Archive for April, 2010

Fundamental PARADIGM choice for the Raptors

Friday, April 30th, 2010

Chris Bosh has already made his preference for re-signing with his current team well known, through his words and actions this season … in a similar way to both Dwyane Wade and LeBron James, the other 2 highest profile free agents on the open market this summer.

It makes the most sense from a “financial” standpoint that each of these 3 players re-signs with his current team.

It makes the most sense from a “competition” standpoint that each of these 3 players re-signs with his current team, if that team is committed to trying to build a championship calibre team around him while going forward. 

It makes the most sense from a “personal lifestyle” standpoint that each of these 3 players re-signs with his current team, since each one is “comfortable” [i.e. physically and psycho-emotionall] in his present surroundings having been there for the first 7 years of their professional careers. 

Raptors fans SHOULD NOT BE FOOLED by any published reports which might appear between now and the onset of the summer free agency period, regarding the different “options” which Toronto has going forward and prospective “sign and trade” scenarios.

The choice is really quite clear cut:

OPTION 1 – Maintaining the History of the Raptors Organization

Prime Directive
Striving to make money.

Secondary Objective
Trying to be a “competitive” franchise in the NBA.

Specific Actions
Trading your best player when his contract becomes too expensive.
Adding only cost-effective players to the roster.
Ensuring that there are very good players at key positions but no Quality Depth overall.
Retaining an inexperienced head coach without a track record of success.
Failing to exceed the Luxury Tax Threshold.
Perpetuating their present status in the League, as a Treadmill Team.

VS

OPTION 2 – Shift to a New Organizational Paradigm

Prime Directive
Striving to “win the NBA championship” multiple times.

Secondary Objective
Trying to make money.

Specific Actions
Re-signing your best player when his contract is up for renewal.
Adding other authentically high end players to the roster.
Ensuring there is Quality Depth at each position.
Retaining an authentically high end coach with a track record of success.
Exceeding the Luxury Tax Threshold.
Establishing their new status in the League, as an authentically High End Team.

============================

When you look at the best teams in the NBA today …

TIER ONE
Los Angeles Lakers, leading 3-2 vs Oklahoma City 
San Antonio Spurs, 4-1 over Dallas
Boston Celtics, 4-1 over Miami
Cleveland Cavaliers, 4-1 over Chicago
Orlando Magic, 4-0 over Charlotte
Dallas Mavericks, eliminated 2-4 by San Antonio

TIER TWO
Phoenix Suns, 4-2 over Portland
Utah Jazz, leading 3-2 vs Denver 
Miami Heat, eliminated 1-4 by Boston
Denver Nuggets, trailing 2-3 vs Utah
etc.

… it is plain to see that they DID NOT become what they are today by executing a “Sign and Trade [away]” involving their best player who they worked hard to develop. 

If the Raptors’ GM, Bryan Colangelo, goes that route this summer … Toronto fans SHOULD know exactly where this organization stands, relative to the other TOP franchises in the NBA.

Coaching, sample sizes and adjustments

Wednesday, April 28th, 2010

3 weeks ago …

You were told in this space that the proper way for the Los Angeles Lakers to solve their problems this season would be to use Kobe Bean Bryant in a specific role:

Solving the Lakers’ problems with the Spurs, Apr 6 2010

Last week …

You were told in this space that the outcome of a playoff series can sometimes be determined by the ability of a team to make the correct game-to-game … and, THEN, in-game … adjustments, based on what its opponent’s specific strengths and weaknesses are and the best possible use of its own personnel:

Making the correct game-to-game adjustments can be THE difference between Winning and Losing in the Playoffs, Apr 23 2010

So much of what can be found on-line today concerning supposedly sound “basketball analysis” is little more than gobbledygook put forth by statistical gurus without a proper understanding of, 

How the NBA game actually works.”

===================================

Oklahoma City Thunder 87
LOS ANGELES LAKERS 111
Complete Series Info

 

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The fact is …

1. Sample sizes are rendered virtually meaningless;

2. League-wide averages are rendered virtually meaningless; and,

3. Creating and minimizing individual mis-matches against the best teams in the league – and a particular opponent of high calibre – are absolutely crucial;

 … when it comes to determining accurately which teams, coaches and, therefore, players will advance in the playoffs, or not.

====================================

During the pre-season …

You were told in this space that the 2009-2010 NBA championship would, in all likelihood, be won by 1 of the following 5 teams:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
Orlando Magic
Cleveland Cavaliers
Boston Celtics [i.e. depending upon the recovery of Kevin Garnett from injury]

WESTERN CONFERENCE
Los Angeles Lakers
San Antonio Spurs

Nothing which has happened since that time has fundamentally changed that perception. 

Right now …

The 4 best teams in the Eastern Conference are the Cleveland Cavaliers [4-1], Orlando Magic [4-0], Boston Celtics [4-1] and Atlanta Hawks [2-2].

The 4 best teams in the Western Conference are the Los Angeles Lakers [3-2], San Antonio Spurs [3-2], Utah Jazz [3-1] and Phoenix Suns [3-2].

===================================

Barring any further major injuries …

This year’s NBA champions will, in all likelihood, be 1 of the following 3 teams:

Los Angeles Lakers, Phil Jackson [and Mitch Kupchak and Dr. Jerry Buss]
Orlando Magic, Stan Van Gundy [and Otis Smith and Richard DeVos]
San Antonio Spurs, Gregg Popovich [and RC Buford and Peter Holt]

… none of which happens to be the Cleveland Cavaliers with Mike Brown [and Danny Ferry and Daniel Gilbert].

