Understanding how Toronto lost to Golden State
Toronto Raptors [32-32] 112
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS [18-47] 124
Complete Game Info
——————————
QUESTION
How exactly did Toronto manage to lose this game to Golden State?
ANSWER
When you look at the boxscore for this game:
——————————
Toronto Raptors |
|
||||||||||||||
Starters |
|
Min |
FG |
3Pt |
FT |
+/- |
Off |
Reb |
Ast |
TO |
Stl |
BS |
BA |
PF |
Pts |
G |
26:04 |
8-11 |
0-0 |
2-3 |
-6 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
18 |
|
G |
17:12 |
3-7 |
1-1 |
0-0 |
-19 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
|
C |
39:20 |
3-6 |
0-1 |
5-6 |
-7 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
|
F |
36:03 |
8-13 |
0-0 |
8-10 |
-15 |
1 |
11 |
5 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
24 |
|
F |
29:21 |
2-6 |
0-1 |
0-0 |
-2 |
1 |
6 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
|
Bench |
|
Min |
FG |
3Pt |
FT |
+/- |
Off |
Reb |
Ast |
TO |
Stl |
BS |
BA |
PF |
Pts |
|
32:00 |
8-12 |
7-8 |
1-1 |
+7 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
|
|
21:52 |
5-10 |
0-1 |
0-0 |
-5 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
|
|
20:37 |
6-7 |
0-0 |
2-3 |
-2 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
14 |
|
|
11:00 |
0-2 |
0-2 |
0-0 |
-10 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
|
|
6:31 |
0-2 |
0-2 |
0-0 |
-1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
|
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
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DNP – Coach’s Decision |
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DNP – Coach’s Decision |
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DNP – Coach’s Decision |
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|||||||||||||||
Totals |
|
|
43-76 |
8-16 |
18-23 |
|
7 |
39 |
31 |
17 |
5 |
6 |
1 |
23 |
112 |
Percentages: |
|
.566 |
.500 |
.783 |
|
Team Rebounds: 6 |
Golden State Warriors |
|
||||||||||||||
Starters |
|
Min |
FG |
3Pt |
FT |
+/- |
Off |
Reb |
Ast |
TO |
Stl |
BS |
BA |
PF |
Pts |
G |
44:58 |
12-22 |
5-7 |
2-3 |
+14 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
31 |
|
G |
42:21 |
13-21 |
5-8 |
4-4 |
+6 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
35 |
|
C |
41:16 |
2-12 |
0-2 |
0-0 |
+21 |
5 |
11 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
4 |
|
F |
36:54 |
8-15 |
0-1 |
4-4 |
+8 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
20 |
|
F |
24:13 |
4-10 |
3-6 |
0-2 |
+5 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
11 |
|
Bench |
|
Min |
FG |
3Pt |
FT |
+/- |
Off |
Reb |
Ast |
TO |
Stl |
BS |
BA |
PF |
Pts |
|
21:19 |
3-6 |
2-2 |
4-4 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
|
|
15:14 |
2-5 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
+5 |
6 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
13:45 |
1-4 |
1-1 |
4-5 |
+1 |
1 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
||||||||||||||
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
||||||||||||||
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
||||||||||||||
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
||||||||||||||
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
||||||||||||||
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
||||||||||||||
|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
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|
DNP – Coach’s Decision |
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|
|||||||||||||||
Totals |
|
|
45-95 |
16-27 |
18-22 |
|
18 |
42 |
22 |
11 |
11 |
1 |
6 |
16 |
124 |
Percentages: |
|
.474 |
.593 |
.818 |
|
Team Rebounds: 5 |
——————————
and the Plus/Minus [+/-] per Minute Played [MP]
PLAYER |
+/- |
MP |
+/- per MP |
STARTERS |
|||
Jarrett Jack |
-19 |
17 |
-1.12 |
DeMar DeRozan |
-6 |
26 |
-0.23 |
Hedo Turkoglu |
-2 |
29 |
-0.07 |
Chris Bosh |
-13 |
36 |
-0.36 |
Andrea Bargnani |
-7 |
39 |
-0.18 |
KEY SUBS |
|||
Jose Calderon |
+7 |
32 |
+0.22 |
Sonny Weems |
-5 |
22 |
-0.23 |
Amir Johnson |
-4 |
21 |
-0.19 |
RESERVES |
|||
Marco Belinelli |
-1 |
07 |
-0.14 |
Antoine Wright |
-10 |
11 |
-0.91 |
——————————
you should be able to see that only 1 Raptor player performed in a satisfactory way [i.e. Green Shade above], while 2 others put in horrific performances [i.e. Red Shade above].
