With the 9th pick of the 2009 NBA Draft, the Toronto Raptors …

will most likely select one of the following 6 players:

1. DeMar DeRozan [OG-SF]
2. Gerald Henderson [OG-SF]
3. Jrue Holiday [PG-OG]
4. Jonny Flynn [PG]
5. Jordan Hill [PF]
6. James Johnson [SF-PF] 

according to Bryan Colangelo [GM].

[PLEASE NOTE: This is a link to a radio interview from Jun 17, 2009 which every Raptors fan should listen to, as it deals with Thursday's NBA Draft, the acquisition of Reggie Evans and the team's POV re: Chris Bosh.]

From the perspective of this corner, however, by doing so … they will, once again, be throwing away another golden opportunity to build their team into a legitimate long term contender for a Top 4 spot in the Eastern Conference, by not trading down to a Middle or Lower Spot in the 1st Round, while acquiring an additional pick in the 2nd Round, in a classic two-for-one scenario.

Q1. Why does this year’s Draft qualify as such an occasion?

A1. Because the players who fit best with what Toronto needs right now, as well as looking down-the-road a piece … possibly, to a life without Chris Bosh … are not perceived by others to be worthy of selection in the No. 9 position but will most likely be available in the Middle or the Lower section of the 1st Round, and/or in the 2nd Round.

Draft preview: Closer look at the small forwards

SMALL FORWARDS ::::::

Rank

Name

School/Team

Height

Weight

Wingspan

Vertical

1

Earl
Clark

Louisville

6-10 3/4

228

7-2 1/2

33

2

Omri
Casspi

Maccabi Tel Aviv

6-9 1/4

211

6-9 1/2

32.5

3

Sam
Young

Pittsburgh

6-6 3/4

223

6-10 3/4

33

4

Austin
Daye

Gonzaga

6-10 3/4

192

7-2 3/4

28

5

DaJuan Summers

Georgetown

6-8 1/2

243

7-0 3/4

34.5

6

Jonas
Jurebko

Angelico Biella (Italy)

6-8 #

220 #

N/A

N/A

7

Derrick
Brown

Xavier

6-8 1/2

225

7-2 1/2

35.5

8

Danny
Green

North Carolina

6-6 1/2

208

6-10

33

9

Lorrenzo
Wade

San Diego State

6-6 #

225 #

N/A

N/A

10

Victor
Claver

Pamesa Valencia (Spain)

6-9 #

225 #

N/A

N/A

 

Derrick Brown is a player with a tonne of NBA ability, at the Wing position, who should be there for the Raptors in the Middle of the 1st Round.

———-

Xavier’s Brown has been coming on the last few weeks, benefitting from long arms (a 7-2 1/2 wingspan) good workouts up and down the first round, and the pedigree of bigs that Xavier has produced for NBA teams, including Brian Grant, Aaron Williams, Tyrone Hill, James Posey and David West. He’s active — “bouncy,” one personnel man says.

“Sometimes, kids get better and I think he’s one of the kids that’s grown with the process,” said a Northwest Division executive. “He’s been able to expand his game a little bit and show some of the things he couldn’t show at Xavier.”

———-

Derrick Brown would fill their need for an immediate ”starter” who can score the ball, rebound his position and defend with solid athleticism and considerable length.

Derrick Brown

SEASON

MIN

PTS

REB

AST

TO

A/T

STL

BLK

PF

FG%

FT%

3P%

PPS

2005-2006

Did not play.

2006-2007

16.9

6.3

4.1

.8

1.1

.69

.5

.6

2.5

.706

.700

.500

1.96

2007-2008

28.1

10.9

6.5

1.7

1.9

.90

.9

.8

2.5

.609

.706

.344

1.66

2008-2009

29.5

13.7

6.1

1.9

1.7

1.11

.7

.9

2.5

.504

.741

.433

1.42

For the number crunchers …

Q2. When you look at these simple game stats, what do you see?

A2. A player who shot 43.3% from behind the arc last season … shooting three times as many treys than the year before [in which he shot three times as many as he did his first year in college] … scored at a solid rate of 1.42 PPS [i.e. higher than DeMar DeRozan and Tyreke Evans], and improved his Ast:TO each of his 3 seasons at Xavier University.

[PLEASE NOTE: Players who are capable of doing THIS, and reach the point where their ratio is above 1.00 have a HIGH Basketball IQ.]

In conjunction with his outstanding Wingspan, his solid vertical & lateral agility scores, his ability to do THIS:

on a regular basis, and the fact that he conducts himself like THIS:

when dealing with the media in a first-class way … say that this young man, Derrick Brown, “Is ready” to play in the NBA, right away.

