Substitution Charts can tell you a great deal about the game

There are many different ways to track the performance of an individual player, or specific combinations of players, in a NBA game.

When you do this work, what you find, somteimes, can be most revealing.

This is what the “Substitution Chart” looks like for Wednesday’s game between Toronto and Cleveland.

TIME

TOTAL

TEAM

PG

OG

SF

PF

C

SCORE

DIFF

Q1 12:00

 

V

Williams

Parker

James

Varejao

O’Neal

6

-9

 

5:24

H

Calderon

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

15

+9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6:36

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Parker

James

O’Neal

8

0

 

1:25

H

 

 

 

 

 

17

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5:11

 

V

Wiliams

Gibson

Parker

James

Ilgauskas

11

+1

 

0:22

H

 

 

 

 

 

19

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4:49

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Moon

James

Ilgauskas

11

0

 

0:07

H

 

 

 

 

 

19

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4:42

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

13

0

 

0:55

H

Calderon

DeRozan

Wright

Turkoglu

Bargnani

21

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3:47

 

V

Gibson

Moon

James

Hickson

Ilgauskas

16

+3

 

0:54

H

Calderon

Jack

Wright

Tukoglu

Bargnani

21

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2:53

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

17

+1

 

0:34

H

Calderon

Jack

Wright

Turkoglu

Bosh

21

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2:19

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

22

-1

 

1:54

H

Calderon

Jack

Wright

Johnson

Bosh

27

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0:25

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

22

0

 

0:25

H

Banks

Jack

DeRozan

Johnson

Bosh

27

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q2 12:00

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Moon

O’Neal

Ilgauskas

28

+2

 

2:11

H

Jack

Belinelli

DeRozan

Bosh

Bargnani

31

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9:49

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

28

-4

 

0:48

H

Jack

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

35

+4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9:01

 

V

Williams

Parker

Moon

O’Neal

Ilgauskas

28

-2

 

1:22

H

Jack

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Bargnani

Nesterovic

37

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7:39

 

V

Williams

Parker

Moon

James

Varejao

32

+2

 

1:34

H

Jack

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

39

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6:05

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

33

-1

 

0:15

H

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Johnson

Bargnani

41

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5:50

 

V

Williams

Parker

James

Hickson

Varejao

34

-4

 

1:05

H

 

 

 

 

 

46

+4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4:45

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

34

0

 

0:23

H

Calderon

Belinelli

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

46

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4:22

 

V

Williams

Parker

James

Varejao

O’Neal

36

-6

 

2:11

H

Calderon

Belinelli

Wright

Bosh

Bargnani

54

+6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2:11

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Parker

James

O’Neal

36

-2

 

0:59

H

Calderon

Belinelli

Wright

Bosh

Nesterovic

56

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1:12

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

37

0

 

0:49

H

Calderon

Jack

Belinelli

Wright

Nesterovic

57

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0:23

 

V

Gibson

Parker

Moon

James

Varejao

39

+2

 

0:23

H

Calderon

Jack

Belinelli

Bosh

Nesterovic

57

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 12:00

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Parker

James

O’Neal

49

+2

 

3:52

H

Calderon

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

65

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8:08

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Parker

James

Varejao

55

+4

 

1:36

H

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

67

-4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6:32

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

57

+2

 

0:30

H

Jack

Belinelli

Wright

Bosh

Bargnani

67

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6:02

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

60

+3

 

0:25

H

Calderon

Jack

Belinelli

Wright

Bargnani

67

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5:27

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

62

+1

 

0:53

H

Calderon

Jack

Wright

Turkoglu

Bosh

68

-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4:34

 

V

Gibson

Parker

Moon

James

Varejao

69

+6

 

2:12

H

 

 

 

 

 

69

-6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2:22

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

70

-3

 

1:04

H

Jack

Belinelli

Wright

Turkoglu

Bosh

73

+3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1:18

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

71

-2

 

0:46

H

Jack

Belinelli

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

76

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0:32

 

V

Gibson

Parker

Moon

Hickson

Varejao

71

-2

 

0:32

H

Jack

Belinelli

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Johnson

78

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q4 12:00

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Moon

O’Neal

Ilgauskas

72

-4

 

