Understanding how Toronto lost to Golden State

Toronto Raptors [32-32] 112
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS [18-47] 124
Complete Game Info

——————————

QUESTION

How exactly did Toronto manage to lose this game to Golden State?

ANSWER

When you look at the boxscore for this game:

——————————

Toronto Raptors

 

 Starters

 

Min

FG

3Pt

FT

+/-

Off

Reb

Ast

TO

Stl

BS

BA

PF

Pts 

  D. DeRozan

G

26:04

8-11

0-0

2-3

-6

0

2

0

2

1

0

1

4

18 

  J. Jack

G

17:12

3-7

1-1

0-0

-19

1

1

3

3

0

0

0

2

  A. Bargnani

C

39:20

3-6

0-1

5-6

-7

1

4

2

0

0

0

0

1

11 

  C. Bosh

F

36:03

8-13

0-0

8-10

-15

1

11

5

6

0

1

0

2

24 

  H. Turkoglu

F

29:21

2-6

0-1

0-0

-2

1

6

8

1

0

2

0

2

 Bench

 

Min

FG

3Pt

FT

+/-

Off

Reb

Ast

TO

Stl

BS

BA

PF

Pts 

  J. Calderon

 

32:00

8-12

7-8

1-1

+7

0

1

12

1

0

0

0

1

24 

  S. Weems

 

21:52

5-10

0-1

0-0

-5

2

4

1

2

0

0

0

3

10 

  A. Johnson

 

20:37

6-7

0-0

2-3

-2

1

6

0

1

2

3

0

5

14 

  A. Wright

 

11:00

0-2

0-2

0-0

-10

0

3

0

1

0

0

0

2

  M. Belinelli

 

6:31

0-2

0-2

0-0

-1

0

1

0

0

2

0

0

1

  M. Banks

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  R. Evans

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  R. Nesterovic

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  P. O’Bryant

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

 

 Totals

 

 

43-76

8-16

18-23

 

7

39

31

17

5

6

1

23

112 

 Percentages:

 

.566

.500

.783

 

Team Rebounds: 6

 

 

 Golden State Warriors

 

 Starters

 

Min

FG

3Pt

FT

+/-

Off

Reb

Ast

TO

Stl

BS

BA

PF

Pts 

  M. Ellis

G

44:58

12-22

5-7

2-3

+14

0

4

2

3

2

0

0

3

31 

  S. Curry

G

42:21

13-21

5-8

4-4

+6

2

6

10

2

4

1

0

1

35 

  A. Tolliver

C

41:16

2-12

0-2

0-0

+21

5

11

2

1

3

0

0

5

  C. Maggette

F

36:54

8-15

0-1

4-4

+8

1

1

3

1

0

0

2

4

20 

  A. Morrow

F

24:13

4-10

3-6

0-2

+5

2

4

1

1

0

0

2

0

11 

 Bench

 

Min

FG

3Pt

FT

+/-

Off

Reb

Ast

TO

Stl

BS

BA

PF

Pts 

  R. Williams

 

21:19

3-6

2-2

4-4

0

1

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

12 

  C. Hunter

 

15:14

2-5

0-0

0-0

+5

6

8

2

1

1

0

2

2

  C.J. Watson

 

13:45

1-4

1-1

4-5

+1

1

6

1

1

1

0

0

1

  K. Azubuike

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  R. Bell

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  A. Biedrins

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  D. George

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  V. Radmanovic

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  A. Randolph

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  R. Turiaf

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

  B. Wright

 

DNP – Coach’s Decision

 

 Totals

 

 

45-95

16-27

18-22

 

18

42

22

11

11

1

6

16

124 

 Percentages:

 

.474

.593

.818

 

Team Rebounds: 5

——————————

and the Plus/Minus [+/-] per Minute Played [MP]

PLAYER

+/-

MP

+/- per MP

STARTERS

Jarrett Jack

-19

17

-1.12

DeMar DeRozan

-6

26

-0.23

Hedo Turkoglu

-2

29

-0.07

Chris Bosh

-13

36

-0.36

Andrea Bargnani

-7

39

-0.18

KEY SUBS

Jose Calderon

+7

32

+0.22

Sonny Weems

-5

22

-0.23

Amir Johnson

-4

21

-0.19

RESERVES

Marco Belinelli

-1

07

-0.14

Antoine Wright

-10

11

-0.91

——————————

you should be able to see that only 1 Raptor player performed in a satisfactory way [i.e. Green Shade above], while 2 others put in horrific performances [i.e. Red Shade above].