When you then look at the Substitution Chart [see below]:
TIME |
TEAM |
PG |
OG |
SF |
PF |
C |
START |
END |
DIFF |
DUR |
|
1st Q |
Tor |
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
00 |
18 |
+1 |
7:00 |
|
12:00 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
00 |
17 |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
05:00 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
GSW |
Tor 17 |
GSW 17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
18 |
23 |
-1 |
2:24 |
|
05:00 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
17 |
23 |
+1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
02:36 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
Tor |
Tor 22 |
GSW 23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
23 |
35 |
+10 |
2:32 |
|
02:36 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Williams |
Maggette |
23 |
25 |
-10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
DeRozan |
Wright |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
35 |
35 |
0 |
0:04 |
|
0:04.7 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Williams |
Maggette |
25 |
25 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2nd Q |
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Johnson |
Bosh |
35 |
41 |
-1 |
2:15 |
|
12:00 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Williams |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
25 |
32 |
+1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10:21 |
|
Time-out: |
Short |
GSW |
Tor 39 |
GSW 27 |
** |
CM |
Inj. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Johnson |
Bosh |
41 |
42 |
-1 |
1:04 |
|
09:45 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
32 |
34 |
+1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
08:41 |
|
Time-out: |
Official |
|
Tor 42 |
GSW 34 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Johnson |
Bosh |
42 |
42 |
-3 |
0:41 |
|
08:41 |
GSW |
Watson |
Ellis |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
34 |
37 |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
42 |
42 |
0 |
0:17 |
|
08:00 |
GSW |
Watson |
Ellis |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
37 |
37 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Wright |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
42 |
42 |
-5 |
1:09 |
|
07:43 |
GSW |
Watson |
Ellis |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
37 |
42 |
+5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
06:34 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
Tor |
Tor 42 |
GSW 42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
42 |
50 |
+1 |
3:32 |
|
06:34 |
GSW |
Watson |
Ellis |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
42 |
49 |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Turkoglu |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
50 |
51 |
-1 |
0:17 |
|
03:02 |
GSW |
Watson |
Curry |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
49 |
51 |
+1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
02:45 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
GSW |
Tor 50 |
GSW 49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
51 |
56 |
+3 |
1:33 |
|
02:45 |
GSW |
Watson |
Curry |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
51 |
53 |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Jack |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
56 |
60 |
+1 |
1:12 |
|
01:12 |
GSW |
Watson |
Curry |
Williams |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
53 |
56 |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3rd Q |
Tor |
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
60 |
68 |
-9 |
5:01 |
|
12:00 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
56 |
73 |
+9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
09:26 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
Tor |
Tor 62 |
GSW 68 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
68 |
68 |
-7 |
1:24 |
|
06:59 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
73 |
80 |
+7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Jack |
Weems |
Turkoglu |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
68 |
68 |
-3 |
0:11 |
|
05:35 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
80 |
83 |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
05:24 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
Tor |
Tor 68 |
GSW 83 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Turkoglu |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
68 |
78 |
+3 |
4:16 |
|
05:24 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
83 |
90 |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
78 |
85 |
0 |
1:08 |
|
01:08 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
90 |
97 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4th Q |
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Johnson |