Basketball is the ultimate TEAM Sport … with each player on the court having to be able to function adequately on Offense, on Defense, and in terms of Rebounding, in conjunction with the sound strategic and tactical decision-making skills of an elite level head coach, general manager and owner.

Those who think that basketball can be properly understood by examining the statistical norms, averages, outliers, etc., associated with representative “sample sizes”, “numerical formulas”, and all manner of “efficiency ratings,” are simply wasting their [and your] time.

Basketball is a game of:

I. Acumen;

and,

II. Inches;

… the most important of which are the “approximately 6″ located between the ears of a team’s owner, general manager, head coach and 8-9 regular rotation players.

Related:

Kobe Bryant, Closer to the ground

Every Move Must Have A Purpose

Point Guard play is not the Raptors’ biggest defensive problem

Monday, April 26th, 2010

Raptors fans should be paying close attention to the playoff games that are taking place right now, when it comes to understanding the proper value of “individual defense”, at the Point Guard position, in the NBA.

If they are …

What they should be able to see is that there are 8 teams playing in the post-season with a main-frame PG that is every bit as “poor” defensively as the Raptors’ Jose Calderon:

Cleveland Cavaliers [3-1], Mo Williams
Orlando Magic [3-0], Jameer Nelson
Atlanta Hawks [2-1], Mike Bibby
Milwaukee Bucks [1-2], Brandon Jennings
Chicago Bulls [1-3], Derrick Rose
Los Angeles Lakers [2-2], Derek Fisher
Phoenix Suns [2-2], Steve Nash
San Antonio Spurs [3-1], Tony Parker

and 8 teams with PG’s who are “superior” defensively:

Boston Celtics [3-1], Rajon Rondo
Miami Heat [1-3], Mario Chalmers/Carlos Arroyo
Charlotte Bobcats [0-3], Raymond Felton/DJ Augustin
Dallas Mavericks [1-3], Jason Kidd
Denver Nuggets [1-3], Chauncey Billups
Utah Jazz [3-1], Deron Williams
Portland Trail Blazers [2-2], Andre Miller
Oklahoma City Thunder [2-2], Russell Westbrook

When the same type of evaluation is performed for the Center position, however … related to the defensive ability of Andrea Bargnani … what you find is a very different set of results:

JUST AS POOR AS BARGNANI DEFENSIVELY

Cleveland Cavaliers [3-1], Shaquille O’Neal
Phoenix Suns [2-2], Amare Stoudemire
Utah Jazz [3-1], Kyrylo Fesenko [Mehmet Okur/inj.]

SUPERIOR TO BARGNANI DEFENSIVELY

Orlando Magic, Dwight Howard
Atlanta Hawks, Al Horford
Boston Celtics, Kendrick Perkins
Miami Heat, Jermaine O’Neal
Milwaukee Bucks, Kurt Thomas [Andre Bogut/inj.]
Charlotte Bobcats, Theo Ratliff/Tyson Chandler
Chicago Bulls, Joakim Noah
Los Angeles Lakers, Andrew Bynum/Pau Gasol
Dallas Mavericks, Brendan Haywood/Erick Dampier
Denver Nuggets, Nene
Portland Trail Blazers, Marcus Camby
San Antonio Spurs, Tim Duncan
Oklahoma City Thunder, Nenad Krstic

——————————————–

The fact is …

1. Most starting Point Guards in the NBA today are so good, offensively, at playing off the dribble, and penetrating with the benefit of a Big-on-Little Pick … i.e. both, athletically and in terms of their specific skill-set … that the only way for a high end team to contain them, at all, is through the use of various schematic adjustments which involve other defensive players.

2. The teams that struggle defensively in the NBA are the ones:

i. Without a defensively aware and committed player at the Center position, especially, in [A] “Hedge” [i.e. involving Big-on-Little Picks], [B] “Switch” situations, and [C] “Help” situations;

and/or,

ii. Without enough players at the Off Guard, Small Forward and Power Forward positions who are defensively aware and committed, as well;

and/or,

iii. Without a coaching staff that is able to extract a high end level of performance from the players on their team at the Off Guard, Small Forward, Power Forward and Center positions, using an array of standard defensive schemes.

Hawks in deep against the Bucks tonight

Monday, April 26th, 2010

If you caught a glimpse of Saturday evening’s Game 3, between Atlanta/#3 and Milwaukee/#6, what you should have been able to observe was tangible evidence that:

Atlanta Hawks 89
MILWAUKEE BUCKS 107
Complete Game Info, Hawks lead series 2-1

1. The Bucks have the right combination of individual pieces - i.e. physically under-sized but strong and athletic – to give the Hawks heaps of trouble … when playing at home … despite the absence of Andrew Bogut/C;

2. Atlanta is sufferring from some sort of internal strife, at present, which is affecting the performances of Josh Smith, Marvin Williams and Mike Bibby … each of whom gave far less than the “proper degree of team-focused individual effort” required to win a road playoff game against an inspired opponent;

and,

3. This is going to be a long series.

Watch the video highlights.

Focus on the effort levels, defensive execution, and the body language of Josh Smith, Marvin Williams and Mike Bibby.

