More Wright fails to equal less Wrong for Raptors

Since the Raptors have now lost 5 of their last 6 games, and dropped into 6th place in the Eastern Conference, discussion [i.e. A and B] has been rekindled regarding the proper use of DeMar DeRozan/OG, Antoine Wright/OG-SF and Sonny Weems/OG-SF.

When making an initial evaluation of these 3 wing players for the Raptors, this season, it can be helpful to consider a simple stat, like KPER, which is derived from readily available boxscore information.

[i.e. khandor's Player Efficiency Rating = PTS - (FGA-FGM) - (FTA-FTM) + TREB + AST + ST + BS - TO - PF]

This basic measure generates the following raw scores for these 3 players:

DeMar DeRozan, +304
Sonny Weems, +227
Antoine Wright, +204

When Minutes Played are factored into the equation, it becomes even more obvious which of these 3 players has generated the most on-court production for the Raptors this season:

PLAYER

MINUTES PLAYED

KPER/MP

Weems

820

0.276

DeRozan

1178

0.258

Wright

1015

0.201

Over the course of their remaining 22 games … at least, if the Raptors hope to secure a playoff position above the No. 8 seed … Toronto would do well to ensure that Antoine Wright actually has his MP reduced; while, both, DeMar DeRozan and Sonny Weems have their MP increased.  

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15 Responses to “More Wright fails to equal less Wrong for Raptors”

  1. Morning Coffee March 9 | The AltRaps Blog Says:

    [...] Khandor’s Sports Blog Since the Raptors have now lost 5 of their last 6 games, and dropped into 6th place in the Eastern Conference, discussion [i.e. A and B] has been rekindled regarding the proper use of DeMar DeRozan/OG, Antoine Wright/OG-SF and Sonny Weems/OG-SF. [...]

  2. Scott G Says:

    not that I disagree with the result… since I hate AW, but subtracting FG’s and FT’s MADE seems strange to me (while ADDING attempts?). No?

    Nevertheless I’m sure adding up all the other numbers (sans shots of any sort) would tell the same story. Wright is killing our team, esp when he’s paired with other un-athletic/poor defensive perimeter players.

  3. Tim W. Says:

    Just out of interest, where does Belinelli fit in here? And I think that Wright has the tools to be a poor man’s Bruce Bowen, but I also don’t think there is a Raptors who makes worse decisions on the court than Wright. He’s the guy of guy who you like having on your team, as long as he doesn’t get the ball.

  4. khandor Says:

    Scott G.,

    Thanks for catching that error in the way I originally wrote the formula above.

    It should be fixed now!

  5. khandor Says:

    Tim W.,

    Marco Belinelli comes in at +0.291.

    IMO, his major problem on this roster is two-fold:

    1. The more defensive-oriented stat categories are included in the mix the worse he rates as a legitimate Off Guard, in the NBA.

    2. His best position is actually PG, unfortunately, where the Raptors already have Calderon & Jack.

  6. Scott G Says:

    OK — now it makes perfect sense. I figured it was a typo of some sort.

    Tim — I think your analogy to BB is a bit of wishful thinking. Wright might WANT to be that guy, but he doesn’t have the lateral quickness (or, frankly, the tenacity) to be that guy. IMO, Weems has a far better chance to become a very good defensive player for the Raps, AND he brings more (really, because of the lesser amount of bone-headed out-of-control drives) on the offensive end and in transition.

    Hoping to go to the game tonight… hoping CB4 plays… and hoping we don’t get blown out!

  7. khandor Says:

    Scott G.,

    It’s the Lakers first game back in LA after a short 3-game road trip to the east coast. Although this type of situation is, historically, not a big margin victory scenario for the Lakers, they will also have a revenge angle working in their favour this evening against a Raptors squad that is really struggling right now.

    Like you, I just hoping that the Dinos don’t get hammered in this match-up and that CB is, in fact, healthy enough to play full-out.

    BTW … I completely agree with your take on Weems [i.e. a far superior athlete who also plays with more control] vs Wright.