1:45

H

Jack

Belinelli

DeRozan

Bosh

Bargnani

83

+4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10:15

 

V

Williams

Parker

Moon

O’Neal

Ilgauskas

74

-2

 

1:35

H

 

 

 

 

 

87

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8:40

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Parker

James

O’Neal

76

+2

 

0:34

H

 

 

 

 

 

87

-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8:06

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

76

0

 

0:09

H

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

87

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7:57

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

78

-2

 

1:56

H

Jack

DeRozan

Turkoglu

Bosh

Nesterovic

91

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6:01

 

V

Williams

Gibson

Parker

James

Varejao

79

-1

 

1:29

H

Calderon

Jack

Turkoglu

Bosh

Bargnani

93

+1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4:32

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

91

+4

 

4:17

H

Calderon

Jack

Wright

Turkoglu

Bosh

101

-4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0:15

 

V

 

 

 

 

 

91

0

 

0:15

H

Calderon

Jack

Wright

Turkoglu

Nesterovic

101

0

LEGEND: Bold – Player subbed into the game; Italics – Player in game shifted to new position; PG – Point Guard; OG – Off Guard; SF – Small Forward; PF – Power Forward; C – Center; DIFF – Difference in Score; V – Visiting Team; H – Home Team.

——————————————–

It contains a fair amount of useful information, if you take the time to examine it in detail.

For example:

Bosh/Bargnani vs PF/C Combos for Cleveland

Varejoa/O’Neal = +9 [7:35]
O’Neal/Ilgauskas = +16 [
7:09]

Hickson/Varejoa = 0 [0:23]

James/Ilgauskas = -1 [0:29]

James/O’Neal = -4 [6:00]
James/Varejoa = -6 [2:06]

+25 [14:44]

-11 [8:58]

——————————————–

There were, at least, 2 items from Wednesday’s victory that should be of some concern to the Raptors, heading towards this evening’s Game 2, vs Memphis:

1. The way that Bosh/Bargnani performed against the Cavs’ combinations of PF/C’s not named O’Neal/Ilgauskas or Varejao/O’Neal;

and,

2. The 39:44 played by Chris Bosh … in a game where the Raptors had a 21 point lead just prior to half-time … with a brace on his right knee for precautionary reasons.

Something to keep your eyes on as Toronto makes its way through the first 20 games of its regular season schedule.

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7 Responses to “Substitution Charts can tell you a great deal about the game”

  1. Scott G Says:

    God Bargs was terrible last night!! Watching him float around on D is so frustrating. I honestly believe he his biggest problem is that he cannot sustain a high effort level for anything longer than a short burst. (eg he’ll close out, but then let his man blow my; he’ll jump once for a rebound, then get beat on the second jump; he’ll hedge out hard on the PnR defense, then jog back to his own man on the recovery, etc etc)

    Also, we have nobody that can match up athletically with Gay. Maybe that’s why we should have drafted him…

    IMO, Jay should have a short leash with Jose when he’s matched up against a guy like Conley. Just too quick…

    Sigh… back down to earth.

  2. khandor Says:

    Scott G.,

    re: Bargnani

    Thus far, the effectiveness of his individual game is entirely dependent on match-ups.

    When they’re in his favour … i.e. vs Cleveland, when Mike Brown has a brain cramp and inexplicably goes with his elephant package … no problem.

    When they’re not in his favour, however … i.e. vs Memphis, when Lionel Hollins coaches in a responsible way … it creates a major disadvantage for the Raptors which is difficult to overcome.

    What’s especially disturbing is that he doesn’t seem to show near the same degree of inconsistency when it comes to running the floor hard in offensive transition situations. :-(

    ————————————————

    re: Rudy, Rudy, Rudy

    There are several good reasons we both wanted the Raptors to trade down in 2006 and draft either Misters Gay or Roy. :-)

    ————————————————

    re: walking the dog with El Matador

    IMO, Calderon’s performance last night vs Conley was not the main problem.

    e.g. When reviewing the game in my mind, I can only recall a few times when Mike, Jr. was able to break Jose down off the bounce and get into the heart of the Raptors defense to “finish” or “wheel & deal”.