Pay close attention to the “relative quickness” for each player in the following individual match-ups between:

C – Al Horford vs Kurt Thomas
PF – Josh Smith vs Luc Richard Mbah A Moute/Ersan Ilyasova
SF – Marvin Williams vs John Salmons/Carlos Delfino
OG – Joe Johnson vs Carlos Delfino/John Salmons
PG – Mike Bibby vs Brandon Jennings/Luke Ridnour
==============================
G – Jamal Crawford vs Jerry Stackhouse
F – Maurice Evans vs Salmons/Delfino/Luc Richard Mbah A Moute
PF/C – Zaza Pachulia vs Dan Gadzuric
==============================
PG – Jeff Teague vs Luke Ridnour

—————————————————

The current wagering line for this evening’s Game 4 is:

Atlanta -2/-106 [-131]
MILWAUKEE +2/-104 [+119]

For regular readers of this space …

Know that you will probably not see a better “investment opportunity” for the balance of the 1st Round of the playoffs than the Bucks +2/-104, this evening.

If you choose to hop on board, hopefully, you’ll be able to enjoy the ride!

When Manu speaks …

Friday, April 23rd, 2010

… ksb listens.

Although you might think you already know exactly who this man is …

after the first 13 years of his Hall-Of-Fame career which includes the following ridiculously long list of accomplishments:

Tim Duncan’s NBA.com Bio

Trust that … according to his side-kick, Mr. Ginobili … you may not.

Yes, Gregg Popovich has long been known to refer to him simply as “Timmy.”

And, yes, several years ago, Shaquille O’Neal teasingly christened him ”The Big Fundamental.”

But … from this point forward … he will now be known to yours truly as,

THE BIG WARRANTY,”

which is the apt nickname that was bestowed on him this evening, in an in-game interview segment given by Charles Barkley’s favourite Argentinian … just before his nasal bone was unceremoniously displaced by making inadvertent contact with Dirk Nowitzki’s left elbow.

Said Manu, at the time, about his legendary teammate, the Spurs’ #21,

“He’s just always there … like a big insurance policy.”

Nothing more, and nothing less, than that.

———-

PS. The time is now 11:51 PM, and you can bet your bottom dollar that Manu’s nose was actually broken on that play, early in the 3rd quarter … and, yet, after stopping the profuse bleeding and getting patched up in the Spurs’ locker-room, by their trainer, he’s now continued to play in this game – driving to basket, fearlessly, rebounding, and defending. That … dear friends … is precisely “How a warrior – and a 3-time NBA Champion – conducts himself, in the heat of battle.” What a fantastic Game 3 this is!

Bryan Colangelo’s biggest mistakes with the Raptors

Friday, April 23rd, 2010

According to yesterday’s edition of Raptors Republic …

Top 10 Bryan Colangelo mistakes

——————————————–

  1. Re-signed Sam Mitchell after he won the Coach of the Year award. Mitchell was the wrong the coach for the Euroraptors and once the scouting reports on Bargnani, Calderon and Ford got out, it showed the following year.
  2. Did not move up in the 2008 draft and missed picking Chris Douglas-Roberts by one pick and did not select Bill Walker when athleticism at the wings was a dire need. Instead selected Nathan Jawai who produced nothing.
  3. Failed to make moves at the trade deadline in 2007-08 and 2009-10 which would’ve bolstered the Raptors down the stretch. Rebounding and wing-defense was a concern in 2007-08 and it went unaddressed as the Raptors got trounced by the Magic. In 2009-10, the Raptors missed the playoffs by one game.
  4. Trading away the 17th pick in the 2008 draft as part of the Jermaine O’Neal deal when young athleticism at the wing was a desperate need.
  5. Picking up the $2.38M option on an unproven Marco Belinelli amidst indications that the salary cap would decrease significantly.
  6. Signed Will Solomon and Roko Ukic to handle backup duties to Jose Calderon in the summer of 2008. Not having insurance at PG cost the Raptors dearly once Calderon got hurt and found out defensively as a starter.
  7. Signing Jason Kapono to the full mid-level exception in the summer of 2007 when the Nets playoff loss had indicated perimeter defense to be our biggest weakness.
  8. Instead of having a long-term plan, traded Jermaine O’Neal to the Miami Heat. O’Neal’s contract would have come off the cap this year; Hedo Turkoglu would never have been signed and we wouldn’t have Marcus Banks. Combine this with not extending Bargnani and Belinelli, and the Raptors would have been close to $35M under the cap and able to extend two max-offers, much like Miami this summer.
  9. Extending Andrea Bargnani for $50M/5yrs when there was no indication that anybody else would offer a contract remotely as lucrative. This, in a summer where that money could’ve been used to woo other high profile free-agents like Joe Johnson.

…and the #1 mistake Bryan Colangelo has made…drum roll….

  1. Signed Hedo Turkoglu to a $53M/$5yr contract. Turkoglu never got a proper chance to handle the offense as the redundancy factor with Calderon was too great. The Turk was out-of-shape and having poor defenders at 4 out of 5 starting positions made the Raptors the worst defensive team in the league.

——————————————–

Q1. What’s the take from this corner?

A1. Interestingly enough …

The 2 most important items of wrong-doing, since the Raptors’ GM was first hired [i.e. February 28, 2006], have both been omitted from this list.

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MAJOR MISTAKE #1
Selecting Andrea Bargnani, as the No. 1 [overall] Draft Pick in 2006, rather than trading down for either Rudy Gay or Brandon Roy.