================================================

When you couple a player like Derrick Brown with a:

Taj Gibson [late 1st Rounder, early 2nd Round, Horace Grant type]
Dante Cunningham [late 1st Rounder, early 2nd Round, James Worthy type]
Danny Green [2nd Round, Bruce Bowen type]
Marcus Thornton [2nd Round, Mitch Richmond type], or
Nando De Colo [2nd Round, Manu Ginobili type]

you are talking about a serious increase in FIRST-CLASS athletic ability and NBA skill level that can immediately elevate the Quality Depth on the Raptors’ roster to the point where they could contend with the likes of Boston and Cleveland and Orlando, etc., in the not-too-distant future, either:

A. If Chris Bosh re-signs with their team; 

OR,

B. If Chris Bosh is traded [for comparable parts] and Andrea Bargnani continues to improve, as their Center, moving forward from that point.

———-

The ball’s been placed in Bryan’s Colangelo’s hands … for the sake of loyal Raptors fans everywhere … let’s hope that he doesn’t drop it, again.

 

Related:

Perception vs Reality – Who should Raptors draft?

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7 Responses to “With the 9th pick of the 2009 NBA Draft, the Toronto Raptors …”

  1. DanH Says:

    Been waiting for this!

    Nice to finally see a full breakdown of your “trade down” theory.

    Actually looks good – even if BryCo grabs Demar, perhaps he can solve the Raps’ glut at PF by moving Hump and cash for a couple low level picks and grabbing a couple of these late draft steals.

  2. khandor Says:

    DanH,

    1. There are all sorts of possibilities … if the Raptors do decide to trade down.

    2. There are major difference between DeRozan & Brown, as well.

    Brown is the player they should try to get NOT DeRozan.

    In certain ways, Brown’s 1st year “numbers” at Xavier could be viewed as being better than DeRozan’s 1st year “stats” at USC.

    Perception vs Reality – Who should Raptors draft?

    Brown is physically bigger and longer, is a better rebounder, is left-handed [which is a major advantage!] has a demonstratably high Bball IQ [i.e. Ast:TO] … which is absolutely HUGE, when projecting forward into the NBA game … and is already a college graduate.

    Brown is going to have a solid NBA career for whichever team is smart enough to select him on Thursday.

  3. Mauro Says:

    I normally read what you have to say (and often disagree).
    But I can understand your point in it this time.
    Hope that BC does as well. We will see shortly.

  4. mark Says:

    I agree with your point in principal, but doesn’t the often-stated plan of acquiring a 2nd pick through a cash trade negate the need to trade down? Or are you suggesting the Raps would do well to walk away from this draft with 3 late first / early second round picks (which I can’t disagree with, given the uncertainty of the club’s future roster)?

  5. Linkage for Jun 21 11am to Jun 23 7pm - Raptors Republic Says:

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  6. khandor Says:

    mark,

    Welcome aboard!

    The answer to your question is, both, “Yes” and “No.”

    Each of the following four possibilities are unique:

    Option One [Stay]
    - Select in the No. 9 position = 1 new player added

    Option Two [Stay & Buy]
    - Select in the No. 9 position + buy Lower 1st Round Pick = 2 new players added

    Option Three [Trade Down, 2-for-1]
    - Select in a Lower 1st Round position + another Selection in the 2nd Round = 2 new players added

    Option Four [Trade Down, 2-for-1; plus Buy]
    - Select in a Lower 1st Round position + another Selection in the 2nd Round + buy another Lower 1st Round Pick = 3 new players added

    ———-

    YES … Options Two & Three could each see the Raptors add 2 new players from this year’s draft … which is an improvement over Option One.

    NO, Part I … Although Option Two & Three might look similar they are really quite different from one another:

    * No. 9 is considered a Lottery Pick and has a different salary scale attached to it than a pick made from No. 15-30

    * 2nd Round Selections are on a different salary scale than 1st Rounders

    * 2nd Round Selections are not guaranteed a roster spot

    NO, Part II … Option Four is very different from Options One, Two & Three

    ———-

    Option Three and Option Four [specifically] are far superior alternatives from the Raptors’ perspective … depending on [A] which players are available on Thursday night and what plans the team has in store for its own group of free agents, as far as trades and future draft picks are concerned.

  7. khandor Says:

    mark,

    Seems as though Option Two and Option Four may no longer be much of a possibility at all, i.e. Raptors give prospects second chance to shine, which would be a shame.