    In general, Jose’s individual defense is nowhere near as porous as others in Raptorville think it is … but, when you have a PG whose STRENGTH is NOT his individual defense then it’s a cardinal sin to try and get away with playing “average-to-poor” defenders at the other spots, as well, i.e. Bargnani/Nesterovic, DeRozan/Jack/Belinelli and Turkoglu/Wright.

    [e.g. the Spurs do NOT win a single championship with either Tony Parker or Avery Johnson as their PG, if they DO NOT have cats like Bruce Browen, Manu Ginobili, Micahel Finley, Sean Elliot, Mario Elie, Robert Horry, Kurt Thomas, Fabricio Oberto, Nazr Mohammed, Malik Rose, Tim Duncan, and David Robinson on the floor beside him.]

    If the the Raptors are COMMITTED to using Calderon at the Point, then, it simply makes no sense whatsoever to NOT seek out solid defenders, rebounders, first-class athletes, and good all-around players to put on the floor with him … and Chris Bosh.

    IMO, neither one is the main problem with the Raptors.

    ———————————-

    re: back down to earth

    The feet in this corner never left the ground.

  3. Ragu Says:

    What’s your take on why we have Jack @ the 2 and having a “big and quick” line w/ Turk @ the 1 in spurts [(middle of the 3rd qrtr) Turk-Wright-Evans-Bosh-Bargs] and would it work (in short bursts)?

  4. Scott G Says:

    Khan — fair enough criticism of the raps’ current roster (ie that they don’t have enough solid defenders at the 2/3 spots to make up for Jose)… but, I don’t think it’s terribly relevant at this point. The roster is what it is, and it’s up to Triano to make it work as best it can. In that context, I think it seems like a good idea to give Jose less tick against waterbug-style PGs like Conley, since he seems to struggle against them. Conley did have 10 assists… granted he also had 5 TOs, but I think he certainly hurt us.

    Of course, the major problem was the 18 offensive rebounds, many of which came in crucial situations… I missed the ORL game, but it seemed that we gave up a number down the stretch in that game as well.

  5. khandor Says:

    Ragu,

    IMO, Jarrett Jack should NOT be playing at the #2/OG position in the NBA.

    The Raptors are using him at this position because:

    - Demar DeRozan, as a rookie, is perceived to be a poor defensive #2/OG
    - Marco Belinelli is not a good defender/rebounder at this position
    - Antoine Wright is deemed to be Hedo Turkoglu’s back-up [at #3/SF]
    - Sonny Weems can’t shoot the ball like a decent #2/OG

    Jarret Jack is an effective PG for a NBA team that has 4 solid teammates to play beside him. He does nothing exceptionally well and has no major weaknesses to speak of. What he isn’t, however, is a Top Notch PG, either as a Starter or a Back-up, who deserves to be paid approximately $5.0 M per season.

    ——————————————————–

    re: a possible 5-man unit of Turk-Wright-Evans-Bosh-Bargnani

    Sorry to say … but, I don’t like it very much at all.

    While Hedo Turkoglu may be a solid Point Forward on offense … he is also a plodding defender, rebounder and dribbler.

    Although Antoine Wright is an okay defender at the #2/OG position, he is nowhere close enough to being “good” enough as an offensive player to deserve “starter’s minutes” on a NBA team that doesn’t feature a PG like J-Kidd, a SF like D-Howard, and a PF-C like D-Nowitzki.

    Reggie Evans is a very limited PF … who struggles on Defense and with “finishing”.

    Andrea Bargnani is a bad defender and a poor rebounder.

    Chris Bosh is a very good all-around Center who needs good teammates beside him, if he’s going to excel.

    Overall … there is very little relative positional quickness in a 5-man unit that combines this group of players.

  6. khandor Says:

    Scott G.,

    Unfortunately, it’s not just a question of “making up for Jose Calderon” with this year’s team.

    There are plenty of holes throughout the line-up when you consider Defense, Offense and Rebounding.

    Chris Bosh is the only really solid all-around player on the entire roster.

  7. Scott G Says:

    Khan – LOL! too true…