Everything which has happened with this franchise since that decision was made has been SIGNIFICANTLY effected by it.

MAJOR MISTAKE #2
Failing to fire Sam Mitchell at the conclusion of the 2005-2006 season … when the team won only 27 games … and BEFORE the turn-around 2006-2007 season … when the team won 47 games and the Atlantic Division.

This was the precise moment in time when a truly Top Notch general manager would have decided to implement a new PARADIGM with the Raptors organization … predicated upon the “prime objective” of WINNING MULTIPLE LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIPS.

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Your feedback is welcome in the comments section.

Related:

Bill Lankhof goes YARD on the Toronto Raptors 

Making the correct game-to-game adjustments can be THE difference between Winning and Losing in the Playoffs

Friday, April 23rd, 2010

In general, Sebastian Pruiti does a terrific job breaking down in-game action in the NBA.

Stopping by his site, on a daily basis, during the season should be a mandatory exercise for all basketball aficionados.

For those who took the opportunity to do just that yesterday …

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Post-Game Adjustments: Thabo Needs To Stay On Kobe

 

Above are two plays with similar situations (a Kobe Bryant pump fake), and you can see how Thabo and Jeff Green handle it differently. Thabo Sefolosha stayed down with his hands in his face, avoiding the foul, and forcing Bryant into a tough jumper. Jeff Green on the other hand bit on the pump fake hard and fouled Bryant, giving him 2 free points.

This is because Sefolosha has prepared himself for defending Kobe. He probably watched a ton of tape and knows when Kobe is going to throw up a pump fake, and knows when to stay on his feet. Jeff Green on the other hand is covering Bryant for the first time this series, and he was put in a tough position. He doesn’t know when Kobe is going to pump fake and how to handle it, and he bites on it.

If the Thunder are in a similar situation in Game 3, I expect to see Thabo on the court covering Kobe.

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as it turns out, you were treated to a special preview of,

“Exactly how the Thunder SHOULD re-work their individuals match-ups against the Lakers, in order to change a close Away L into a solid Home W.”

———-

To wit:

[the comment left there, PRIOR to Game 3, by yours truly] 
——————————————–
April 22nd, 2010 at 19:24 | #1

If Scott Brooks was to go with these sets of defensive match-ups I think he might be pleasantly surprised at the results:

Westbrook vs Fisher
Sefolosha vs Artest
Durant vs Bryant
Green vs Bynum
Ibaka vs Gasol

Westbrook Fisher
Sefolosha vs Artest
Durant vs Bryant
Green vs Odom
Ibaka vs Gasol

IMO, Jeff Green should not be the player assigned to check Kobe Bryant, if the Thunder hope to win a game in this 1st Round series … i.e. it should be either Sefolosha or Durant.

——————————————–

Pleasantly surprised?

Hmmm … :-)

Los Angeles Lakers 96 [Lead series 2-1]
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 101
Complete Game Info

After shifting onto Kobe Bryant, in the 4th quarter, Kevin Durant … that noted ”defensive specialist”, who certain stats gurus lambasted at the beginning of the season … was able to hold Black Mamba [i.e. who went for 39 points in Game 2] to a grand total of 2 points the rest of the way in this contest, on 1-8 shooting [i.e. the lone make coming on a driving layup in transition, 00:13.5], with 1 BA and 0 FTA’s – due, primarily, to his unique combination of “exceptional length” and “relative quickness”, at the wing position - in a concerted effort to make the other Lakers on the floor be the ones to beat the Thunder in last night’s game. 

———-

After going 0-for, during the initial few offensive trips, after this defensive “Switch” was made by Oklahoma …

Kobe and the ZenMaster responded, in-game, by having the Lakers’ most formidable scorer turn himself into a willing FACILITATOR, for the benefit of his teammates, i.e. driving into the lane, 1-on-1 against Durant, not trying “to finish plays” himself but, drawing “the help” and then “kicking out” to a series of open perimeter shooters [whose primary job then became knocking down clean "catch & shoots"].

Although the Lakers were able to find a certain degree of success with this tactic …

i.e. reducing an 8 point deficit [4:27, 82-90] to only 2, on two occasions, coming the down-the-stratch [1:03, 94-96; and, 00:13.5, 96-98] …

getting single 3′s from Derek Fisher [3:29] and Lamar Odom [2:00], and two long 2′s from Ron Artest [2:47 and 1:32], were not enough to close the gap which had been opened up, initially, by Oklahoma’s use of Durant [i.e. their best offensive player, by far] in this type of “defensive” manouvre. 

Heading into Game 4, it will now be most interesting to see:

i. If Scott Brooks … who, btw, was voted NBA COTY, on Wednesday … makes the fundamental mistake of begining the game with this same Durant vs Bryant individual defensive match-up, in effect;

and,

ii. What, if any, strategic or tactical adjustment Dr. Phil & Co. chooses to make, in response to the Durant vs Bryant individual defensive match-up …

since it might well be THE “difference-maker” in determing if the defending champs return home with a 3-1 series lead, or are tied 2-2.

———-

Although the internet is filled with ”so-called” basketball experts who seek to tell you after-the-fact exactly what:

i. Team X did against Team Y, or

ii. Player #1 did against Opponent Player #2, or

iii. Coach I did against Opponent Coach II,

iv. etc.,

in order to explain the specific outcome of an already completed game … THE SIMPLE FACT IS … the same thing CANNOT be said when it comes to identifying those relatively few individuals who exist in the on-line hoops community that can accurately tell you, IN ADVANCE, what specific “strategies and tactics” will work for specific teams, individual players and/or coaches, etc., if implemented in a specific game that is about to take place in the immediate future.   