Bosh |
85 |
86 |
+1 |
|
|
12:00 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Tolliver |
Hunter |
97 |
97 |
-1 |
0:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Johnson |
Bosh |
86 |
90 |
-1 |
|
|
11:47 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Watson |
Maggette |
Hunter |
97 |
102 |
+1 |
3:19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
08:28 |
|
Time-out: |
Official |
|
Tor 90 |
GSW 101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
90 |
92 |
0 |
|
|
08:28 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Watson |
Maggette |
Hunter |
102 |
104 |
0 |
0:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
DeRozan |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
92 |
96 |
+4 |
|
|
07:39 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Watson |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
104 |
104 |
-4 |
0:56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tor |
Calderon |
Weems |
DeRozan |
Bosh |
Bargnani |
96 |
112 |
-4 |
|
|
06:43 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Williams |
Maggette |
Tolliver |
104 |
124 |
+4 |
6:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
05:52 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
GSW |
Tor 96 |
GSW 108 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
02:33 |
|
Time-out: |
Regular |
Tor |
Tor 106 |
GSW 117 |
|
|
|
|
you should be able to see that:
* Toronto used 3 distinct pairs of Power Forwards and Centers …
Bosh/PF and Bargnani/C |
Johnson/PF and Bargnani/C |
Johnson/PF and Bosh/C |
||||||||||||||||||
PG |
OG |
SF |
+/- |
Dur |
PG |
OG |
SF |
+/- |
Dur |
PG |
OG |
SF |
+/- |
Dur |
||||||
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
+1 |
7:00 |
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
-1 |
2:24 |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
-1 |
2:15 |
||||||
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
0 |
0:17 |
Calderon |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
+10 |
2:32 |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
-1 |
1:04 |
||||||
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Wright |
-5 |
1:09 |
Calderon |
DeRozan |
Wright |
0 |
0:04 |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
-3 |
0:41 |
||||||
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Turkoglu |
+1 |
3:32 |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Turkoglu |
-1 |
0:17 |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
+1 |
0:13 |
||||||
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Turkoglu |
+3 |
1:33 |
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
-7 |
1:24 |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
-1 |
3:19 |
||||||
Calderon |
Jack |
Turkoglu |
+1 |
1:12 |
Jack |
Weems |
Turkoglu |
-3 |
0:11 |
TOTAL |
-5 |
7:32 |
||||||||
Jack |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
-9 |
5:01 |
Calderon |
Weems |
Turkoglu |
+3 |
4:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
0 |
1:08 |
Calderon |
Weems |
Wright |
0 |
0:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Calderon |
Weems |
DeRozan |
+4 |
0:56 |
TOTAL |
+1 |
11:57 |
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Calderon |
Weems |
DeRozan |
-4 |
6:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
TOTAL |
-8 |
28:31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
and that the only 5-Man Unit which the Raptors used in this game which was able to dominate the Warriors did so primarily because … for a brief stretch of the 1st Quarter … Don Nelson [i.e. the Warriors' Head Coach] made the mistake of going with an ULTRA-SMALL line-up … comprised of 3 guards and 2 small forwards,
1st Q |
Tor |
Calderon |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Johnson |
Bargnani |
23 |
35 |
+10 |
2:32 |
02:36 |
GSW |
Curry |
Ellis |
Morrow |
Williams |
Maggette |
23 |
25 |
-10 |
|
i.e. Curry [6-3, 185] + Ellis [6-3, 180] + Morrow [6-5, 210] + Williams [6-6, 210] + Maggette [6-6, 225],
for the only segment of this game.
As such, it should be noted that:
1. This specific group of Raptors did not dominate the Warriors because of any particular strength which they brought to bare on this game but because they were simply the fivesome that happened to be on the court when Coach Nelson made this specific personnel error;
and, that,
2. If you remove this specific segment from the game, entirely, Golden State was actually a whopping 22 points better than Toronto, whenever they used, either, a semi-conventional or a conventional 5-Man Unit which featured a combination of Corey Maggette [6-6, 225], Anthony Tolliver [6-9, 240] and Chris Hunter [6-11, 240] at the Power Forward and Center positions [i.e. as opposed to the unconventional combination of Reggie Williams, 6-6, 210 and Corey Maggette, as two under-sized Power Forwards].
