15 spots on the Raptors’ roster:
i.e. Shawn Marion/#3, Andrea Bargnani/#4, Anthony Parker/#5, Joey Graham/#6, Kris Humphries/#7, Jason Kapono/#8, Roko Ukic/#9, Pops Mensah-Bonsu/#10, Quincy Douby/#11, Jake Voskuhl/#12, Patrick O’Brant/#13 and Nathan Jawai/#14
there is little chance this team will make serious headway in the Eastern Conference next season.
Using the 4th place Atlanta Hawks, as one comparative example:
1. While Chris Bosh [C] can hold his own against other up-and-coming young players like Al Horford [C] or Josh Smith [PF], Andrea Bargnani [C] cannot; and, is simply out-classed by either of these two players.
2. While Jose Calderon [PG] can hold his own against a solid veteran like Mike Bibby [PG], Shawn Marion [SF] cannot stay with a multi-dimensional, dynamic Wing player like Joe Johnson [SF/OG/PG].
3. While Joey Graham has made a significant jump this season … i.e. from a seldom-used after-thought to a serviceable Wing player … he is simply not as good as Maurice Evans [OG/SF], nor as consistent.
4. While Jason Kapono is one of the best stand-still “catch & shoot” artists in the NBA, he is simply not as versatile a Back-up Guard/Forward as a Flip Murray, who can capably fill in for the Hawks, as an under-sized OG and an emergency PG.
5. While Kris Humphries is a solid Back-up Big Man, he is simply not as good as Zaza Pachulia.
6. While Roko Ukic has the make-up of a solid Point Guard, in the NBA, he is not a superior player to Acie Law, at this position.
7. While Pops Mensah-Bonsu certainly brings some badly needed energy and NBA athleticism to the Raptors, he is simply not in the same class of serviceable Back-up Big Man as a versatile player like Solomon Jones [who was a DNP in last night's game but can capably fill-in for the Hawks at both C and PF].
Most of which was on full display in last night’s game.
FINAL SCORE: RAPTORS 110, Hawks 118
Complete Game Info
Coming out of the annual All-Star Break and heading toward this week’s Trade Deadline [Feb 19, 3:00 PM] … as different trade rumours swirl about the NBA [on-line & elsewhere] … it can be instructive to assess where certain marquee players rank amongst their brethren, at the specific position[s] they play the best.
When considering Big Men [i.e. Centers/C and Power Forwards/PF], it is also imperative to understand what their fundamental role is within the NBA game and what qualities are the most important for them to exhibit on a consistent basis, if their respective team’s are going to have a legitimate chance to win a League Championship, now or in the not-too-distant future.
Big Man Ranking Criteria
* Leadership
* Rebounding [which includes: i. Defensive; ii. Offense]
* Team Defense [which includes: i. Interior Rotations; ii. Perimeter Rotations; iii. Execution of Pick & Roll Techniques; iv. Transition Effectiveness; v. Shot blocking off the ball; Switching off the ball]
* Low-Mid Post Scoring
* Passing Effectiveness
* Individual Low-Mid Post Defense [which includes Shot blocking on the ball]
* Individual Perimeter Defense
* Screening Effectiveness
* Picking Effectiveness
* Perimeter Scoring
* Offensive Transition
* Physical Traits: i. Quickness; ii. Agility; iii. Explosive Power; iv. Size & Strength
* Psycho-Emotional Traits: i. Stability; ii. Intelligence; iii. Intensity; iv. Toughness
These are the current rankings, according to this corner:
Rankings for Starting Centers
No.
EASTERN
No.
WESTERN
1
D-Howard/Magic
1
T-Duncan/Spurs
2
C-Bosh/Raptors
2
A-Stoudemire/Suns
3
A-Horford/Hawks
3
A-Bynum/Lakers
4
K-Perkins/Celtics
4
Y-Ming/Rockets
5
R-Wallace/Pistons
5
A-Jefferson/Timberwolves
6
Z-Ilgaukas/Cavaliers
6
Nene/Nuggets
7
A-Bogut/Bucks
7
T-Chandler/Hornets
8
D-Lee/Knicks
8
S-O’Neal/Suns
9
J-O’Neal/Heat
9
Mehmet Okur/Jazz
10
R-Nesterovic/Pacers
10
Andre Biedrins/Warriors
11
E-Okafor/Bobcats
11
Marc Gasol/Grizzlies
12
B-Heywood/Wizards
12
Marcus Camby/Clippers
13
S-Dalembert/76ers
13
Nick Collison/Thunder
14
B-Lopez/Nets
14
Greg Oden/Blazers
15
J-Noah/Bulls
15
Eric Dampier/Mavericks
16
Spencer Hawes/Kings
Rankings for Starting Power Forwards
No.
EASTERN
No.
WESTERN
1
K-Garnett/Celtics
1
D-Nowitzki/Mavericks
2
J-Smith/Hawks
2
P-Gasol/Lakers
3
S-Marion/Raptors
3
C-Boozer/Jazz
4
R-Lewis/Magic
4
L-Scola/Rockets
5
A-Varejao/Cavaliers
5
A-Stoudemire/Suns
6
C-Bosh/Raptors
6
D-West/Hornets
7
A-Jamison/Wizards
7
L-Aldridge/Blazers
8
T-Prince/Pistons
8
K-Martin/Nuggets
9
LRM-A Moute/Bucks
9
S-Jackson/Warriors
10
B-Diaw/Bobcats
10
D-Milicic/Grizzlies
11
T-Murphy/Pacers
11
J-Green/Thunder
12
U-Haslem/Heat
12
Z-Randolph/Clippers
13
T-Young/76ers
13
C-Smith/Timberwolves
14
A-Harrington/Knicks
14
B-Miller/Kings
15
T-Thomas/Bulls
15
M-Bonner/Spurs
16
Y-Jianlian/Nets
Use the “comments” section to provide your feedback.
2008-2009 Roster
PLAYER POS HT WT
Bibby, Mike G 6-1 190
Claxton, Speedy G 6-1 170
Evans, Maurice G-F 6-5 220
Horford, Al C-F 6-10 245
Johnson, Joe G 6-7 235
Jones, Solomon F 6-10
Law, Acie G 6-3 195
Morris, Randolph C 6-11 259
Pachulia, Zaza C 6-11
Richardson, Jeremy (FA) G-F 6-7 195
Smith, Josh (FA) F 6-9 235
Stoudamire, Salim (FA) G 6-1 175
West, Mario West (FA) G 6-5 210
Williams, Marvin F 6-9 230
with the solid acquisitions they’ve made this off-season … AND without over-paying for a mediocre NBA player like Josh Childress … is SOOOOO MUCH BETTER THAN 2007-2008, it’s no comparison.
While some might not LIKE Rick Sund (new GM), the solid job he’s done, thus far, is a MATTER OF FACT.
If the Hawks can stay healthy this season … they will be a legitimate Playoff Contender for a second consecutive year, in a much improved the Eastern Conference.