Only authentic NBA experts can do that.

Bill Lankhof goes YARD on the Toronto Raptors

Thursday, April 22nd, 2010

When a member of the traditional sports media SMACKS ONE CLEAR OUT OF THE PARK … by a country mile! … there is nothing left to do but distribute his/her words for others to consume.

Q1. What’s really wrong with the Toronto Raptors?

A1. Simply read on, courtesy of Mr. Lankhof.

———-

Why the Raptors will always be losers

For the Raptors, the secret to success — and much-needed swagger — is all in their heads

The Raptors have turned failure into an artform.

In 15 seasons, the franchise has reached the playoffs five times and advanced past the first round only once. There have been seven head coaches from the celebrated (Lenny Wilkens) to the unlikely (Kevin O’Neill) to the native son (Jay Triano) and none have been able to instill a passion and pride in being a Raptor.

Nobody in the front office, from the player-friendly Isiah Thomas to the more aloof Bryan Colangelo and the sincerest spirit this side of Dudley DoRight, Glen Grunwald, have been able to give this team a positive identity. None have been able to make the Raptors a franchise for which NBA players want to play.

The athletes that do come here either end up frustrated with the franchise’s inertia, or become mere basketball mercenaries putting in time until a better invitation beckons.

“Teams who are succesful have that swagger and believe that this is the way life is and that they have an entitlement to success. There is cohesion, a sense of fighting for the same thing, not just a contract for next year,” says Bert Carron, a psychologist and one of Canada’s most highly-regarded experts on group and team dynamics.

“Teams that are zero-and-20 never have team reunions. Success produces togetherness.”

The Raptors never seem to get it together compiling just three playoff game victories in the past eight seasons. The Raptors, says Carron, “from their inception, have had athletes trying to get out of town. That sense of this is a place to play and we’re as good as anyone doesn’t seem to be there.”

That was all supposed to start to change this year with new players and a new attitude.

Never happened.

Some blame Colangelo’s reliance of European players, noting they are soft. But, let’s be honest, this team hasn’t scared anyone but it’s fans in years, well before Colangelo went puddle-jumping.

The Raptors have been regarded as pushovers, particularly since the Vince Carter era. They have a reputation as a team that can’t — or won’t — fight through adversity or stand up for each other.

These guys kick butt about as often as the cute, cuddly kittens in those Charmin’ bathroom commercials.

Last November, Celtics’ Paul Pierce postured over a prone Chris Bosh after dunking over the Raptors’ best player and driving a knee into his crotch.

The referees assessed Pierce a technical for trash talk, Toronto coaches were up and screaming. Bosh’s teammates didn’t even bother getting off the bench.

This is a team in serious need of a make-over.

“Tell them I’m available anytime they want,” chuckles John Eliot.

A member of the faculty at Rice University and one of America’s most renowned performance consultants. Eliot helped turn a moribund Tampa Bay Rays franchise into a championship contender. He has worked with the San Antonio Spurs, NASA, the U.S. Olympic team and major corporations like Merrill Lynch. He is a proponent of the Phil Jackson school of coaching.

Teams, he says, spend too much time on the Xs and Os and not enough on winning the mental game.

“Until they (Raptors) make a fundamental shift like this they’re going to sputter,” says Eliot. “Players who spend all their time on the physical game only know how to block, run, lift, shoot, or swing. There are a lot of athletes who know how to do those things. Only a few really know how to win.”

At the professional level, athletes are all fairly equal in talent. The difference then between athletes who win and those who don’t (like the Raptors) is how they think.

“A player who can win the inner battle knows how to win. He knows his game will hold up under pressure. The outcome is determined by which players or teams have the more confident, relaxed, more quiet mind. When it’s do or die, its not a question anymore of who has the best cross-over or who’s fade-away happens to be working. The question is who will be able to keep their mind quiet in the pressure situation,” says Eliot.

“That’s why you see teams with all kinds of talent, teams with the best drafts, but they never win championships.”

Or, in the Raptors case rarely make the playoffs.

There have been innumerable examples of Raptors whose minds seemed to be in all the wrong places, including one instance when Chris Childs even forgot the score and blew a game.

Alonzo Mourning went one step further — deciding not to show up in either mind or body.

Bad karma all round.

Which explains why Vince Carter at the end was more concerned about his mother’s free parking space than his team’s playoff place.

“It comes down to pride,” explains Wesch. “There has to be a semse of belonging to something important. There has to be a change of culture and that starts at the top with the administration, with coaching, you have to instill a sense of pride, of passion, a sense of belonging, a sense of wanting to wear that jersey, of wanting to be part of that organization. That is who you are. That is your home and you will do anything to defend that territory with everything that you have.”

When Pierce stared down Bosh, nobody is suggesting the Raptors should’ve started World War III but they could’ve at least pretended to care.

“There’s no other way to say it — we just got punked,” said Raptors’ swingman, Antoine Wright at the time, in a rare display of disapproval amidst indifference.

There is pride in wearing a Celtics’ jersey.

There is tradition in a Lakers’ uniform.

A Raptors jersey is just filled with broken promises.