Instead of using any of the following 5-Man Units:
PG |
OG |
SF |
PF |
C |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Weems |
Johnson |
Bosh |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Weems |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Weems |
DeRozan |
Bosh |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
Weems |
Wright |
Bosh |
|
||||
Calderon |
Belinelli |
DeRozan |
Johnson |
Bosh |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Calderon |
Belinelli |
DeRozan |
Wright |
Bosh |
|
||||
Calderon |
Weems |
DeRozan |
Johnson |
Bosh |
Calderon |
Weems |
DeRozan |
Turkoglu |
Bosh |
Calderon |
Weems |
DeRozan |
Wright |
Bosh |
to effectively combat the “quickness advantage” to which the Warriors geared their offensive attack, at each of the 5 positions, while smothering the Raptors best efforts to post-up on the block with a myriad of defensive double-teams and rotations, all Toronto did strategically was stick with their customary line-ups and toggle back-and-forth between Man-2-Man and Match-up Zone Defense.
By using Chris Bosh at Center and Jose Calderon at Point Guard with a combination of Marco Belinelli/OG, Sonny Weems/OG, DeMar DeRozan/OG-SF-PF, Hedo Turkoglu/SF-PF and Amir Johnson/PF, at the other 3 positions, the Raptors would have been much better off than trying to use Andrea Bargnani at Center for 40:28, against an opponent that had NO POWER BASED BIG MAN on their active roster for this game and was committed to using under-sized post players like Tolliver and Hunter at this position.
Although Andrea Bargnani was able to score effectively on 2 isolated post-up situations from the left block, early in the game, using this type of rigid, slow developing, offensive structure is not where the strength of this year’s Raptors team actually lies.
Instead of trying to slow the game down against Golden State, what Toronto actually needed to do was:
1. Remove Bargnani from the equation, altogether, because there was no player on the Warriors squad for him to adequately check;
2. Speed the game up, in order to take best advantage of their superior depth against the out-numbered Warriors …
# |
Toronto |
Golden State |
PRIMARY ROTATION PLAYERS |
||
1 |
Calderon |
Curry |
2 |
Belinelli |
Ellis |
3 |
Weems |
Watson |
4 |
DeRozan |
Morrow |
5 |
Turkoglu |
Maggette |
6 |
Johnson |
Tolliver |
7 |
Bosh |
Hunter |
Def |
3 |
2 |
SECONDARY PALYERS |
||
8 |
Jack |
|
9 |
Wright |
Williams |
10 |
Bargnani |
|
Def |
2 |
0 |
EXTRA PLAYERS |
||
11 |
Evans |
|
12 |
Nesterovic |
|
Def |
1 |
0 |
TOT-Def |
6 |
2 |
and,
3. Simply outscore them, knowing that their own personnel is better equipped to get more defensive stops than is Golden State’s … when Bargnani isn’t in the game … with the Warriors’ current list of injuries and absences and the fact that G-State has surrendered more points than any team in the entire NBA this season.
———————————
Instead of using:
Jarrett Jack [-19] for 17:12
Antoine Wright [-10] for 10:59, and
Andrea Bargnani [-7] for 40:28,
the Raptors could easily have won this game, by using Chris Bosh as their Center for more than just 7:32 and giving additional PT to Jose Calderon, Marco Belinelli, Sonny Weems, DeMar DeRozan, Hedo Turkoglu [especially, at the PF spot vs Corey Maggette] and Amir Johnson.
Success in the NBA game is determined in large part by making subtle adjustments … from game-to-game and within specific match-ups. When Don Nelson realized the error of his ways, he made a a quick decision to not use his ultra-small line-up for the balance of this game.
Unfortunately for the Raptors’ cause, Jay Triano & Co. made no such adjustment to their original game-plan and, instead, decided to stick with the “same old, same old,” as the preferred method of operation for a team which had lost 7 of its last 8 games playing this way and is going nowhere fast, except down in the Eastern Conference standings.
March 17th, 2010 at 8:26 am
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