  8. Boko Says:

    I whole-heartedly agree with you, Khandor! NBA Efficiency and Efficiency/Minute stats give one the same story:
    DD 232nd, & 294th (I’d like to see him sub, and watch him develop!)
    SW 270th, & 284th (I’d like to see him start, and watch him develop!)
    AW 283rd, & 373rd. (I can’t stand watching him play!)

  9. Boko Says:

    By the way, MBe is 263rd, & 301st. (I can’t stand watching him play, either!)

    The truth is, we aren’t going to win a series against any of the top 4 teams in the East this year, so we might as well give DeMar & Sonny the playoff experience. They’ll both come into next season in a better state of mind. We just have to hope that Bosh sees the potential!!!!!!!!!!!

  10. Scott G Says:

    what a heartbreak last night! The second JT subbed AW in as his “kobe stopper” I knew it was over.

    Seeing Kobe earn his money live was pretty cool, though.

    Solid effort by the Raps, and I think we could have pulled this game out with a different rotation down the stretch. (ie bench Bargs when Odom is in the game; play Weems instead of Wright when Kobe’s at the 2; play Belli instead of Wright (with Weems or Turk) when Farmar + Brown were in the game together with Kobe or Artest at the 3)

  11. khandor Says:

    Scott G.,

    The road to 9th place finishes are paved with solid efforts that qualify as “moral victories” and fall just short against the authentically high end teams in the league … playing a sandwich game, returning to the west coast after a 3-game road trip to the east, immediately prior to heading right back out on the road, again.

    Yes, the Raptors played well enough to almost steal a victory on the Lakers’ home court, with LA in a down cycle at the moment.

    Any way we choose to look at it, however, the loss makes this evening’s game at Sacramento another MUST-WIN affair.

    Do you think the Raptors are going to be up to this challenge?

  12. khandor Says:

    Boko,

    Welcome aboard! :-)

  13. Scott G Says:

    I agree. Close calls and moral victories count for nothing in this League. At the same time, it was nice to see that we still have plenty of fight left in us. I was beginning to think we were seeing a full-blown meltdown, but now I don’t think that will happen.

    With a win last night, the Raps had a decent chance to go 3-1 on the road trip. Now, they have a decent chance to go 2-2.

    I think they’ll get it done.

  14. khandor Says:

    Scott G.,

    The original wagering line which I saw on this game opened at Sacramento -1/-104 … and it hasn’t budged, one way or the other, since then.

    The Raptors are 32-30; while the Kings are 21-43 … yet, this game is somehow rated as a “toss-up” by the line-maker.

    Hmmm …

    Is there any other .500+ team in the league that would be an underdog, when playing at Sacramento?

    I don’t think so.

    Although, I, too, am hoping that the Raptors can pull-out a hard-fought last second victory … I am also quite aware of the possibility that Toronto could get smoked this evening, based on the specific match-ups in this contest, if Sacramento decides to go with:

    i. Carl Landry [PF] vs Chris Bosh [PF]
    ii. Jason Thompson [C] vs Andrea Bargnani [C]
    iii. Nocioni vs Weems, Wright and Belinelli; and,
    iv. Casspi vs Turkoglu

    and the Raptors decide to pit:

    Jarrett Jack [PG-OG] vs Tyreke Evans [PG-OG].

    Personally, I would match-up Chris Bosh vs Spencer Hawes, at Center, Amir Johnson vs Carl Landry/Jason Thompson, at Power Forward, and Sonny Weems vs Tyreke Evans, all over the court … and, then, simply let the chips fall where they may.

    If they did those 3 things, the Raptors would win going away.

    I am not holding my breath, however, that Toronto is going to do anything that resembles those 3 specific moves, in any way.

  15. Scott G Says:

    Ugh…

    What has happened to Jack’s defense?? Beno Udrih?

    I expected Evans to be able to score almost at will, but Beno too?

    You’re right about the big man matchups, though. Pitting Bosh against Hawes would result in Hawes getting torched. Pitting Bargs against hawes results in a small advantage to the raps, but nothing that will decide the game. Moreover, it allows Sacto to cover Bosh with Landry and Thompson, who are both pretty solid matchups because of their quickness.

    0-4 on the road trip is now a likely result. I think the last few weeks should put in perspective for all of us just how fragile our success is, and how dependent it is on getting big games from Bosh night in, night out.