“When you look at the Raptors organization there’s nothing that screams out, nothing that makes a kid want to be part of it because there’s a tradition of excellence. If you can’t build that culture how can you inspire some kid (from the U.S.) who lives 5,000 kilometres away to want to play for you,” says Wesch.

“Success isn’t just a matter of skill. There are lots of skilled athletes. It’s about desire and heart, that respect and passion for the jersey. That symbol represents who we are as a team, as players, as people, as an organization and you don’t put that on the floor to get stepped on.”

The Raptors always get stepped on, like in losing to a broken-down Bulls team in the final week of a playoff race. At home.

Like in being out-hustled by a beatable Golden State team.

Like in getting out-muscled for rebounds.

Like in waving people by on defence like a traffic cop at rush hour.

Passivity has plagued the Raptors for years. During a game in Memphis when Sam Mitchell was coaching, Jamario Moon hit the court head first after a very hard and dirty foul by Hakeem Warrick.

Mitchell was the only Raptor who reacted that night with anything close to anger.

The Raptors have had talent. Carter and Bosh are all-NBA performers. They just haven’t had the intangible, call it intensity or a team with a hardened edge.

“It’s possible to have a lot of talent and still not succeed. Eighty to ninety percent of winning is the mental side of sport. The top players have that figured out,” says Craig Hall, a professor in Kinesiology at the University of Western Ontario, who specializes in imaging.

“You have to be able to imagine yourself being succesful. If you can’t imagine it, it’s unlikely you will be succesful.”

The Raptors have had nine players on the league’s all-rookie team and off the floor, Colangelo was named executive of the year.

But they have never had an inspirational team leader — a guy who would grab a floundering team by the scruff of the neck like a Michael Jordan in basketball or a Mark Messier or a Joe Namath or even a Pinball Clemons.

Never have they had a player who when his athletic ability was calculated, came up to more than the sum of his parts.

“Team leaders have a huge part in success. I’m talking about that E.F. Hutton in the locker room; he says something and everyone listens,” says Carron.

“A lot of people can talk but it has to be a team-first guy; if you’ve got no credibility nobody is going to listen. It doesn’t have to be a Hall of Famer but it has to be someone respected for their work ethic or their skill or both.”

Damon Stoudamire was rookie of the year. In between, Tracey McGrady was a star and Marcus Camby seemed a pillar on which to build.

Now there are Andrea Bargnani and Hedo Turkoglu. But Bargnani can score 20 one night and disappear the next. Turkoglu is enigmatic and by NBA standards, fragile. He’s had to come out of games for everything from fatigue to a sore tummy and at 31 looks lifeless instead of Colangelo’s Godsend.

Jose Calderon seems over-matched too many nights. To suggest it’s because they’re European is too simplistic.

OK, nobody plays defence. It doesn’t mean they can’t. They just don’t. Defence is more about will and toughness than pure skill. Again, it comes to mindset.

In the NBA, the Spurs, Celtics, Phil Jackson in Los Angeles, and just recently Portland, have all adopted many of Eliot’s theories. Their records suggest it works. And, Eliot draws a parallel between the Rays’ history of chronic under-achievement and the Raptors.

“You had the same situation. I worked with the Rays for a couple years. They had Wade Boggs, Fred McGriff and they brought in plenty of talent. But the clubhouse, the front office, the culture around the team was, ‘Well you can’t win in Tampa Bay, you can’t get fans in Tampa Bay.’ There was a feeling that for some reason it would be harder there than anywhere else.”

Somehow the pieces to the puzzle in Tampa, as with the Raptors, never seemed to fit.

It wasn’t until the organization started to pay as much attention to the mental game as the technical side (the scouting, drafting, skill sets, game strategy) that it became succesful.

Meantime, it’s becoming evident the Raptors will lose Bosh to free agency. It seems unlikely that he can imagine the Raptors turning into a Cinderella team.

After watching his team lose 19 of the last 30 games in another disastrous playoff run, it is difficult to argue the point.

It is also difficult to argue that he would become the latest in a long series of leaders who, from Moses to Vince, has ended up in the desert rather than a promised land. That doesn’t make Bosh a bad person or a bad player but for whatever reason he hasn’t been able to transfer the passion and excellence with which he plays to his teammates.

Bloggers and fans are already critical of Bosh for — even before getting his face rearranged — “mentally” shutting it down.

But maybe the reality is that Bosh didn’t quit on the team but rather that the team quit on Bosh. It happens.

———-

What yours truly has LONG AGO identified as being missing from this franchise is a FUNADMENTAL commitment to …

not just to putting a “competitive” and highly “entertaining” product on the floor, which is capable of winning a relatively high number of regular season games, but …

achieving the PRIME OBJECTIVE of WINNING MULTIPLE LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIPS, which should be the Paradigm of every professional sports organization.

Until the “language” and the “actions” of the LEADERS at the top of MLSE’s pro sports sector actually begin to reflect THIS exact type of complete commitment … there will be NO major success in the future of the Toronto Raptors [or, for that matter, the Maple Leafs and TFC].

Kudos to Mr. Lankof!

———-

PS. FWIW … regular readers of this space … please know, as well, that the fee for services rendered by yours truly is a lot more reasonable compared to any of the noted “sports psych” specialists identified in this article by Mr. Lankof. :-)

Viable options, if the Raptors want to compete for a Top 4 spot in the East next season, and down-the-road

Wednesday, April 21st, 2010

Those calling for Bryan Colangelo to be dismissed, as the GM for the Raptors, are delusional.