When you then look at the Substitution Chart [see below]:

TIME

TEAM

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

START

END

DIFF

DUR

1st Q

Tor

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

00

18

+1

7:00

12:00

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Maggette

Tolliver

00

17

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

05:00

 

Time-out:

Regular

GSW

Tor 17

GSW 17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

18

23

-1

2:24

05:00

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Maggette

Tolliver

17

23

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

02:36

 

Time-out:

Regular

Tor

Tor 22

GSW 23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

23

35

+10

2:32

02:36

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Williams

Maggette

23

25

-10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

DeRozan

Wright

Johnson

Bargnani

35

35

0

0:04

0:04.7

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Williams

Maggette

25

25

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2nd Q

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Johnson

Bosh

35

41

-1

2:15

12:00

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Williams

Maggette

Tolliver

25

32

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10:21

 

Time-out:

Short

GSW

Tor 39

GSW 27

**

CM

Inj.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Johnson

Bosh

41

42

-1

1:04

09:45

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

32

34

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08:41

 

Time-out:

Official

 

Tor 42

GSW 34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Johnson

Bosh

42

42

-3

0:41

08:41

GSW

Watson

Ellis

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

34

37

+3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Bosh

Bargnani

42

42

0

0:17

08:00

GSW

Watson

Ellis

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

37

37

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Belinelli

Wright

Bosh

Bargnani

42

42

-5

1:09

07:43

GSW

Watson

Ellis

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

37

42

+5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

06:34

 

Time-out:

Regular

Tor

Tor 42

GSW 42

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

42

50

+1

3:32

06:34

GSW

Watson

Ellis

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

42

49

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

50

51

-1

0:17

03:02

GSW

Watson

Curry

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

49

51

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

02:45

 

Time-out:

Regular

GSW

Tor 50

GSW 49

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

51

56

+3

1:33

02:45

GSW

Watson

Curry

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

51

53

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Jack

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

56

60

+1

1:12

01:12

GSW

Watson

Curry

Williams

Tolliver

Hunter

53

56

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3rd Q

Tor

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

60

68

-9

5:01

12:00

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Maggette

Tolliver

56

73

+9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

09:26

 

Time-out:

Regular

Tor

Tor 62

GSW 68

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

68

68

-7

1:24

06:59

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Maggette

Tolliver

73

80

+7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Jack

Weems

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

68

68

-3

0:11

05:35

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Maggette

Tolliver

80

83

+3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

05:24

 

Time-out:

Regular

Tor

Tor 68

GSW 83

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

68

78

+3

4:16

05:24

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Maggette

Tolliver

83

90

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Bosh

Bargnani

78

85

0

1:08

01:08

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Tolliver

Hunter

90

97

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4th Q

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Johnson

Bosh

85

86

+1

 

12:00

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Tolliver

Hunter

97

97

-1

0:13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Johnson

Bosh

86

90

-1

 

11:47

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Watson

Maggette

Hunter

97

102

+1

3:19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08:28

 

Time-out:

Official

 

Tor 90

GSW 101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

Wright

Johnson

Bargnani

90

92

0

 

08:28

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Watson

Maggette

Hunter

102

104

0

0:49

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

Bosh

Bargnani

92

96

+4

 

07:39

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Watson

Maggette

Tolliver

104

104

-4

0:56

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tor

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

Bosh

Bargnani

96

112

-4

 

06:43

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Williams

Maggette

Tolliver

104

124

+4

6:43

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

05:52

 

Time-out:

Regular

GSW

Tor 96

GSW 108

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

02:33

 

Time-out:

Regular

Tor

Tor 106

GSW 117

 

 

 

 

you should be able to see that:

* Toronto used 3 distinct pairs of Power Forwards and Centers …

Bosh/PF and Bargnani/C

Johnson/PF and Bargnani/C

Johnson/PF and Bosh/C

PG

OG

SF

+/-

Dur

PG

OG

SF

+/-

Dur

PG

OG

SF

+/-

Dur

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

+1

7:00

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

-1

2:24

Calderon

Weems

Wright

-1

2:15

Calderon

Weems

Wright

0

0:17

Calderon

DeRozan

Turkoglu

+10

2:32

Calderon

Weems

Wright

-1

1:04

Calderon

Belinelli

Wright

-5

1:09

Calderon

DeRozan

Wright

0

0:04

Calderon

Weems

Wright

-3

0:41

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

+1

3:32

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

-1

0:17

Calderon

Weems

Wright

+1

0:13

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

+3

1:33

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

-7

1:24

Calderon

Weems

Wright

-1

3:19

Calderon

Jack

Turkoglu

+1

1:12

Jack

Weems

Turkoglu

-3

0:11

TOTAL

-5

7:32

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

-9

5:01

Calderon

Weems

Turkoglu

+3

4:16

 

 

 

 

 

Calderon

Weems

Wright

0

1:08

Calderon

Weems

Wright

0

0:49

 

 

 

 

 

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

+4

0:56

TOTAL

+1

11:57

 

 

 

 

 

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

-4

6:43

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

-8

28:31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and that the only 5-Man Unit which the Raptors used in this game which was able to dominate the Warriors did so primarily because … for a brief stretch of the 1st Quarter … Don Nelson [i.e. the Warriors' Head Coach] made the mistake of going with an ULTRA-SMALL line-up … comprised of 3 guards and 2 small forwards,

1st Q

Tor

Calderon

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

23

35

+10

2:32

02:36

GSW

Curry

Ellis

Morrow

Williams

Maggette

23

25

-10

 

i.e. Curry [6-3, 185] + Ellis [6-3, 180] + Morrow [6-5, 210] + Williams [6-6, 210] + Maggette [6-6, 225],

for the only segment of this game.

