Legitimate Contenders to win the 2009-2010 NBA championship: Part II

Since this corner first developed the following metric: 

What it takes to win the NBA Championship

LEGITIMATE CONTENDERS TO WIN

THE 2009-2010 NBA CHAMPIONSHIP

[as of Sun Dec 20, 2009]

TEAM

W-L Rec

Win%

Win%R

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

Blazers

17-12

.586

11

9

3

3

15

1

Cavaliers

20-8

.714

T5

6

4

6

16

2

Magic

20-7

.741

3

5

9

4

18

T3

Spurs

14-10

.583

12

7

9

2

18

T3

Lakers

22-4

.846

1

2

6

11

19

5

Celtics

21-5

.808

2

1

1

19

21

T6

Hawks

19-7

.731

4

3

11

7

21

T6

Pistons

11-16

.407

21

16

5

4

25

8

Bobcats

10-16

.385

23

17

2

8

27

9

Thunder

13-13

.500

14

12

7

10

29

T10

Mavericks

20-8

.714

T5

8

8

13

29

T10

Jazz

16-11

.593

T9

11

17

9

37

12

Rockets

16-11

.593

T9

13

17

15

45

T13

Grizzlies

12-15

.444

18

19

25

1

45

T13

Nuggets

19-9

.679

7

4

20

25

49

15

Bucks

11-14

.440

19

14

13

23

50

T16

Clippers

12-14

.462

T15

21

12

17

50

T16

Heat

13-12

.520

13

18

14

20

52

18

Kings

12-14

.462

T15

15

26

12

53

19

Wizards

8-17

.320

26

22

19

16

57

T20

Bulls

10-15

.400

22

28

15

14

57

T20

Suns

18-9

.667

8

10

27

24

61

22

76ers

7-20

.259

28

26

21

18

65

23

Hornets

12-14

.462

T15

23

23

26

72

T24

Pacers

9-16

.360

25

23

22

27

72

T24

Timberwolves

5-23

.179

29

29

24

21

74

26

Nets

2-26

.071

30

29

18

28

75

27

Knicks

10-17

.370

24

19

28

29

76

T28

Raptors

13-17

.433

20

25

29

22

76

T28

Warriors

7-19

.269

27

27

30

30

87

30

Legend: W-L Rec - Won-Loss Record; Win% - Winning Percentage; Win%R - Winning Percentage Rank; PDR – Points Difference Rank; PAR - Points Allowed Rank; RDR – Rebounding Differential Rank; QR – Quality Rating; QIR – Quality Index Ranking; Lighter Shade - Under-rated according to Win%R; Darker Shade - Over-rated according to Win%R.

each team which has eventually won the NBA title has finished the regular season schedule with a QR ≤ 34 and a QIR ≤ 11. 

How does your favourite team compare, at the moment, to this select group?

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3 Responses to “Legitimate Contenders to win the 2009-2010 NBA championship: Part II”

  1. brothersteve Says:

    Someone is thinking way too much.

    What does that order of teams 1-30 actually mean - in words?

    There can be no way the Blazers are favored over the Lakers is there?

  2. khandor Says:

    brothersteve,

    1. Those are what the numbers have to say.

    2. The only legitimate contenders for the 2009-2010 NBA championship are the teams that finish the season in the #1-11 spots … from amongst the 16 playoff participants … according to the QIR, with a QR <= 34.

    The rest are merely pretenders-to-the-throne.

    3. Within the eventual group of 11 legitimate contenders, individual match-ups then kick-in to determine how effective each team will be against the specific opponent it draws in any given round of the playoffs.

    4. If all other factors are approximately equal, then …

    the team which REBOUNDS the ball the most effectively will eventually emerge as the NBA champions, within a given season.

    5. Are the Blazers actually the No. 1-rated team in the NBA … right now?

    Well …

    If you removed:

    - the No. 1-rated Wing defender
    - the No. 1-rated PF-SF player
    - the No. 2-rated Wing player
    - the No. 1-rated Center
    - the No. 2-rated Center
    - the No. 1-rated player, overall

    from any other team in the NBA, right now,

    AND

    put their head coach on the sidelines with a crutches, recovering from an operation for a ruptured achilles tendon,

    could you possibly imagine them walking into San Antonio last night and being able to win that game?

    For example:

    A. The Celtics … without Paul Pierce, Sheldon Williams, Marquis Daniels, Kendrick Perkins, Rasheed Wallace, and Kevin Garnett;

    B. The Lakers … Ron Artest, Lamar Odom, Luke Walton, Andre Bynum, Pau Gasol and Kobe Bryant;

    C. The Magic … Mickeal Pietrus, Rashard Lewis, Matt Barnes, Dwight Howard, Marcin Gortat and Vince Carter; and,

    D. The Cavaliers … Anthony Parker, JJ Hickson, Jamario Moon, Shaquille O’Neal, Zadrunas Ilgauskas and Lebron James.

    In my book, the answer is a resounding, “ABSOLUTELY NOT!”

    When it comes to playoff experience, the Blazers still have a long way to go.

    BUT, when it comes to the other factors that are truly meaningful, in terms of determining the eventual NBA champion, sometime down-the-road …

    e.g. mental toughness, physical toughness, emotional toughness, skill level, team cohesion, unselfishness … in other words, the personal characteristics associated with the “Pyramid of Success” … plus, Rebounding and Defense

    there is no better “TEAM” in the NBA today than the Trail Blazers.

  3. brothersteve Says:

    Blazers resilience has been unbelievable so far.
    It has to catch up with them at some point?

    But perhaps the Blazers are just more balanced in their talent than most teams?

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