What the Raptors – and Bryan Colangelo – NEED to do, however, at this point in time, is implement a fundamental PARADIGM SHIFT … in the way that their basketball operation conducts its business, by prioritizing the objective of TRYING TO WIN MULTIPLE NBA CHAMPIONSHIPS through the gradual construction of a top notch player roster that is filled with solid “NBA level talent” [i.e. in terms of specific skill sets and athleticism] and a proven coaching staff.

As wrong as each of Bryan Colangelo’s major personnel moves have been, thus fas, in his tenure as the Raptors’ GM, the fact is …

1. He finally did the RIGHT THING … by failing to making any trades this season at the Trade Deadline;

and,

2. He is finally now saying the RIGHT THING … as far as [i] properly managing the expectations for the team heading into next season AND [ii] assessing accurately just how far away this current collection of players is from actually being able to compete successfully for a Top 4 playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, in the not-too-distant future …

provided that he is NOW willing to:

A. Keep Chris Bosh/C;

B. Exceed the Luxury Tax Threshold;

and,

C. Trade Andrea Bargnani/C, in exchange for a solid, veteran wing player with good size, NBA athleticism, and a commitment to sound defensive play and rebounding.

To wit:

Andrea Bargnani Trade Proposal

What this specific trade would accomplish …

OPTION 1

From a Raptors’ perspective:

Keeping Bosh would be Step 1.

Trading Bargnani for Battier + Taylor would be Step 2.

- it would rid the team of a defensive albatross
- it would add a 3rd string PG to play behind Calderon and Banks
- it would add a solid wing defender/rebounder with good size to go with the younger tandem of DeRozan and Weems

Step 3 would then involve trading Hedo Turkoglu.

Step 4 would then involve trading Jarrett Jack.

Step 5 would then involve keeping Amir Johnson.

Step 6 would then involve selecting another future rotation player with the 2010 1st Round Draft Pick.

The Raptors would then be moving forward with the following group of players:

1 Chris Bosh, C
2 Amir Johnson, PF
3 Shane Battier, SF
4 DeMar DeRozan, OG
5 Jose Calderon, PG

6 New Player #1 [obtained via trade for Turkoglu]
7 New Player #2 [obtained via trade for Jack]
8 Sonny Weems, OG-SF
9 Marco Belinelli, OG-PG
10 Jermaine Taylor, PG
11 Marcus Banks, PG
12 2010 1st Round Pick
13 New Player #3 [FA signed to replace Antoine Wright]
14 Reggie Evans, PF [or New Player #4, obtained via trade for Reggie Evans]
15 Rasho Nesterovic, C [re-signed for the veteran's minimum]

Patrick O’Bryant would not be re-signed.
Joey Dorsey would not be re-signed [or, he would replace Reggie Evans].

==============================

From the Rockets’ perspective:

1. Bargnani could play Center for them, if Yao Ming isn’t ready to go at the start of next season.

2. Bargnani could be used as Yao Ming’s offensively oriented back-up off the bench, if the big fella is ready to start the season.

3. Bargnani could be used at the PF position, beside Yao Ming, if the big fella is ready to start the seaon, and the Rockets want to go with a twin towers line-up.

——————————————–
NOTE: In every situation, Morey would need to play Bargnani with solid positional defenders in order to compensate for Il Mago’s deficiency in this area. Morey is smart enough to pull that off.
——————————————–

OPTION 2

The same as Option 1, above, except … the Raptors would simply elect to keep Hedo Turkoglu.

——————————————–

What would the 2010-2011 roster then look like for the Raptors?

Roster
Spot

2009-2010

2010-2011, OPTION 1

2010-2011, OPTION 2

Pos

PLAYER

Pos

PLAYER

Pos

PLAYER

1

PG

Jose Calderon

PG

Jose Calderon/1

PG

Jose Calderon/1

2

OG

Sonny Weems

OG

Sonny Weems/2

OG

Hedo Turkoglu/2

3

SF

Hedo Turkoglu

SF

Shane Battier

SF

Shane Battier

4

PF

Chris Bosh

PF

Amir Johnson/3

PF

Amir Johnson/3

5

C

Andrea Bargnani

C

Chris Bosh/4

C

Chris Bosh/4

 

6

PG

Jarrett Jack

PG

Marcus Banks/5

PG

Marcus Banks/5

7

OG

DeMar DeRozan

OG/SF

DeMar DeRozan/6

OG/SF

Sonny Weems/6

8

SF

Antoine Wright

?

New Player #1

?

DeMar DeRozan/7

9

PF

Amir Johnson

?

New Player #2

?

New Player #2

 

10

PG

Marcus Banks

PG

Jermaine Taylor

PG

Jermaine Taylor

11

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli/7

OG/PG

Marco Belinelli/8

12

PF

Joey Dorsey

?

2010 1st Rd Pick

?

2010 1st Rd Pick

13

PF

Reggie Evans

?

New Player #3

?

New Player #3

14

C

Rasho Nesterovic

PF

Reggie Evans, PF/8

PF

Reggie Evans, PF/9

15

C

Patrick O’Bryant

C

Rasho Nesterovic/9

C

Rasho Nesterovic/10

LEGEND: GREEN – Returning players from 2009-2010; ORANGE – New players acquired this off-season.