As such, it should be noted that:

1. This specific group of Raptors did not dominate the Warriors because of any particular strength which they brought to bare on this game but because they were simply the fivesome that happened to be on the court when Coach Nelson made this specific personnel error;

and, that,

2. If you remove this specific segment from the game, entirely, Golden State was actually a whopping 22 points better than Toronto, whenever they used, either, a semi-conventional or a conventional 5-Man Unit which featured a combination of Corey Maggette [6-6, 225], Anthony Tolliver [6-9, 240] and Chris Hunter [6-11, 240] at the Power Forward and Center positions [i.e. as opposed to the unconventional combination of Reggie Williams, 6-6, 210 and Corey Maggette, as two under-sized Power Forwards].

Instead of using any of the following 5-Man Units:

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

Calderon

Belinelli

Weems

Johnson

Bosh

Calderon

Belinelli

Weems

Turkoglu

Bosh

Calderon

Belinelli

Weems

DeRozan

Bosh

Calderon

Belinelli

Weems

Wright

Bosh

 

Calderon

Belinelli

DeRozan

Johnson

Bosh

Calderon

Belinelli

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Calderon

Belinelli

DeRozan

Wright

Bosh

 

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

Johnson

Bosh

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Calderon

Weems

DeRozan

Wright

Bosh

to effectively combat the “quickness advantage” to which the Warriors geared their offensive attack, at each of the 5 positions, while smothering the Raptors best efforts to post-up on the block with a myriad of defensive double-teams and rotations, all Toronto did strategically was stick with their customary line-ups and toggle back-and-forth between Man-2-Man and Match-up Zone Defense. 

By using Chris Bosh at Center and Jose Calderon at Point Guard with a combination of Marco Belinelli/OG, Sonny Weems/OG, DeMar DeRozan/OG-SF-PF, Hedo Turkoglu/SF-PF and Amir Johnson/PF, at the other 3 positions, the Raptors would have been much better off than trying to use Andrea Bargnani at Center for 40:28, against an opponent that had NO POWER BASED BIG MAN on their active roster for this game and was committed to using under-sized post players like Tolliver and Hunter at this position.

Although Andrea Bargnani was able to score effectively on 2 isolated post-up situations from the left block, early in the game, using this type of rigid, slow developing, offensive structure is not where the strength of this year’s Raptors team actually lies.

Instead of trying to slow the game down against Golden State, what Toronto actually needed to do was:

1. Remove Bargnani from the equation, altogether, because there was no player on the Warriors squad for him to adequately check;

2. Speed the game up, in order to take best advantage of their superior depth against the out-numbered Warriors …

#

Toronto

Golden State

PRIMARY ROTATION PLAYERS

1

Calderon

Curry

2

Belinelli

Ellis

3

Weems

Watson

4

DeRozan

Morrow

5

Turkoglu

Maggette

6

Johnson

Tolliver

7

Bosh

Hunter

Def

3

2

SECONDARY PALYERS

8

Jack

 

9

Wright

Williams

10

Bargnani

 

Def

2

0

EXTRA PLAYERS

11

Evans

 

12

Nesterovic

 

Def

1

0

TOT-Def

6

2

and,

3. Simply outscore them, knowing that their own personnel is better equipped to get more defensive stops than is Golden State’s … when Bargnani isn’t in the game … with the Warriors’ current list of injuries and absences and the fact that G-State has surrendered more points than any team in the entire NBA this season.

———————————

Instead of using:

Jarrett Jack [-19] for 17:12  

Antoine Wright [-10] for 10:59, and

Andrea Bargnani [-7] for 40:28,

the Raptors could easily have won this game, by using Chris Bosh as their Center for more than just 7:32 and giving additional PT to Jose Calderon, Marco Belinelli, Sonny Weems, DeMar DeRozan, Hedo Turkoglu [especially, at the PF spot vs Corey Maggette] and Amir Johnson.

Success in the NBA game is determined in large part by making subtle adjustments … from game-to-game and within specific match-ups. When Don Nelson realized the error of his ways, he made a a quick decision to not use his ultra-small line-up for the balance of this game.

Unfortunately for the Raptors’ cause, Jay Triano & Co. made no such adjustment to their original game-plan and, instead, decided to stick with the “same old, same old,” as the preferred method of operation for a team which had lost 7 of its last 8 games playing this way and is going nowhere fast, except down in the Eastern Conference standings.

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