The more time an astute NBA observer actually spends looking at the depth chart involved with OPTION 2, the more this observer should then begin to see a variety of different possibilities which would be quite a positive development for the Raptors … moving forward … as a team that finished in the No. 9 position this season [especially if Bryan Colangelo can also get a future protected 1st Round Draft Pick included in the trade with Houston].

——————————————–

Despite what some might think, yours truly is firmly in the Raptors’ corner and of the belief that the pro hoops franchise in Toronto has ALWAYS been just a few RIGHT moves away from being able to develop into one of the premier organizations in the entire NBA.

Scathing indictment of Bryan Colangelo’s Raptors

Tuesday, April 20th, 2010

Being A “Successful” Pro Sports Franchise DOES NOT Equate With Ever Being Able To Actually Win A League Championship For MLSE

Last fall, Dave Feschuk [Toronto Star] and Michael Grange [Globe and Mail] collaborated on a book about the professional hockey team owned and operated by the MLSE conglomerate titled, “Leafs Abomination,” which chronicles the 40+ years of misery the loyal fans of this once-storied Original Six team have had to endure since sipping last from Lord Stanley’s fabled Cup.

———————————————

Love them or hate them, they’re the most successful team in professional hockey … just not on the scoresheet.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are an exception to every law of the sporting jungle. They miss the playoffs and the sellouts keep coming. They haven’t won a Stanley Cup since 1967, but the earning power of that blue-and-white maple leaf, no matter the chronic woes of the blue-and-white’s power play, never ceases to increase.

——————————————— 

Within this same school of thought, today’s article from Dave Feschuk, pins the current failures of the professional basketball side of the operation squarely on the shoulders of:

1. MLSE’s ownership group;

and,

2. The Raptors’ President and General Manager, Bryan Colangelo;

… which is precisely where it belongs, according to the views expressed in this corner of the internet for the last several seasons.

——————————————— 

Feschuk: Colangelo selling Raptors fans a bill of goods

Not to worry, Toronto sports fans. Yes, there are dramatic playoff series taking place in cities that aren’t this one. Yes, the Big Joke’s hockey team finished 29th and its basketball team won 40 games and its soccer team’s highest-paid player is afraid of, to quote Hedo Turkoglu, “Ball!”

But Bryan Colangelo, the Raptors president and GM, wants you to know everything’s under control around here, and so it must be. On Monday Colangelo called Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment, the pension-fund-owned controller of the local NHL, NBA and fifth-division pro soccer franchises, and this is an actual quotation, “one of the best organizations in all of sports.”

He went on: “I’m talking about hockey, basketball, soccer, real estate. Everything. Television. It is a company that will do everything in its power to answer the fans’ concerns, and that’s what we’re doing.”

To paraphrase Allen Iverson: You’re talkin’ ’bout real estate? How relieving to know that the local sporting monopolists are condo-selling geniuses. And how fitting. Some sporting GMs are described as visionary architects, and maybe Colangelo will become one someday. But on Monday, in a wide-ranging post-mortem on his team’s second straight losing season, Colangelo sounded less like a savvy builder of great rosters than a desperate seller of swampland. Four seasons into his sub-.500 tenure, it’s getting harder and harder to buy a word he says.

Two seasons after he told you Jermaine O’Neal was the answer, six months after he told you Hedo Turkoglu was the answer, on Monday Colangelo insisted he isn’t far from hitting on the actual answer. Never mind that his only all-star, Chris Bosh, is committed to testing free agency. Never mind that, in a guard-driven league, Toronto’s starters are certifiable second stringers. Never mind that Turkoglu’s massive contract appears as immovable as Jose Calderon on defence — not to mention Calderon’s contract. Never mind the toothless (and cheap-as-they-come) coach who is “learning” on the job, and slowly.

Colangelo actually attempted to sell his audience on the notion that MLSE is in these games to win these games.

“The plan is to win basketball games at whatever cost,” Colangelo said at one point.

I am not making this up.

At whatever cost,” are the words he used.

That, folks, isn’t a sales pitch: It’s just a lie.

———————————————

Readers should examine the next sentence written here carefully.

This does NOT mean, however, that Bryan Colangelo SHOULD be fired by MLSE for being a bad General Manager.

What this means is that … first and foremost … it’s important to understand properly what THE PROBLEMS actually are with the Raptors [and the Maple Leafs] before it’s possible to attack them in a way which is going to produce a meaningful difference for their fans and create a Culture Of Excellence within the pro sports sector of this conglomerate.

As was said in this space yesterday …

The main problem which the Raptors have at present is not concerned with the many deficiencies of the specific players on their roster,

Common mis-perceptions regarding the sources of the Raptors’ problems

or, the relatively poor decisions made by their head coach, or their General Manager, etc..

The MAIN problem has to do with the specific way in which MLSE has been allowed to define the term “SUCCESS”, as far as the Raptors and the Maple Leafs are concerned …

i.e. such that, the primary objective is, ”To Develop a Competitive and Entertaining team which wins a relatively high number of regular season games, keeps its fanbase ‘engaged’, and turns a healthy bottom-line profit,” 

and the fundamental NEED for a PARADIGM SHIFT

i.e. Such that, the primary objective is, “The Winning Of Multiple League Championships,”

in order for any substantive headway to be made in terms of becoming an authentic championship calibre organization … in the not-too-distant future … within the pro sports landscape. 

Until this actually happens the Raptors and the Maple Leafs will be little more than “highly profitable Treadmill Teams”, in their respective leagues, run by carpet-bagging profiteers.